AGATHANo gut feelings

NFL Track Record: Predictions

since October 1st, 2026

Every numbered pick is sealed on the Solana mainnet before its start and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 12
Record
18-9-266.7% won
Net units
+4.26u
ROI
14.7%
Picks graded
29

Running units, October 1 to October 16: +4.26u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run4 straight winsfrom ticket #809 to #812
  • Best dayOctober 11, +3.34u10 picks, 7-2-1
  • Worst dayOctober 12, -1.00u1 pick, 0-1
Last 10 picks6-3-1, +2.04unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in NFL, winners and losers.

  • Moneylinesmall sampleaverage price -157
    W-L
    10-7-1
    Win %
    58.8%
    Net
    -1.43u
    ROI
    -8.0%
  • Spreadsmall sampleaverage price -103
    W-L
    8-2-1
    Win %
    80.0%
    Net
    +5.69u
    ROI
    51.8%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favouritessmall sample
    W-L
    8-6-1
    Win %
    57.1%
    Net
    -3.24u
    ROI
    -21.6%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    2-1
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +1.81u
    ROI
    60.3%

By confidence

  • Under 55%
    W-L
    12-7-2
    Win %
    63.2%
    Net
    +4.68u
    ROI
    22.3%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.29u
    ROI
    29.4%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    2-1
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    -0.37u
    ROI
    -12.4%
  • 70-79%small sample
    W-L
    1-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -0.80u
    ROI
    -40.0%
  • 80% and upsmall sample
    W-L
    2-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.46u
    ROI
    23.0%

Home and away

  • Homesmall sample
    W-L
    8-6-2
    Win %
    57.1%
    Net
    -1.19u
    ROI
    -7.4%
  • Awaysmall sample
    W-L
    10-3
    Win %
    76.9%
    Net
    +5.45u
    ROI
    41.9%

Closing line: of 17 picks with a closing price, 10 beat it, 5 matched it and 2 were worse; the sealed price was 0.67% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 11small sample11 picks
    W-L
    7-3-1
    Win %
    70.0%
    Net
    +2.34u
    ROI
    21.3%
  • Week of October 4small sample16 picks
    W-L
    10-5-1
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +2.01u
    ROI
    12.5%
  • Week of September 27small sample2 picks
    W-L
    1-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -0.09u
    ROI
    -4.5%

By month

  • October 202629 picks
    W-L
    18-9-2
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +4.26u
    ROI
    14.7%

By day

October 202629 picks - 18-9 - +4.26u
SMTWTFS1-0.1u1-1234+3.0u9-35-1.0u0-1678+0.0u1-191011+3.3u7-212-1.0u0-113141516171819202122232425262728293031

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

NFL tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Los Angeles Rams to win#894October 12-172LOST-1.00u
  2. Baltimore Ravens to win#829October 11+156WON+1.56u
  3. Baltimore Ravens +3.5#828October 11-110WON+0.91u
  4. Chicago Bears to win#814October 11-112LOST-1.00u
  5. Washington Commanders to win#813October 11-172PUSH+0.00u
  6. Cincinnati Bengals to win#812October 11-340WON+0.29u
  7. Houston Texans to win#811October 11-304WON+0.33u
  8. Minnesota Vikings -2.5#810October 11-105WON+0.95u
  9. New England Patriots -3.5#809October 11+100WON+1.00u
  10. Cleveland Browns +2.5#808October 11+104LOST-1.00u
  11. Jacksonville Jaguars to win#797October 11-333WON+0.30u
  12. Dallas Cowboys to win#563October 8-465LOST-1.00u
  13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9.5#562October 8-102WON+0.98u
  14. New Orleans Saints to win#369October 5-108LOST-1.00u
  15. Seattle Seahawks to win#290October 4-315WON+0.32u
  16. Seattle Seahawks -7#289October 4-101PUSH+0.00u
  17. Minnesota Vikings to win#286October 4-499WON+0.20u
  18. Green Bay Packers to win#273October 4-146WON+0.68u
  19. Philadelphia Eagles to win#272October 4+167LOST-1.00u
  20. Jacksonville Jaguars to win#271October 4+125WON+1.25u
  21. Buffalo Bills to win#270October 4-300LOST-1.00u
  22. Baltimore Ravens to win#269October 4-699WON+0.14u
  23. Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5#268October 4+100WON+1.00u
  24. Philadelphia Eagles +3.5#267October 4-102LOST-1.00u
  25. New York Giants +2.5#266October 4-105WON+0.95u
  26. Chicago Bears -3.5#265October 4-101WON+0.99u
  27. Indianapolis Colts to win#250October 4-205WON+0.49u
  28. Cleveland Browns +3#28October 1-110WON+0.91u
  29. Pittsburgh Steelers to win#27October 1-148LOST-1.00u