AGATHANo gut feelings

College Football Track Record

since October 1st, 2026

Every college football pick Agatha made since the record began, Best Bets and Predictions alike: each sealed on the Solana mainnet before its game and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 13
Record
73-38-065.8% won
Net units
-6.84u
ROI
-6.2%
Picks graded
111

By tier

  • Best Bets42 picks
    W-L
    22-20
    Win %
    52.4%
    Net
    -4.75u
    ROI
    -11.3%
  • Predictions69 picks
    W-L
    51-18
    Win %
    73.9%
    Net
    -2.08u
    ROI
    -3.0%

Running units, October 1 to October 14: -6.84u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run8 straight winsfrom ticket #123 to #130
  • Longest losing run3 straight lossesfrom ticket #731 to #743
  • Best dayOctober 7, +1.11u2 picks, 2-0
  • Worst dayOctober 10, -6.48u41 picks, 24-17
Last 10 picks6-4, -1.85unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in college football, winners and losers.

  • Moneyline42 Best Bets 22-20 -4.75u - 69 Predictions 51-18 -2.08u - average price -186
    W-L
    73-38
    Win %
    65.8%
    Net
    -6.84u
    ROI
    -6.2%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favourites
    W-L
    67-31
    Win %
    68.4%
    Net
    -7.90u
    ROI
    -8.1%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    6-7
    Win %
    46.2%
    Net
    +1.06u
    ROI
    8.2%

By confidence

  • Under 55%small sample
    W-L
    8-9
    Win %
    47.1%
    Net
    -2.25u
    ROI
    -13.3%
  • 55-59%small sample
    W-L
    7-8
    Win %
    46.7%
    Net
    -2.68u
    ROI
    -17.9%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    6-3
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +0.17u
    ROI
    1.9%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    5-8
    Win %
    38.5%
    Net
    -6.09u
    ROI
    -46.9%
  • 70-79%
    W-L
    22-3
    Win %
    88.0%
    Net
    +6.03u
    ROI
    24.1%
  • 80% and up
    W-L
    25-7
    Win %
    78.1%
    Net
    -2.02u
    ROI
    -6.3%

Home and away

  • Home
    W-L
    43-21
    Win %
    67.2%
    Net
    -4.48u
    ROI
    -7.0%
  • Away
    W-L
    30-17
    Win %
    63.8%
    Net
    -2.36u
    ROI
    -5.0%

Closing line: of 103 picks with a closing price, 47 beat it, 52 matched it and 4 were worse; the sealed price was 1.05% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 11small sample2 picks
    W-L
    1-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -0.29u
    ROI
    -14.3%
  • Week of October 453 picks
    W-L
    33-20
    Win %
    62.3%
    Net
    -4.92u
    ROI
    -9.3%
  • Week of September 2756 picks
    W-L
    39-17
    Win %
    69.6%
    Net
    -1.63u
    ROI
    -2.9%

By month

  • October 2026111 picks
    W-L
    73-38
    Win %
    65.8%
    Net
    -6.84u
    ROI
    -6.2%

By day

October 2026111 picks - 73-38 - -6.84u

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

College Football tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Best BetJacksonville State to win#960October 13-140WON+0.71u
  2. Best BetDelaware to win#954October 13-110LOST-1.00u
  3. Boise State to win#757October 10-290WON+0.34u
  4. Utah to win#748October 10-650WON+0.15u
  5. Best BetMinnesota to win#743October 10-137LOST-1.00u
  6. Penn State to win#732October 10-103LOST-1.00u
  7. Louisiana to win#731October 10+134LOST-1.00u
  8. Air Force to win#730October 10-275WON+0.36u
  9. Virginia to win#729October 10-520WON+0.19u
  10. James Madison to win#728October 10-260WON+0.38u
  11. Best BetAlabama to win#726October 10-121LOST-1.00u
  12. LSU to win#724October 10-330LOST-1.00u
  13. Nevada to win#723October 10-350WON+0.29u
  14. Memphis to win#722October 10-650WON+0.15u
  15. Best BetNorth Dakota State to win#715October 10-130LOST-1.00u
  16. Best BetMarshall to win#714October 10-188LOST-1.00u
  17. Oregon State to win#708October 10-599WON+0.17u
  18. Tennessee to win#701October 10-526WON+0.19u
  19. UConn to win#699October 10+162WON+1.62u
  20. Ole Miss to win#697October 10-325WON+0.31u
  21. Virginia Tech to win#696October 10-375LOST-1.00u
  22. Texas to win#695October 10-323LOST-1.00u
  23. Oregon to win#694October 10-375LOST-1.00u
  24. Western Michigan to win#693October 10-500WON+0.20u
  25. Toledo to win#692October 10-1000LOST-1.00u
  26. Best BetEastern Michigan to win#691October 10-205WON+0.49u
  27. Best BetNavy to win#690October 10-140WON+0.71u
  28. Best BetOhio to win#689October 10-130WON+0.77u
  29. Best BetIllinois to win#688October 10-132WON+0.76u
  30. Best BetDuke to win#687October 10-190LOST-1.00u
  31. Best BetKansas State to win#686October 10-130LOST-1.00u
  32. Best BetMiami (OH) to win#682October 10-205WON+0.49u
  33. App State to win#681October 10-350LOST-1.00u
  34. East Carolina to win#680October 10-350WON+0.29u
  35. Florida to win#677October 10-400LOST-1.00u
  36. Oklahoma State to win#674October 10-385WON+0.26u
  37. Army to win#673October 10-179WON+0.56u
  38. Bowling Green to win#672October 10-320WON+0.31u
  39. Indiana to win#671October 10-310WON+0.32u
  40. Best BetNC State to win#670October 10+155LOST-1.00u
  41. Best BetPittsburgh to win#669October 10-160LOST-1.00u
  42. Best BetArizona to win#668October 10-154WON+0.65u
  43. Best BetMissouri to win#667October 10-182WON+0.55u
  44. BYU to win#623October 9-449WON+0.22u
  45. Washington to win#616October 9-135LOST-1.00u
  46. Best BetSan Jose State to win#615October 9-173LOST-1.00u
  47. Best BetUtah State to win#614October 9-175WON+0.57u
  48. Best BetLouisville to win#603October 9-180WON+0.56u
  49. Best BetArkansas State to win#555October 8-150LOST-1.00u
  50. Best BetUTSA to win#554October 8-195WON+0.51u
  51. Liberty to win#551October 8-549WON+0.18u
  52. Best BetWestern Kentucky to win#546October 8+110WON+1.10u
  53. Best BetFlorida International to win#488October 7-240WON+0.42u
  54. Best BetJacksonville State to win#487October 7-144WON+0.69u
  55. Troy to win#426October 6-330WON+0.30u
  56. Best BetHawai'i to win#228October 3-130LOST-1.00u
  57. Arizona to win#227October 3-250WON+0.40u
  58. Texas State to win#218October 3-345LOST-1.00u
  59. Best BetArizona State to win#217October 3-160LOST-1.00u
  60. Best BetFresno State to win#208October 3+110WON+1.10u