AGATHANo gut feelings

College Football Track Record

since October 1st, 2026

Every college football pick Agatha made since the record began, Best Bets and Predictions alike: each sealed on the Solana mainnet before its game and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 17
Record
94-52-064.4% won
Net units
-9.61u
ROI
-6.6%
Picks graded
146

By tier

  • Best Bets59 picks
    W-L
    29-30
    Win %
    49.2%
    Net
    -10.17u
    ROI
    -17.2%
  • Predictions87 picks
    W-L
    65-22
    Win %
    74.7%
    Net
    +0.56u
    ROI
    0.6%

Running units, October 1 to October 17: -9.61u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run8 straight winsfrom ticket #123 to #130
  • Longest losing run3 straight lossesfrom ticket #731 to #743
  • Best dayOctober 14, +2.18u2 picks, 2-0
  • Worst dayOctober 10, -6.48u41 picks, 24-17
Last 10 picks7-3, -0.39unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in college football, winners and losers.

  • Moneyline59 Best Bets 29-30 -10.17u - 87 Predictions 65-22 +0.56u - average price -181
    W-L
    94-52
    Win %
    64.4%
    Net
    -9.61u
    ROI
    -6.6%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favourites
    W-L
    86-41
    Win %
    67.7%
    Net
    -9.31u
    ROI
    -7.3%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    8-11
    Win %
    42.1%
    Net
    -0.30u
    ROI
    -1.6%

By confidence

  • Under 55%
    W-L
    11-10
    Win %
    52.4%
    Net
    +0.35u
    ROI
    1.7%
  • 55-59%small sample
    W-L
    7-10
    Win %
    41.2%
    Net
    -4.68u
    ROI
    -27.5%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    9-5
    Win %
    64.3%
    Net
    -0.23u
    ROI
    -1.6%
  • 65-69%
    W-L
    9-11
    Win %
    45.0%
    Net
    -7.02u
    ROI
    -35.1%
  • 70-79%
    W-L
    28-6
    Win %
    82.4%
    Net
    +5.80u
    ROI
    17.1%
  • 80% and up
    W-L
    30-10
    Win %
    75.0%
    Net
    -3.84u
    ROI
    -9.6%

Home and away

  • Home
    W-L
    58-29
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    -5.62u
    ROI
    -6.5%
  • Away
    W-L
    36-23
    Win %
    61.0%
    Net
    -4.00u
    ROI
    -6.8%

Closing line: of 135 picks with a closing price, 59 beat it, 66 matched it and 10 were worse; the sealed price was 0.95% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 1137 picks
    W-L
    22-15
    Win %
    59.5%
    Net
    -3.06u
    ROI
    -8.3%
  • Week of October 453 picks
    W-L
    33-20
    Win %
    62.3%
    Net
    -4.92u
    ROI
    -9.3%
  • Week of September 2756 picks
    W-L
    39-17
    Win %
    69.6%
    Net
    -1.63u
    ROI
    -2.9%

By month

  • October 2026146 picks
    W-L
    94-52
    Win %
    64.4%
    Net
    -9.61u
    ROI
    -6.6%

By day

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

College Football tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Best BetLouisiana to win#1214October 17-142WON+0.70u
  2. Rice to win#1212October 17+174LOST-1.00u
  3. Toledo to win#1210October 17-275WON+0.36u
  4. Virginia Tech to win#1209October 17-330WON+0.30u
  5. Alabama to win#1208October 17-300LOST-1.00u
  6. Wyoming to win#1207October 17-280WON+0.36u
  7. Miami (OH) to win#1206October 17-350WON+0.29u
  8. Texas Tech to win#1205October 17-750WON+0.13u
  9. Best BetUNLV to win#1202October 17-115LOST-1.00u
  10. Best BetMichigan to win#1201October 17-217WON+0.46u
  11. Best BetDuke to win#1200October 17-140LOST-1.00u
  12. Best BetOle Miss to win#1199October 17-180WON+0.56u
  13. Western Michigan to win#1194October 17-285WON+0.35u
  14. Temple to win#1193October 17-1000LOST-1.00u
  15. Best BetBuffalo to win#1192October 17-230WON+0.43u
  16. Best BetMaryland to win#1190October 17-200LOST-1.00u
  17. LSU to win#1189October 17-800WON+0.13u
  18. Northwestern to win#1188October 17-275WON+0.36u
  19. SMU to win#1187October 17-350WON+0.29u
  20. Texas to win#1186October 17-455LOST-1.00u
  21. James Madison to win#1185October 17-325WON+0.31u
  22. Best BetArmy to win#1184October 17-125WON+0.80u
  23. Best BetBowling Green to win#1183October 17-225LOST-1.00u
  24. Best BetPittsburgh to win#1182October 17-221LOST-1.00u
  25. Best BetKansas State to win#1181October 17-145WON+0.69u
  26. Best BetCincinnati to win#1180October 17+107LOST-1.00u
  27. Best BetIndiana to win#1179October 17+125LOST-1.00u
  28. App State to win#1121October 16-104WON+0.96u
  29. Washington to win#1120October 16+139WON+1.39u
  30. Best BetMemphis to win#1118October 16-235LOST-1.00u
  31. Texas State to win#1075October 15-599WON+0.17u
  32. Best BetOld Dominion to win#1071October 15+145LOST-1.00u
  33. Best BetEast Carolina to win#1070October 15-190LOST-1.00u
  34. Best BetWestern Kentucky to win#1020October 14-107WON+0.93u
  35. Missouri State to win#1013October 14+125WON+1.25u
  36. Best BetJacksonville State to win#960October 13-140WON+0.71u
  37. Best BetDelaware to win#954October 13-110LOST-1.00u
  38. Boise State to win#757October 10-290WON+0.34u
  39. Utah to win#748October 10-650WON+0.15u
  40. Best BetMinnesota to win#743October 10-137LOST-1.00u
  41. Penn State to win#732October 10-103LOST-1.00u
  42. Louisiana to win#731October 10+134LOST-1.00u
  43. Air Force to win#730October 10-275WON+0.36u
  44. Virginia to win#729October 10-520WON+0.19u
  45. James Madison to win#728October 10-260WON+0.38u
  46. Best BetAlabama to win#726October 10-121LOST-1.00u
  47. LSU to win#724October 10-330LOST-1.00u
  48. Nevada to win#723October 10-350WON+0.29u
  49. Memphis to win#722October 10-650WON+0.15u
  50. Best BetNorth Dakota State to win#715October 10-130LOST-1.00u
  51. Best BetMarshall to win#714October 10-188LOST-1.00u
  52. Oregon State to win#708October 10-599WON+0.17u
  53. Tennessee to win#701October 10-526WON+0.19u
  54. UConn to win#699October 10+162WON+1.62u
  55. Ole Miss to win#697October 10-325WON+0.31u
  56. Virginia Tech to win#696October 10-375LOST-1.00u
  57. Texas to win#695October 10-323LOST-1.00u
  58. Oregon to win#694October 10-375LOST-1.00u
  59. Western Michigan to win#693October 10-500WON+0.20u
  60. Toledo to win#692October 10-1000LOST-1.00u