AGATHANo gut feelings

UFC Track Record

since October 1st, 2026

Every UFC pick Agatha made since the record began, Best Bets and Predictions alike: each sealed on the Solana mainnet before its fight and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 10
Record
12-12-150.0% won
Net units
-6.95u
ROI
-27.8%
Picks graded
25

By tier

  • Best Betssmall sample10 picks
    W-L
    4-5-1
    Win %
    44.4%
    Net
    -2.22u
    ROI
    -22.2%
  • Predictionssmall sample15 picks
    W-L
    8-7
    Win %
    53.3%
    Net
    -4.73u
    ROI
    -31.5%

Running units, October 1 to October 14: -6.95u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run3 straight winsfrom ticket #168 to #170
  • Longest losing run3 straight lossesfrom ticket #160 to #167
  • Worst dayOctober 10, -3.54u11 picks, 4-6-1
Last 10 picks4-6, -3.54unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in UFC, winners and losers.

  • Fight winner10 Best Bets 4-5-1 -2.22u - 15 Predictions 8-7 -4.73u - average price -136
    W-L
    12-12-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -6.95u
    ROI
    -27.8%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favouritessmall sample
    W-L
    12-6-1
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    -0.95u
    ROI
    -5.0%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    0-6
    Win %
    0.0%
    Net
    -6.00u
    ROI
    -100.0%

By confidence

  • Under 55%small sample
    W-L
    1-4
    Win %
    20.0%
    Net
    -3.25u
    ROI
    -65.1%
  • 55-59%small sample
    W-L
    5-3-1
    Win %
    62.5%
    Net
    -0.44u
    ROI
    -4.9%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    2-4
    Win %
    33.3%
    Net
    -3.22u
    ROI
    -53.6%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    4-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.96u
    ROI
    24.0%
  • 70-79%small sample
    W-L
    0-1
    Win %
    0.0%
    Net
    -1.00u
    ROI
    -100.0%

Closing line: of 19 picks with a closing price, 3 beat it, 14 matched it and 2 were worse; the sealed price was 0.35% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 4small sample11 picks
    W-L
    4-6-1
    Win %
    40.0%
    Net
    -3.54u
    ROI
    -32.2%
  • Week of September 27small sample14 picks
    W-L
    8-6
    Win %
    57.1%
    Net
    -3.41u
    ROI
    -24.3%

By month

  • October 202625 picks
    W-L
    12-12-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -6.95u
    ROI
    -27.8%

By day

October 202625 picks - 12-12 - -6.95u
SMTWTFS123-3.4u8-645678910-3.5u4-6111213141516171819202122232425262728293031

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

UFC tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Andre Fili to win#747October 10-134WON+0.75u
  2. Malcolm Wellmaker to win#746October 10-180LOST-1.00u
  3. Best BetMatheus Camilo to win#745October 10-182LOST-1.00u
  4. Best BetLoopy Godinez to win#744October 10-225WON+0.44u
  5. Best BetBrendan Allen to win#741October 10-108WON+0.93u
  6. Ismael Bonfim to win#707October 10+146LOST-1.00u
  7. RJ Harris to win#706October 10-350LOST-1.00u
  8. Julius Walker to win#705October 10-294WON+0.34u
  9. Felipe Franco to win#704October 10-350LOST-1.00u
  10. Best BetLeon Shahbazyan to win#703October 10-135LOST-1.00u
  11. Best BetMelissa Gatto to win#702October 10-112PUSH+0.00u
  12. Payton Talbott to win#203October 3-700WON+0.14u
  13. Khaos Williams to win#202October 3+200LOST-1.00u
  14. Best BetKing Green to win#199October 3+166LOST-1.00u
  15. Best BetNatalia Silva to win#198October 3-198WON+0.51u
  16. Best BetAteba Gautier to win#197October 3-222LOST-1.00u
  17. Anthony Wint to win#170October 3-510WON+0.20u
  18. Marcus McGhee to win#169October 3-520WON+0.19u
  19. Damian Pinas to win#168October 3-575WON+0.17u
  20. Best BetAlden Coria to win#167October 3+130LOST-1.00u
  21. Marvin Vettori to win#161October 3+120LOST-1.00u
  22. Court McGee to win#160October 3+200LOST-1.00u
  23. Alexander Hernandez to win#159October 3-256WON+0.39u
  24. Jacobe Smith to win#158October 3-1111WON+0.09u
  25. Best BetJohnny Walker to win#156October 3-111WON+0.90u