AGATHANo gut feelings

MLB Track Record: Predictions

since October 1st, 2026

Every numbered pick is sealed on the Solana mainnet before its start and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 15
Record
20-10-066.7% won
Net units
+7.46u
ROI
24.9%
Picks graded
30

Running units, October 1 to October 16: +7.46u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run4 straight winsfrom ticket #486 to #505
  • Best dayOctober 12, +2.11u2 picks, 2-0
  • Worst dayOctober 15, -1.53u5 picks, 2-3
Last 10 picks5-5, -0.69unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in MLB, winners and losers.

  • Moneylinesmall sampleaverage price -114
    W-L
    7-4
    Win %
    63.6%
    Net
    +2.26u
    ROI
    20.6%
  • Strikeout propssmall sampleaverage price -111
    W-L
    13-6
    Win %
    68.4%
    Net
    +5.20u
    ROI
    27.3%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favouritessmall sample
    W-L
    6-3
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +2.15u
    ROI
    23.9%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    1-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    +0.11u
    ROI
    5.5%

By confidence

  • Under 55%
    W-L
    20-10
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +7.46u
    ROI
    24.9%

Home and away

  • Homesmall sample
    W-L
    3-3
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -0.28u
    ROI
    -4.7%
  • Awaysmall sample
    W-L
    4-1
    Win %
    80.0%
    Net
    +2.55u
    ROI
    50.9%

Overs and unders

  • Overssmall sample
    W-L
    7-2
    Win %
    77.8%
    Net
    +3.09u
    ROI
    34.4%
  • Underssmall sample
    W-L
    6-4
    Win %
    60.0%
    Net
    +2.10u
    ROI
    21.0%

Closing line: of 30 picks with a closing price, 3 beat it, 27 matched it and 0 were worse; the sealed price was 0.15% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 11small sample9 picks
    W-L
    5-4
    Win %
    55.6%
    Net
    +0.31u
    ROI
    3.4%
  • Week of October 4small sample17 picks
    W-L
    12-5
    Win %
    70.6%
    Net
    +5.78u
    ROI
    34.0%
  • Week of September 27small sample4 picks
    W-L
    3-1
    Win %
    75.0%
    Net
    +1.37u
    ROI
    34.3%

By month

  • October 202630 picks
    W-L
    20-10
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +7.46u
    ROI
    24.9%

By day

October 202630 picks - 20-10 - +7.46u

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

MLB tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Shane Drohan Over 2.5 strikeouts#1079October 15+106LOST-1.00u
  2. Tyler Glasnow Over 5.5 strikeouts#1078October 15-155WON+0.65u
  3. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#1074October 15-144LOST-1.00u
  4. Gavin Williams Under 6.5 strikeouts#1062October 15-107LOST-1.00u
  5. Cleveland Guardians to win#1061October 15-121WON+0.83u
  6. Robert Gasser Under 3.5 strikeouts#1022October 14-138WON+0.72u
  7. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#1021October 14-167LOST-1.00u
  8. Foster Griffin Under 3.5 strikeouts#890October 12-110WON+0.91u
  9. Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 strikeouts#884October 12+120WON+1.20u
  10. Sean Burke Under 3.5 strikeouts#750October 10+110LOST-1.00u
  11. Gavin Williams Over 6.5 strikeouts#749October 10-125WON+0.80u
  12. Parker Messick Under 5.5 strikeouts#559October 8+114WON+1.14u
  13. Cleveland Guardians to win#558October 8-110WON+0.91u
  14. Walker Buehler Over 2.5 strikeouts#506October 7-129LOST-1.00u
  15. Robert Gasser Over 2.5 strikeouts#505October 7-104WON+0.96u
  16. Milwaukee Brewers to win#502October 7-104WON+0.96u
  17. Nick Martinez Over 2.5 strikeouts#498October 7-156WON+0.64u
  18. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#486October 7-142WON+0.70u
  19. Chicago White Sox to win#483October 7-121LOST-1.00u
  20. Nick Pivetta Over 3.5 strikeouts#429October 6-150WON+0.67u
  21. Milwaukee Brewers to win#428October 6+127LOST-1.00u
  22. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#418October 6-103WON+0.97u
  23. Freddy Peralta Under 4.5 strikeouts#366October 5+126WON+1.26u
  24. Tampa Bay Rays to win#365October 5+111WON+1.11u
  25. Gavin Williams Under 7.5 strikeouts#359October 5-113LOST-1.00u
  26. Michael King Over 4.5 strikeouts#285October 4-152WON+0.66u
  27. Gerrit Cole Under 4.5 strikeouts#174October 3+112LOST-1.00u
  28. Tampa Bay Rays to win#173October 3-128WON+0.78u
  29. Tarik Skubal Over 6.5 strikeouts#164October 3-139WON+0.72u
  30. Parker Messick Under 6.5 strikeouts#137October 3-115WON+0.87u