8-5 -0.10u
October 2026
Top NFL picks history by date.
SMTWTFS
Board historySunday, October 4 - 45 events8-5 -0.10u
2:05 AMNFL Laquon Treadwell Under 1.5 receptions listed - LEAN 1u, 61%, +144 DraftKings
2:05 AMNFL Chicago Bears to win listed - LEAN 1u, 77%, -180 BetUS
2:05 AMNFL Cole Kmet Under 1.5 receptions listed - LEAN 1u, 63%, -174 FanDuel
2:05 AMNFL D'Andre Swift Under 2.5 receptions listed - LEAN 1u, 61%, -179 DraftKings
2:05 AMNFL New York Giants to win listed - LEAN 1u DOG, 60%, +120 BetMGM
2:05 AMNFL Johnny Mundt Under 1.5 receptions listed - LEAN 1u, 65%, -201 DraftKings
2:05 AMNFL Tez Johnson Under 1.5 receptions listed - LEAN 1u, 65%, -235 FanDuel
2:05 AMNFL Jonnu Smith Under 1.5 receptions listed - LEAN 1u, 63%, -208 DraftKings
2:05 AMNFL Houston Texans to win listed - LEAN 1u, 63%, -145 Bovada
2:05 AMNFL Foster Moreau Under 1.5 receptions listed - LEAN 1u, 63%, -206 DraftKings
2:05 AMNFL Kansas City Chiefs to win listed - LEAN 1u, 58%, -215 Pinnacle
2:05 AMNFL San Francisco 49ers to win listed - LEAN 1u, 62%, -152 Unibet
2:05 AMNFL Detroit Lions to win listed - LEAN 1u, 59%, -200 Betfair
2:05 AMNFL Darius Slayton Under 1.5 receptions listed - LEAN 1u, 62%, -217 BetOnline
2:05 AMNFL Theo Johnson Under 1.5 receptions listed - LEAN 1u, 64%, -232 DraftKings
2:05 AMNFL Kayshon Boutte Under 2.5 receptions listed - LEAN 1u, 62%, -185 DraftKings
9:15 AM#249NFL Laquon Treadwell Under 1.5 receptions sealed 15 minutes before start - 61% and +144 DraftKings frozen
9:15 AMNFL Darius Slayton Under 1.5 receptions removed - only 1 sportsbook had a current price on Under 1.5 receptions at the lock
12:45 PM#256NFL Chicago Bears to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 77% and -180 BetUS frozen
12:45 PM#257NFL Cole Kmet Under 1.5 receptions sealed 15 minutes before start - 63% and -174 FanDuel frozen
12:45 PM#258NFL D'Andre Swift Under 2.5 receptions sealed 15 minutes before start - 61% and -179 DraftKings frozen
12:45 PM#259NFL New York Giants to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 60% and +120 BetMGM frozen
12:45 PM#260NFL Johnny Mundt Under 1.5 receptions sealed 15 minutes before start - 65% and -201 DraftKings frozen
12:45 PM#261NFL Tez Johnson Under 1.5 receptions sealed 15 minutes before start - 65% and -235 FanDuel frozen
12:45 PM#262NFL Jonnu Smith Under 1.5 receptions sealed 15 minutes before start - 63% and -208 DraftKings frozen
12:45 PM#263NFL Houston Texans to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 63% and -145 Bovada frozen
12:45 PM#264NFL Foster Moreau Under 1.5 receptions sealed 15 minutes before start - 63% and -206 DraftKings frozen
12:45 PMNFL Theo Johnson Under 1.5 receptions removed - most sportsbooks had moved to 0.5 receptions by the lock
12:45 PMNFL Kayshon Boutte Under 2.5 receptions removed - most sportsbooks had moved to 1.5 receptions by the lock
12:45 PM#249NFL Laquon Treadwell Under 1.5 receptions FINAL - Finished with 5 receptions - LOST -1.00u
3:58 PM#256NFL Chicago Bears to win FINAL - NYJ 12 - CHI 23 - WON +0.56u
4:01 PM#257NFL Cole Kmet Under 1.5 receptions FINAL - Finished with 2 receptions - LOST -1.00u
4:01 PM#258NFL D'Andre Swift Under 2.5 receptions FINAL - Finished with 2 receptions - WON +0.56u
4:01 PM#261NFL Tez Johnson Under 1.5 receptions FINAL - Finished with 2 receptions - LOST -1.00u
4:01 PM#262NFL Jonnu Smith Under 1.5 receptions FINAL - Finished with 1 receptions - WON +0.48u
4:10 PM#287NFL Kansas City Chiefs to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 58% and -215 Pinnacle frozen
4:10 PM#288NFL San Francisco 49ers to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 62% and -152 Unibet frozen
4:14 PM#259NFL New York Giants to win FINAL - ARI 24 - NYG 36 - WON +1.20u
4:15 PM#263NFL Houston Texans to win FINAL - DAL 34 - HOU 30 - LOST -1.00u
4:18 PM#264NFL Foster Moreau Under 1.5 receptions FINAL - Finished with 1 receptions - WON +0.49u
4:20 PM#260NFL Johnny Mundt Under 1.5 receptions FINAL - Finished with 0 receptions - WON +0.50u
7:39 PM#288NFL San Francisco 49ers to win FINAL - DEN 14 - SF 24 - WON +0.66u
7:47 PM#287NFL Kansas City Chiefs to win FINAL - KC 30 - LV 27 - WON +0.47u
8:05 PM#296NFL Detroit Lions to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 59% and -200 Betfair frozen
11:43 PM#296NFL Detroit Lions to win FINAL - DET 26 - CAR 32 - LOST -1.00u
Times are Eastern and mark when the board changed, not the game clock.
Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders - 9:30 AM ETFinished with 5 receptions61%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS+144
The receptions read: Laquon Treadwell Under 1.5. That means a quieter night than the 2.1 receptions a game he has been running.Sealed Pick #249 @ Oct 4, 9:15 AM ETFingerprinta7d57a4cb106ccc90b9fa3150c26b570bf079d8f3ea3f7cb71c06abaf4b0f50bTransaction2ZCT5LcTZVUVbuxG2oZv3geDJnrHqGQtrBdHYpKMPp7PXRV3Nq5mA4gLYpev9TsKLAtYkWQR6WiknLtdTwacx3SnOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
New York Jets at Chicago Bears - 1:00 PM ETAgatha predicts NYJ 18, CHI 28Final: NYJ 12 - CHI 2377%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS-180
The Chicago Bears come out on top in Agatha's read of this game. She has this one NYJ 18, CHI 28 on the scoreboard. Case Keenum is the name to know, coming off 24/34, 247 YDS, 2 TD in the Bears' last final.Sealed Pick #256 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint524124d99a80885e6209e50b6afe3bae1666e45243e683ea9a3c823293bdc5e6Transaction3sRdN4mQg8RWZhkBw388PHmtKNGgVFQzGRw1zwfEFjzXGdwJeu5XRt4tsjecTMcBQcdywAveDCuDMio8Z9hTZg5COpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82- 63%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS-174
The receptions read: Cole Kmet Under 1.5. His recent rate sits near 1.4 receptions a game.Sealed Pick #257 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprintccdd3d3127e45ea0066e09426692be3613c6a7acfc4decb50c15497aae6e4c69TransactionXkyp7AnBUGaT5vqy6GWPh8qQFZMsy3oy6iZD15TQKLh7d2bQop7iwhwyD6FTx4JgofA2qWsH6ns6txqTZFEgAvZOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82 - New York Jets at Chicago Bears - 1:00 PM ETFinished with 2 receptions61%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS-179The model's number on D'Andre Swift is 2.2 catches; at a line of 2.5, that reads under. His recent rate sits near 2.2 receptions a game.Sealed Pick #258 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprintac75ce53b2ea5c131e5d536f718f7068dc8192398922d7a1f947f2890d42743cTransactionTPXsYih15Dv8nAN5U4RmSjZ78owMf56qyiZvWBpcxE3AWVVh6vvG4QXYbrtKRNTSNupFS2dRWcnJas7Vvch6UHsOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants - 1:00 PM ETAgatha predicts ARI 21, NYG 24Final: ARI 24 - NYG 3660%WONLEANDOG1UWONSEALED ODDS+120
Agatha's NFL model sides with the New York Giants at 60%. The prediction holds the Cardinals to 21 against 24 for the Giants. Jameis Winston led the Giants last time out with 14/22, 118 YDS.Sealed Pick #259 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint2f92c49425683f70f4471be2e86b631c9305fa6d78fd6bc42e81953877e0fbb2Transaction4qoGBTVWRERdTrxA1wEhgrVC4zKYWUe4bot6VSiAdbfMhmEmyBugQDLZBzCuJ6CNnHw9QKrWam3vu61ufvw988LaOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles - 1:00 PM ETFinished with 0 receptions65%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS-201Her prediction for Johnny Mundt is 1.2 receptions, and the line asks 1.5, so she takes the under at 65%. His recent rate sits near 1.1 receptions a game. The matchup helps the under: the Rams hold teams to about 20.4 catches a game, under the league's 21.5.Sealed Pick #260 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint57569f1f4562d8893a6eee04db9a1832c07672c55c961f20ee633bf865ca1b90TransactionysozPeH7bQ5gJM8SRC13aSYwJsSHfv4XUUv2G264cD3HSfmTutaz67yWzmkvV4sa7neot3sctpehE39Gohk2DiwOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 1:00 PM ETFinished with 2 receptions65%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS-235The receptions read: Tez Johnson Under 1.5. Johnson has been running about 1.4 catches a game. The matchup helps the under: the Packers hold teams to about 20.2 catches a game, under the league's 21.5.Sealed Pick #261 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint0b96c3a85c77710a6137c1f4fe10e645aa8c8e16ac59c1eea4d5d8cd99f042ccTransaction3AVcWdwouvwoDyUksEA3nSpT5GDXXEMkBpNYWjz1G79WpCs6YW8q5ejqvDqLNw1BwpVrpywtsDVYtL987au7yNn3Open key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82- Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 1:00 PM ETFinished with 1 receptions63%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS-208The receptions read: Jonnu Smith Under 1.5. The call asks a quieter night than the 2.1 catches a game he has been running.Sealed Pick #262 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint393821949c7457c240a03cf085730efdac531d9bd98bf801d1d30212af4985b0Transaction52kKuWRNGe4kmfRX8fg3pKNmbq7YmrbAkyK4457vfhA7aJi6mM54LQ1KdqsEVanCbBRik2FCmquKBDqL3SUVPHscOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans - 1:00 PM ETAgatha predicts DAL 21, HOU 26Final: DAL 34 - HOU 3063%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS-145
Agatha leans the Houston Texans in this one. Her numbers play it out 26-21 in favor of the Texans. In their last completed game, the Texans got 16/27, 167 YDS, 1 TD from C.J. Stroud.Sealed Pick #263 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint3253c34feb5bd4baf5556897e4a95ea0d8a849160c73b6489d2b8c2c3302c985TransactionCbPt65FbWUPzrRBfvFtQ9x8iRK7FL3r1MnUFGTmsZJdHTmCaaG4RvEsqKUBFaciiaES3r52ziH526hnzHeBiR9kOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82- Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans - 1:00 PM ETFinished with 1 receptions63%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS-206Agatha leans Foster Moreau Under 1.5 receptions. The call asks a quieter night than the 1.7 catches a game he has been running.Sealed Pick #264 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprintcfa34ad98db51b91802d998d6c52809bd1603c08367311f089cf4d5dbbf063e9Transaction5fo7AuH9XiK5dMZRFBTSukY3SgTKkKCxhfUYQraQ9GqcFr4KbibQJdJACGp9eStwtRxhJGmxBrm7T4ULaDnVBANKOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders - 4:25 PM ETAgatha predicts KC 24, LV 21Final: KC 30 - LV 2758%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS-215
Agatha leans the Kansas City Chiefs in this one. Her numbers play it out 24-21 in favor of the Chiefs. In their last completed game, the Chiefs got 20/24, 246 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT from Patrick Mahomes.Sealed Pick #287 @ Oct 4, 4:10 PM ETFingerprint1b20231162491d84a5d596a4ba99254db789d177489a99fa821cdfc9b5c05bceTransaction4obAniS7hnWZTZtdN3WLFAwjPbriuKSGUxYbG7MCqkiwG3PomBj1VDMUDPPjE3daZi3hQ1DBYKrjfcRBuume5daFOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers - 4:25 PM ETAgatha predicts DEN 21, SF 25Final: DEN 14 - SF 2462%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS-152
This game tilts to the San Francisco 49ers on Agatha's numbers. She has this one DEN 21, SF 25 on the scoreboard. Brock Purdy is the name to know, coming off 15/27, 297 YDS, 4 TD in the 49ers' last final.Sealed Pick #288 @ Oct 4, 4:10 PM ETFingerprintde2577f729e901faf204e31d3ec01b3d36c5ac92c9aeccf4e92263d5afd8f5a4TransactionZNeNNWpPTZ1yviFd4u9EvduqMB5ShVHvQmaRVTg8iHM7pUUGvdAG6CkrhE6URhYL8oZtwfPCVnCcv2Ztyio9rDtOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers - 8:20 PM ETAgatha predicts DET 26, CAR 23Final: DET 26 - CAR 3259%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS-200
Agatha's call: the Detroit Lions. Her prediction lands DET 26, CAR 23. Last time out, Jared Goff put up 25/32, 269 YDS, 2 TD for the Lions.Sealed Pick #296 @ Oct 4, 8:05 PM ETFingerprintffcad6254a49c2fb33216937956a97e2a218b242e6a7a95ec19cd1608053f7efTransaction4NBoALwgq6LACpkbmXTcAis7T3yaayU87bLHR6pUJhjFF7aRPopt7bh3gGpUrqQa7YjqYXEihSnm1oHkqvKhwTkrOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
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No NFL Best Bets on October 4, 2026
No NFL game cleared the bar that day. Agatha's calls on that day's games are in the predictions below.
Sunday's NFL Predictions
10 gamesThe rest of Sunday's NFL games, each with Agatha's call. Each call with a line was sealed before its start and graded in All Picks on the track record.
- Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders - 9:30 AM ET53%WONPRED1UWONSEALED ODDS-205Sealed Pick #250 @ Oct 4, 9:15 AM ETFingerprint7968582dc5ddde088aca9f8adf310f168181c89718b8097a23168d5736a96af3Transaction2MrLhM2p44skS18CYWDRGZAMsbLmv27atseKgxFJ9sCLd4U4vk7DfmUsezMcRScbZ5tTJba6rGNy751RAAJXT3LbOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - 1:00 PM ET70%LOSTPRED1ULOSTSEALED ODDS-300
Sealed Pick #270 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint7ac1db088deca2d2689f8ef01db470c692bf5732269d2738cd855bc0152e3828Transaction4YeT8mYGYLTNkfGjM7BEECWi2bqyKuwSp2tyqpbDmdALZzZwkXitKcxPhXKeBGWsAXVPTutCGWF9SvSbUW5Df3piOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82- Sealed Pick #265 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint7d749f4dd21ebaa9bfda996046bdc4ccdf508758179580a0d57afa3726cd4cd3Transaction3onTVgaVCNs26oupyKeVZk9Kvcum4WsKtcERWWzSVPF6KXjkE1aFPkSvcA7p8EEDaUjZ41Lck6NpSZTXNEVDjcemOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals - 1:00 PM ET53%WONPREDDOG1UWONSEALED ODDS+125Sealed Pick #271 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint25d42f75be72f785f946d3dc706ba45b666353e8993b63192099207838f53ff2Transaction4gqF6YRhF43c7kyVk7vUPyd8myLBWYFK9HceEy5ZTv6xhUCSFpRmCWr2UuCeCy4uEcVJV9a6U8awbL99Yh4fr3dkOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82- Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals - 1:00 PM ET49%WONPRED1UWONSEALED ODDS+100
Sealed Pick #268 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprinta87efd31af545825f707bb66f63a5f171be4f4c109e8577650d218c25e5026b1TransactionDSF7Hd7uFdg8UJA8d7ANcC9JrMjBg6S12bPfSC3DmVQcTeL1upB3mwg7uoFtmGARMzbxG6GmxBBGqqx2BMjfhL4Open key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82 - Sealed Pick #266 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint050560afeb4679bc1474d2d1ca90d7cbebff13bea4d9a172856187e30fb645f5Transaction4K9CJQ7vGNo646tyuTtZgfN4aBva4QGew2UjF6WkSUqKhxorwzq9mbPgMRK2qKJHHoVCj94wCNySqaStsTD7FE3iOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
- Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles - 1:00 PM ET53%LOSTPREDDOG1ULOSTSEALED ODDS+167Sealed Pick #272 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint9e8d4be82151b26b9f3d18c7a884178875f01b53a58a663c63ee70faa460acf2TransactionG1JGjRQ99D3LdGTEHGQx6Q7ThrDYq9cC8tR2s8vb9BcyZ1LeaExwMfsXHusgsATotpBeCXc1FsMfwFjKYjwpwWaOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
- Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles - 1:00 PM ET50%LOSTPRED1ULOSTSEALED ODDS-102Sealed Pick #267 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprinte02c2a36c5079bf9f189245baff6ad46d95862cdb47853aa3b67152e7381048aTransactionSYHacPXjd3ikDsq1DxLJPpVdoAuH4GU97JGysHJeKpciE5RvLTtDieKM6Q1JvUXf5gv7hcZjbvYRDM2uTAx91nAOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
- Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 1:00 PM ET50%WONPRED1UWONSEALED ODDS-146Sealed Pick #273 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint4accf675e0bd1485575b8fce04299b2dc5a726c83ae23acbccf160bd87d81148Transaction61oWTv3HUFKGUnYRYYwpNbHmHdeRXDBDhE59bM8oEE4iFm9HJYMiRuKZZSCg9NsBmXWfMEkEcYk8E9ujcwcR5LBROpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens - 1:00 PM ET84%WONPRED1UWONSEALED ODDS-699Sealed Pick #269 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprintec79a2bbcaa913fdda17767e91c88fb79337fdb721accf61466d0e4e1b725712Transaction5sUKxnVLsQLCkNMA8KuPLCdejZt6dQ3kzEBrhoEovpiK9xRvRSf2A5znxia4EhEK3tjZkqJqnZ4SJiqT7EJSSBFbOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings - 4:05 PM ET79%WONPRED1UWONSEALED ODDS-499Sealed Pick #286 @ Oct 4, 3:50 PM ETFingerprint819f74d1acd1529fbe2363f32ee1ba7cacb84c288b7cef81f842a511abc20596Transaction5JXJ8nKrrZMfiimRqahhiUqpBUX1nRS1JK3sZ9bgftQv9RLnFfkGHxiDCBffZv1KHBaVaziMRjjCAatBqPcQDSHnOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks - 4:25 PM ET82%WONPRED1UWONSEALED ODDS-315Sealed Pick #290 @ Oct 4, 4:10 PM ETFingerprint1ad79a3cbb3efc493a24e27e6cb67b768ed913110e8f4e9d4921d96c3e82a140Transaction4ReinC3e6ZMZchN8MXZzFXhjXn26eJ44p4YxRGdV8mDAc7AtGyJQt2TX921s9XytuQG9DbL8fR2MHyvGo5ewHmbfOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82- Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks - 4:25 PM ET50%PUSHPRED1UPUSHSEALED ODDS-101
Sealed Pick #289 @ Oct 4, 4:10 PM ETFingerprint5390cdcfd49a0e100fff73ee48a7f2c5f7ea39e7f555465a1f09d6a7d9cebc2bTransaction2cbrhEPECsHQxkqZjfVmy9p2dJ4BG7SBVHSk5bwWNFdmNNEorQWER4dM1U3vFiXFDM4k9uEEeHwdkTviBxqfgD5yOpen key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82
