AGATHANo gut feelings

NFL Track Record: Best Bets

since October 1st, 2026

Every numbered pick is sealed on the Solana mainnet before its start and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 12
Record
25-14-064.1% won
Net units
+0.90u
ROI
2.3%
Picks graded
391 void

Running units, October 1 to October 14: +0.90u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run5 straight winsfrom ticket #806 to #818
  • Best dayOctober 11, +2.19u15 picks, 11-4
  • Worst dayOctober 12, -1.31u3 picks, 1-2
Last 10 picks7-3, +0.73unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in NFL, winners and losers.

  • Moneylinesmall sampleaverage price -145
    W-L
    9-4
    Win %
    69.2%
    Net
    +1.85u
    ROI
    14.2%
  • Player propsaverage price -166
    W-L
    16-10
    Win %
    61.5%
    Net
    -0.95u
    ROI
    -3.7%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favouritessmall sample
    W-L
    8-3
    Win %
    72.7%
    Net
    +1.65u
    ROI
    15.0%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    1-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    +0.20u
    ROI
    10.0%

By confidence

  • 55-59%small sample
    W-L
    2-2
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -0.98u
    ROI
    -24.5%
  • 60-64%
    W-L
    17-11
    Win %
    60.7%
    Net
    -0.36u
    ROI
    -1.3%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    4-1
    Win %
    80.0%
    Net
    +1.12u
    ROI
    22.4%
  • 70-79%small sample
    W-L
    2-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +1.12u
    ROI
    56.0%

Home and away

  • Homesmall sample
    W-L
    5-2
    Win %
    71.4%
    Net
    +1.65u
    ROI
    23.6%
  • Awaysmall sample
    W-L
    4-2
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +0.19u
    ROI
    3.2%

Overs and unders

  • Overssmall sample
    W-L
    5-2
    Win %
    71.4%
    Net
    +1.01u
    ROI
    14.5%
  • Underssmall sample
    W-L
    11-8
    Win %
    57.9%
    Net
    -1.97u
    ROI
    -10.3%

Closing line: of 38 picks with a closing price, 9 beat it, 26 matched it and 3 were worse; the sealed price was 0.40% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 11small sample18 picks
    W-L
    12-6
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +0.88u
    ROI
    4.9%
  • Week of October 4small sample16 picks
    W-L
    10-6
    Win %
    62.5%
    Net
    +0.26u
    ROI
    1.6%
  • Week of September 27small sample5 picks
    W-L
    3-2
    Win %
    60.0%
    Net
    -0.24u
    ROI
    -4.8%

By month

  • October 202639 picks
    W-L
    25-14
    Win %
    64.1%
    Net
    +0.90u
    ROI
    2.3%

By day

October 202639 picks - 25-14 - +0.90u
SMTWTFS1-0.2u3-2234-0.1u8-55+0.7u1-0678-0.3u1-191011+2.2u11-412-1.3u1-213141516171819202122232425262728293031

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

NFL tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Ty Johnson Under 2.5 receptions#893October 12-190LOST-1.00u
  2. Keon Coleman Under 3.5 receptions#892October 12-145WON+0.69u
  3. Colby Parkinson Over 1.5 receptions#891October 12-168LOST-1.00u
  4. Tory Horton Under 1.5 receptions#820October 11-198WON+0.51u
  5. Seattle Seahawks to win#819October 11-159LOST-1.00u
  6. Isaac TeSlaa Under 2.5 receptions#818October 11-172WON+0.58u
  7. Detroit Lions to win#817October 11-237WON+0.42u
  8. Denver Broncos to win#816October 11-180WON+0.56u
  9. Jonnu Smith Under 1.5 receptions#807October 11-222WON+0.45u
  10. Cam Skattebo Under 2.5 receptions#806October 11-190WON+0.53u
  11. Germie Bernard Under 2.5 receptions#805October 11-155LOST-1.00u
  12. Pittsburgh Steelers to win#804October 11-148WON+0.68u
  13. Raheim Sanders Over 1.5 receptions#803October 11-163LOST-1.00u
  14. Cleveland Browns to win#802October 11+129LOST-1.00u
  15. Minnesota Vikings to win#801October 11-133WON+0.75u
  16. Efton Chism III Over 1.5 receptions#800October 11-172WON+0.58u
  17. New England Patriots to win#799October 11-177WON+0.56u
  18. Tyjae Spears Over 1.5 receptions#798October 11-175WON+0.57u
  19. Kenny Gainwell Over 1.5 receptions#561October 8-141WON+0.71u
  20. Emeka Egbuka Under 3.5 receptions#560October 8-145LOST-1.00u
  21. Olamide Zaccheaus Under 1.5 receptions#368October 5-153WON+0.65u
  22. Noah Fant Over 1.5 receptions#367October 5-161VOID0.00u
  23. Detroit Lions to win#296October 4-200LOST-1.00u
  24. San Francisco 49ers to win#288October 4-152WON+0.66u
  25. Kansas City Chiefs to win#287October 4-215WON+0.47u
  26. Foster Moreau Under 1.5 receptions#264October 4-206WON+0.49u
  27. Houston Texans to win#263October 4-145LOST-1.00u
  28. Jonnu Smith Under 1.5 receptions#262October 4-208WON+0.48u
  29. Tez Johnson Under 1.5 receptions#261October 4-235LOST-1.00u
  30. Johnny Mundt Under 1.5 receptions#260October 4-201WON+0.50u
  31. New York Giants to win#259October 4+120WON+1.20u
  32. D'Andre Swift Under 2.5 receptions#258October 4-179WON+0.56u
  33. Cole Kmet Under 1.5 receptions#257October 4-174LOST-1.00u
  34. Chicago Bears to win#256October 4-180WON+0.56u
  35. Laquon Treadwell Under 1.5 receptions#249October 4+144LOST-1.00u
  36. Pat Freiermuth Under 3.5 receptions#26October 1-165WON+0.61u
  37. Raheim Sanders Over 1.5 receptions#25October 1-172WON+0.58u
  38. Roman Wilson Under 2.5 receptions#24October 1-173LOST-1.00u
  39. Darnell Washington Over 1.5 receptions#23October 1-175WON+0.57u
  40. Quinshon Judkins Under 2.5 receptions#22October 1-178LOST-1.00u