AGATHANo gut feelings

MLB Track Record

since October 1st, 2026

Every MLB pick Agatha made since the record began, Best Bets and Predictions alike: each sealed on the Solana mainnet before its game and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 15
Record
40-21-065.6% won
Net units
+13.18u
ROI
21.6%
Picks graded
612 voids

By tier

  • Best Bets31 picks
    W-L
    20-11
    Win %
    64.5%
    Net
    +5.72u
    ROI
    18.5%
  • Predictions30 picks
    W-L
    20-10
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +7.46u
    ROI
    24.9%

Running units, October 1 to October 17: +13.18u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run6 straight winsfrom ticket #825 to #884
  • Best dayOctober 4, +2.95u5 picks, 4-1
  • Worst dayOctober 15, -0.62u6 picks, 3-3
Last 10 picks5-5, -1.03unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in MLB, winners and losers.

  • Moneyline13 Best Bets 8-5 +1.50u - 11 Predictions 7-4 +2.26u - average price -124
    W-L
    15-9
    Win %
    62.5%
    Net
    +3.76u
    ROI
    15.7%
  • Strikeout props18 Best Bets 12-6 +4.23u - 19 Predictions 13-6 +5.20u - average price -113
    W-L
    25-12
    Win %
    67.6%
    Net
    +9.42u
    ROI
    25.5%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favourites
    W-L
    13-8
    Win %
    61.9%
    Net
    +2.45u
    ROI
    11.7%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    2-1
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +1.31u
    ROI
    43.7%

By confidence

  • Under 55%
    W-L
    20-10
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +7.46u
    ROI
    24.9%
  • 55-59%
    W-L
    13-8
    Win %
    61.9%
    Net
    +3.12u
    ROI
    14.9%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    5-3
    Win %
    62.5%
    Net
    +1.30u
    ROI
    16.3%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.88u
    ROI
    88.5%
  • 80% and upsmall sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.42u
    ROI
    41.7%

Home and away

  • Homesmall sample
    W-L
    11-8
    Win %
    57.9%
    Net
    +1.21u
    ROI
    6.4%
  • Awaysmall sample
    W-L
    4-1
    Win %
    80.0%
    Net
    +2.55u
    ROI
    50.9%

Overs and unders

  • Overssmall sample
    W-L
    9-3
    Win %
    75.0%
    Net
    +3.18u
    ROI
    26.5%
  • Unders
    W-L
    16-9
    Win %
    64.0%
    Net
    +6.25u
    ROI
    25.0%

Closing line: of 60 picks with a closing price, 7 beat it, 52 matched it and 1 was worse; the sealed price was 0.21% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 1120 picks
    W-L
    13-7
    Win %
    65.0%
    Net
    +4.45u
    ROI
    22.3%
  • Week of October 430 picks
    W-L
    20-10
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +7.98u
    ROI
    26.6%
  • Week of September 27small sample11 picks
    W-L
    7-4
    Win %
    63.6%
    Net
    +0.75u
    ROI
    6.8%

By month

  • October 202661 picks
    W-L
    40-21
    Win %
    65.6%
    Net
    +13.18u
    ROI
    21.6%

By day

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

MLB tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Nick Martinez Under 2.5 strikeouts#1122October 16-156VOID0.00u
  2. Tampa Bay Rays to win#1119October 16-106VOID0.00u
  3. Shane Drohan Over 2.5 strikeouts#1079October 15+106LOST-1.00u
  4. Tyler Glasnow Over 5.5 strikeouts#1078October 15-155WON+0.65u
  5. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#1074October 15-144LOST-1.00u
  6. Gavin Williams Under 6.5 strikeouts#1062October 15-107LOST-1.00u
  7. Cleveland Guardians to win#1061October 15-121WON+0.83u
  8. Best BetGriffin Jax Under 3.5 strikeouts#1060October 15-110WON+0.91u
  9. Robert Gasser Under 3.5 strikeouts#1022October 14-138WON+0.72u
  10. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#1021October 14-167LOST-1.00u
  11. Best BetFreddy Peralta Under 3.5 strikeouts#963October 13+110LOST-1.00u
  12. Best BetParker Messick Under 4.5 strikeouts#962October 13-115WON+0.87u
  13. Best BetTampa Bay Rays to win#961October 13-126WON+0.79u
  14. Foster Griffin Under 3.5 strikeouts#890October 12-110WON+0.91u
  15. Best BetDrew Rasmussen Under 5.5 strikeouts#888October 12-103LOST-1.00u
  16. Best BetTampa Bay Rays to win#887October 12-156LOST-1.00u
  17. Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 strikeouts#884October 12+120WON+1.20u
  18. Best BetLogan Henderson Under 5.5 strikeouts#883October 12-122WON+0.82u
  19. Best BetMilwaukee Brewers to win#882October 12+120WON+1.20u
  20. Best BetTarik Skubal Under 7.5 strikeouts#827October 11-147WON+0.68u
  21. Best BetJacob Misiorowski Under 7.5 strikeouts#826October 11-113WON+0.88u
  22. Best BetMilwaukee Brewers to win#825October 11-101WON+0.99u
  23. Sean Burke Under 3.5 strikeouts#750October 10+110LOST-1.00u
  24. Gavin Williams Over 6.5 strikeouts#749October 10-125WON+0.80u
  25. Best BetCleveland Guardians to win#742October 10-135WON+0.74u
  26. Parker Messick Under 5.5 strikeouts#559October 8+114WON+1.14u
  27. Cleveland Guardians to win#558October 8-110WON+0.91u
  28. Walker Buehler Over 2.5 strikeouts#506October 7-129LOST-1.00u
  29. Robert Gasser Over 2.5 strikeouts#505October 7-104WON+0.96u
  30. Milwaukee Brewers to win#502October 7-104WON+0.96u
  31. Nick Martinez Over 2.5 strikeouts#498October 7-156WON+0.64u
  32. Best BetMax Fried Under 4.5 strikeouts#497October 7-115LOST-1.00u
  33. Best BetNew York Yankees to win#496October 7-159LOST-1.00u
  34. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#486October 7-142WON+0.70u
  35. Best BetTyler Mahle Over 3.5 strikeouts#485October 7-150WON+0.67u
  36. Best BetTyler Glasnow Under 6.5 strikeouts#484October 7-122WON+0.82u
  37. Chicago White Sox to win#483October 7-121LOST-1.00u
  38. Nick Pivetta Over 3.5 strikeouts#429October 6-150WON+0.67u
  39. Milwaukee Brewers to win#428October 6+127LOST-1.00u
  40. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#418October 6-103WON+0.97u
  41. Best BetChris Sale Under 7.5 strikeouts#417October 6-147WON+0.68u
  42. Best BetYoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 strikeouts#416October 6-125LOST-1.00u
  43. Freddy Peralta Under 4.5 strikeouts#366October 5+126WON+1.26u
  44. Tampa Bay Rays to win#365October 5+111WON+1.11u
  45. Best BetCam Schlittler Under 6.5 strikeouts#363October 5+100WON+1.00u
  46. Gavin Williams Under 7.5 strikeouts#359October 5-113LOST-1.00u
  47. Best BetCleveland Guardians to win#358October 5-145LOST-1.00u
  48. Best BetBlake Snell Under 6.5 strikeouts#293October 4+116WON+1.16u
  49. Best BetLos Angeles Dodgers to win#292October 4-213LOST-1.00u
  50. Michael King Over 4.5 strikeouts#285October 4-152WON+0.66u
  51. Best BetLogan Henderson Under 5.5 strikeouts#282October 4+132WON+1.32u
  52. Best BetMilwaukee Brewers to win#281October 4-123WON+0.81u
  53. Best BetMilwaukee Brewers to win#206October 3-190WON+0.53u
  54. Gerrit Cole Under 4.5 strikeouts#174October 3+112LOST-1.00u
  55. Tampa Bay Rays to win#173October 3-128WON+0.78u
  56. Best BetDrew Rasmussen Under 6.5 strikeouts#172October 3-139LOST-1.00u
  57. Tarik Skubal Over 6.5 strikeouts#164October 3-139WON+0.72u
  58. Best BetLos Angeles Dodgers to win#157October 3-208WON+0.48u
  59. Parker Messick Under 6.5 strikeouts#137October 3-115WON+0.87u
  60. Best BetCleveland Guardians to win#135October 3-139LOST-1.00u