AGATHANo gut feelings

MLB Track Record: Best Bets

since October 1st, 2026

Every numbered pick is sealed on the Solana mainnet before its start and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 13
Record
19-11-063.3% won
Net units
+4.81u
ROI
16.0%
Picks graded
30

Running units, October 1 to October 14: +4.81u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run6 straight winsfrom ticket #742 to #883
  • Best dayOctober 11, +2.56u3 picks, 3-0
  • Worst dayOctober 3, -0.99u4 picks, 2-2
Last 10 picks7-3, +3.24unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in MLB, winners and losers.

  • Moneylinesmall sampleaverage price -135
    W-L
    8-5
    Win %
    61.5%
    Net
    +1.50u
    ROI
    11.5%
  • Strikeout propssmall sampleaverage price -116
    W-L
    11-6
    Win %
    64.7%
    Net
    +3.32u
    ROI
    19.5%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favouritessmall sample
    W-L
    7-5
    Win %
    58.3%
    Net
    +0.30u
    ROI
    2.5%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +1.20u
    ROI
    120.0%

By confidence

  • 55-59%
    W-L
    12-8
    Win %
    60.0%
    Net
    +2.21u
    ROI
    11.1%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    5-3
    Win %
    62.5%
    Net
    +1.30u
    ROI
    16.3%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.88u
    ROI
    88.5%
  • 80% and upsmall sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.42u
    ROI
    41.7%

Home and away

  • Homesmall sample
    W-L
    8-5
    Win %
    61.5%
    Net
    +1.50u
    ROI
    11.5%

Overs and unders

  • Overssmall sample
    W-L
    2-1
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +0.08u
    ROI
    2.8%
  • Underssmall sample
    W-L
    9-5
    Win %
    64.3%
    Net
    +3.23u
    ROI
    23.1%

Closing line: of 29 picks with a closing price, 4 beat it, 24 matched it and 1 was worse; the sealed price was 0.29% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 11small sample10 picks
    W-L
    7-3
    Win %
    70.0%
    Net
    +3.24u
    ROI
    32.4%
  • Week of October 4small sample13 picks
    W-L
    8-5
    Win %
    61.5%
    Net
    +2.20u
    ROI
    16.9%
  • Week of September 27small sample7 picks
    W-L
    4-3
    Win %
    57.1%
    Net
    -0.62u
    ROI
    -8.9%

By month

  • October 202630 picks
    W-L
    19-11
    Win %
    63.3%
    Net
    +4.81u
    ROI
    16.0%

By day

October 202630 picks - 19-11 - +4.81u

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

MLB tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Freddy Peralta Under 3.5 strikeouts#963October 13+110LOST-1.00u
  2. Parker Messick Under 4.5 strikeouts#962October 13-115WON+0.87u
  3. Tampa Bay Rays to win#961October 13-126WON+0.79u
  4. Drew Rasmussen Under 5.5 strikeouts#888October 12-103LOST-1.00u
  5. Tampa Bay Rays to win#887October 12-156LOST-1.00u
  6. Logan Henderson Under 5.5 strikeouts#883October 12-122WON+0.82u
  7. Milwaukee Brewers to win#882October 12+120WON+1.20u
  8. Tarik Skubal Under 7.5 strikeouts#827October 11-147WON+0.68u
  9. Jacob Misiorowski Under 7.5 strikeouts#826October 11-113WON+0.88u
  10. Milwaukee Brewers to win#825October 11-101WON+0.99u
  11. Cleveland Guardians to win#742October 10-135WON+0.74u
  12. Max Fried Under 4.5 strikeouts#497October 7-115LOST-1.00u
  13. New York Yankees to win#496October 7-159LOST-1.00u
  14. Tyler Mahle Over 3.5 strikeouts#485October 7-150WON+0.67u
  15. Tyler Glasnow Under 6.5 strikeouts#484October 7-122WON+0.82u
  16. Chris Sale Under 7.5 strikeouts#417October 6-147WON+0.68u
  17. Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 strikeouts#416October 6-125LOST-1.00u
  18. Cam Schlittler Under 6.5 strikeouts#363October 5+100WON+1.00u
  19. Cleveland Guardians to win#358October 5-145LOST-1.00u
  20. Blake Snell Under 6.5 strikeouts#293October 4+116WON+1.16u
  21. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#292October 4-213LOST-1.00u
  22. Logan Henderson Under 5.5 strikeouts#282October 4+132WON+1.32u
  23. Milwaukee Brewers to win#281October 4-123WON+0.81u
  24. Milwaukee Brewers to win#206October 3-190WON+0.53u
  25. Drew Rasmussen Under 6.5 strikeouts#172October 3-139LOST-1.00u
  26. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#157October 3-208WON+0.48u
  27. Cleveland Guardians to win#135October 3-139LOST-1.00u
  28. Ray Kerr Over 0.5 strikeouts#20October 1-240WON+0.42u
  29. Aaron Nola Over 3.5 strikeouts#19October 1-111LOST-1.00u
  30. Atlanta Braves to win#18October 1-105WON+0.95u