AGATHANo gut feelings

College Football Track Record: Predictions

since October 1st, 2026

Every numbered pick is sealed on the Solana mainnet before its start and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 15
Record
53-18-074.6% won
Net units
-0.67u
ROI
-0.9%
Picks graded
71

Running units, October 1 to October 16: -0.67u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run10 straight winsfrom ticket #182 to #204
  • Longest losing run3 straight lossesfrom ticket #694 to #696
  • Best dayOctober 14, +1.25u1 pick, 1-0
  • Worst dayOctober 10, -2.90u26 picks, 17-9
Last 10 picks7-3, -0.14unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in college football, winners and losers.

  • Moneylineaverage price -237
    W-L
    53-18
    Win %
    74.6%
    Net
    -0.67u
    ROI
    -0.9%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favourites
    W-L
    49-14
    Win %
    77.8%
    Net
    -2.58u
    ROI
    -4.1%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    4-4
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    +1.91u
    ROI
    23.9%

By confidence

  • Under 55%small sample
    W-L
    9-9
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -1.00u
    ROI
    -5.6%
  • 55-59%small sample
    W-L
    2-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.59u
    ROI
    29.7%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    1-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -0.62u
    ROI
    -30.8%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    3-3
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -2.13u
    ROI
    -35.6%
  • 70-79%small sample
    W-L
    14-1
    Win %
    93.3%
    Net
    +2.97u
    ROI
    19.8%
  • 80% and up
    W-L
    24-4
    Win %
    85.7%
    Net
    -0.48u
    ROI
    -1.7%

Home and away

  • Home
    W-L
    33-10
    Win %
    76.7%
    Net
    -0.11u
    ROI
    -0.3%
  • Away
    W-L
    20-8
    Win %
    71.4%
    Net
    -0.56u
    ROI
    -2.0%

Closing line: of 65 picks with a closing price, 30 beat it, 32 matched it and 3 were worse; the sealed price was 1.01% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 11small sample2 picks
    W-L
    2-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +1.42u
    ROI
    70.8%
  • Week of October 430 picks
    W-L
    20-10
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    -3.19u
    ROI
    -10.6%
  • Week of September 2739 picks
    W-L
    31-8
    Win %
    79.5%
    Net
    +1.11u
    ROI
    2.8%

By month

  • October 202671 picks
    W-L
    53-18
    Win %
    74.6%
    Net
    -0.67u
    ROI
    -0.9%

By day

October 202671 picks - 53-18 - -0.67u

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

College Football tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Texas State to win#1075October 15-599WON+0.17u
  2. Missouri State to win#1013October 14+125WON+1.25u
  3. Boise State to win#757October 10-290WON+0.34u
  4. Utah to win#748October 10-650WON+0.15u
  5. Penn State to win#732October 10-103LOST-1.00u
  6. Louisiana to win#731October 10+134LOST-1.00u
  7. Air Force to win#730October 10-275WON+0.36u
  8. Virginia to win#729October 10-520WON+0.19u
  9. James Madison to win#728October 10-260WON+0.38u
  10. LSU to win#724October 10-330LOST-1.00u
  11. Nevada to win#723October 10-350WON+0.29u
  12. Memphis to win#722October 10-650WON+0.15u
  13. Oregon State to win#708October 10-599WON+0.17u
  14. Tennessee to win#701October 10-526WON+0.19u
  15. UConn to win#699October 10+162WON+1.62u
  16. Ole Miss to win#697October 10-325WON+0.31u
  17. Virginia Tech to win#696October 10-375LOST-1.00u
  18. Texas to win#695October 10-323LOST-1.00u
  19. Oregon to win#694October 10-375LOST-1.00u
  20. Western Michigan to win#693October 10-500WON+0.20u
  21. Toledo to win#692October 10-1000LOST-1.00u
  22. App State to win#681October 10-350LOST-1.00u
  23. East Carolina to win#680October 10-350WON+0.29u
  24. Florida to win#677October 10-400LOST-1.00u
  25. Oklahoma State to win#674October 10-385WON+0.26u
  26. Army to win#673October 10-179WON+0.56u
  27. Bowling Green to win#672October 10-320WON+0.31u
  28. Indiana to win#671October 10-310WON+0.32u
  29. BYU to win#623October 9-449WON+0.22u
  30. Washington to win#616October 9-135LOST-1.00u
  31. Liberty to win#551October 8-549WON+0.18u
  32. Troy to win#426October 6-330WON+0.30u
  33. Arizona to win#227October 3-250WON+0.40u
  34. Texas State to win#218October 3-345LOST-1.00u
  35. Indiana to win#204October 3-2000WON+0.05u
  36. USC to win#195October 3-260WON+0.38u
  37. Miami to win#194October 3-599WON+0.17u
  38. Texas Tech to win#193October 3-549WON+0.18u
  39. Boise State to win#192October 3-1099WON+0.09u
  40. Georgia Southern to win#186October 3-130WON+0.77u
  41. BYU to win#185October 3-200WON+0.50u
  42. UTSA to win#184October 3-450WON+0.22u
  43. Texas A&M to win#183October 3-500WON+0.20u
  44. South Alabama to win#182October 3-500WON+0.20u
  45. Colorado State to win#171October 3+222LOST-1.00u
  46. Illinois to win#166October 3-350LOST-1.00u
  47. Nebraska to win#163October 3-650WON+0.15u
  48. New Mexico to win#162October 3-1930WON+0.05u
  49. Missouri to win#155October 3+190WON+1.90u
  50. James Madison to win#154October 3-599WON+0.17u
  51. Ohio State to win#153October 3-650WON+0.15u
  52. Louisville to win#152October 3-167LOST-1.00u
  53. Tennessee to win#151October 3-210WON+0.48u
  54. Central Michigan to win#150October 3-250WON+0.40u
  55. Miami (OH) to win#149October 3-450LOST-1.00u
  56. North Dakota State to win#148October 3-850WON+0.12u
  57. UAB to win#147October 3-4500WON+0.02u
  58. Toledo to win#138October 3-1200WON+0.08u
  59. Western Michigan to win#136October 3-500WON+0.20u
  60. Georgia to win#134October 3-2829WON+0.04u