AGATHANo gut feelings

NFL Track Record

since October 1st, 2026

Every NFL pick Agatha made since the record began, Best Bets and Predictions alike: each sealed on the Solana mainnet before its game and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 15
Record
43-25-263.2% won
Net units
+3.16u
ROI
4.5%
Picks graded
701 void

By tier

  • Best Bets41 picks
    W-L
    25-16
    Win %
    61.0%
    Net
    -1.10u
    ROI
    -2.7%
  • Predictions29 picks
    W-L
    18-9-2
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +4.26u
    ROI
    14.7%

Running units, October 1 to October 17: +3.16u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run5 straight winsfrom ticket #797 to #801
  • Longest losing run4 straight lossesfrom ticket #893 to #1082
  • Best dayOctober 11, +5.53u25 picks, 18-6-1
  • Worst dayOctober 12, -2.31u4 picks, 1-3
Last 10 picks4-6, -2.34unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in NFL, winners and losers.

  • Moneyline14 Best Bets 9-5 +0.85u - 18 Predictions 10-7-1 -1.43u - average price -152
    W-L
    19-12-1
    Win %
    61.3%
    Net
    -0.58u
    ROI
    -1.8%
  • Spreadsmall sample11 Predictions 8-2-1 +5.69u - average price -103
    W-L
    8-2-1
    Win %
    80.0%
    Net
    +5.69u
    ROI
    51.8%
  • Player props27 Best Bets 16-11 -1.95u - average price -167
    W-L
    16-11
    Win %
    59.3%
    Net
    -1.95u
    ROI
    -7.2%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favourites
    W-L
    16-10-1
    Win %
    61.5%
    Net
    -2.59u
    ROI
    -9.6%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    3-2
    Win %
    60.0%
    Net
    +2.01u
    ROI
    40.2%

By confidence

  • Under 55%
    W-L
    12-7-2
    Win %
    63.2%
    Net
    +4.68u
    ROI
    22.3%
  • 55-59%small sample
    W-L
    2-3
    Win %
    40.0%
    Net
    -1.98u
    ROI
    -39.6%
  • 60-64%
    W-L
    18-12
    Win %
    60.0%
    Net
    -1.07u
    ROI
    -3.6%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    6-2
    Win %
    75.0%
    Net
    +0.75u
    ROI
    9.4%
  • 70-79%small sample
    W-L
    3-1
    Win %
    75.0%
    Net
    +0.32u
    ROI
    8.0%
  • 80% and upsmall sample
    W-L
    2-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.46u
    ROI
    23.0%

Home and away

  • Home
    W-L
    13-8-2
    Win %
    61.9%
    Net
    +0.47u
    ROI
    2.0%
  • Away
    W-L
    14-6
    Win %
    70.0%
    Net
    +4.64u
    ROI
    23.2%

Overs and unders

  • Overssmall sample
    W-L
    5-2
    Win %
    71.4%
    Net
    +1.01u
    ROI
    14.5%
  • Unders
    W-L
    11-9
    Win %
    55.0%
    Net
    -2.97u
    ROI
    -14.8%

Closing line: of 57 picks with a closing price, 19 beat it, 33 matched it and 5 were worse; the sealed price was 0.46% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 1131 picks
    W-L
    19-11-1
    Win %
    63.3%
    Net
    +1.22u
    ROI
    3.9%
  • Week of October 432 picks
    W-L
    20-11-1
    Win %
    64.5%
    Net
    +2.27u
    ROI
    7.1%
  • Week of September 27small sample7 picks
    W-L
    4-3
    Win %
    57.1%
    Net
    -0.33u
    ROI
    -4.7%

By month

  • October 202670 picks
    W-L
    43-25-2
    Win %
    63.2%
    Net
    +3.16u
    ROI
    4.5%

By day

October 202670 picks - 43-25 - +3.16u
SMTWTFS1-0.3u4-3234+2.9u17-85-0.3u1-1678-0.3u2-291011+5.5u18-612-2.3u1-3131415-2.0u0-216171819202122232425262728293031

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

NFL tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Best BetJ.K. Dobbins Under 1.5 receptions#1082October 15-229LOST-1.00u
  2. Best BetSeattle Seahawks to win#1081October 15-140LOST-1.00u
  3. Los Angeles Rams to win#894October 12-172LOST-1.00u
  4. Best BetTy Johnson Under 2.5 receptions#893October 12-190LOST-1.00u
  5. Best BetKeon Coleman Under 3.5 receptions#892October 12-145WON+0.69u
  6. Best BetColby Parkinson Over 1.5 receptions#891October 12-168LOST-1.00u
  7. Baltimore Ravens to win#829October 11+156WON+1.56u
  8. Baltimore Ravens +3.5#828October 11-110WON+0.91u
  9. Best BetTory Horton Under 1.5 receptions#820October 11-198WON+0.51u
  10. Best BetSeattle Seahawks to win#819October 11-159LOST-1.00u
  11. Best BetIsaac TeSlaa Under 2.5 receptions#818October 11-172WON+0.58u
  12. Best BetDetroit Lions to win#817October 11-237WON+0.42u
  13. Best BetDenver Broncos to win#816October 11-180WON+0.56u
  14. Chicago Bears to win#814October 11-112LOST-1.00u
  15. Washington Commanders to win#813October 11-172PUSH+0.00u
  16. Cincinnati Bengals to win#812October 11-340WON+0.29u
  17. Houston Texans to win#811October 11-304WON+0.33u
  18. Minnesota Vikings -2.5#810October 11-105WON+0.95u
  19. New England Patriots -3.5#809October 11+100WON+1.00u
  20. Cleveland Browns +2.5#808October 11+104LOST-1.00u
  21. Best BetJonnu Smith Under 1.5 receptions#807October 11-222WON+0.45u
  22. Best BetCam Skattebo Under 2.5 receptions#806October 11-190WON+0.53u
  23. Best BetGermie Bernard Under 2.5 receptions#805October 11-155LOST-1.00u
  24. Best BetPittsburgh Steelers to win#804October 11-148WON+0.68u
  25. Best BetRaheim Sanders Over 1.5 receptions#803October 11-163LOST-1.00u
  26. Best BetCleveland Browns to win#802October 11+129LOST-1.00u
  27. Best BetMinnesota Vikings to win#801October 11-133WON+0.75u
  28. Best BetEfton Chism III Over 1.5 receptions#800October 11-172WON+0.58u
  29. Best BetNew England Patriots to win#799October 11-177WON+0.56u
  30. Best BetTyjae Spears Over 1.5 receptions#798October 11-175WON+0.57u
  31. Jacksonville Jaguars to win#797October 11-333WON+0.30u
  32. Dallas Cowboys to win#563October 8-465LOST-1.00u
  33. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9.5#562October 8-102WON+0.98u
  34. Best BetKenny Gainwell Over 1.5 receptions#561October 8-141WON+0.71u
  35. Best BetEmeka Egbuka Under 3.5 receptions#560October 8-145LOST-1.00u
  36. New Orleans Saints to win#369October 5-108LOST-1.00u
  37. Best BetOlamide Zaccheaus Under 1.5 receptions#368October 5-153WON+0.65u
  38. Best BetNoah Fant Over 1.5 receptions#367October 5-161VOID0.00u
  39. Best BetDetroit Lions to win#296October 4-200LOST-1.00u
  40. Seattle Seahawks to win#290October 4-315WON+0.32u
  41. Seattle Seahawks -7#289October 4-101PUSH+0.00u
  42. Best BetSan Francisco 49ers to win#288October 4-152WON+0.66u
  43. Best BetKansas City Chiefs to win#287October 4-215WON+0.47u
  44. Minnesota Vikings to win#286October 4-499WON+0.20u
  45. Green Bay Packers to win#273October 4-146WON+0.68u
  46. Philadelphia Eagles to win#272October 4+167LOST-1.00u
  47. Jacksonville Jaguars to win#271October 4+125WON+1.25u
  48. Buffalo Bills to win#270October 4-300LOST-1.00u
  49. Baltimore Ravens to win#269October 4-699WON+0.14u
  50. Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5#268October 4+100WON+1.00u
  51. Philadelphia Eagles +3.5#267October 4-102LOST-1.00u
  52. New York Giants +2.5#266October 4-105WON+0.95u
  53. Chicago Bears -3.5#265October 4-101WON+0.99u
  54. Best BetFoster Moreau Under 1.5 receptions#264October 4-206WON+0.49u
  55. Best BetHouston Texans to win#263October 4-145LOST-1.00u
  56. Best BetJonnu Smith Under 1.5 receptions#262October 4-208WON+0.48u
  57. Best BetTez Johnson Under 1.5 receptions#261October 4-235LOST-1.00u
  58. Best BetJohnny Mundt Under 1.5 receptions#260October 4-201WON+0.50u
  59. Best BetNew York Giants to win#259October 4+120WON+1.20u
  60. Best BetD'Andre Swift Under 2.5 receptions#258October 4-179WON+0.56u