AGATHANo gut feelings

UFC Track Record: Predictions

since October 1st, 2026

Every numbered pick is sealed on the Solana mainnet before its start and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026 small sample
Last pick graded October 10
Record
8-7-053.3% won
Net units
-4.73u
ROI
-31.5%
Picks graded
15

Running units, October 1 to October 16: -4.73u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run3 straight winsfrom ticket #168 to #170
  • Longest losing run3 straight lossesfrom ticket #706 to #746
  • Worst dayOctober 10, -2.91u6 picks, 2-4
Last 10 picks5-5, -3.38unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in UFC, winners and losers.

  • Fight winnersmall sampleaverage price -149
    W-L
    8-7
    Win %
    53.3%
    Net
    -4.73u
    ROI
    -31.5%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favouritessmall sample
    W-L
    8-3
    Win %
    72.7%
    Net
    -0.73u
    ROI
    -6.6%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    0-4
    Win %
    0.0%
    Net
    -4.00u
    ROI
    -100.0%

By confidence

  • Under 55%small sample
    W-L
    1-4
    Win %
    20.0%
    Net
    -3.25u
    ROI
    -65.1%
  • 55-59%small sample
    W-L
    3-1
    Win %
    75.0%
    Net
    -0.27u
    ROI
    -6.8%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    1-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -0.66u
    ROI
    -33.0%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    3-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.46u
    ROI
    15.2%
  • 70-79%small sample
    W-L
    0-1
    Win %
    0.0%
    Net
    -1.00u
    ROI
    -100.0%

Closing line: of 11 picks with a closing price, 1 beat it, 9 matched it and 1 was worse; the sealed price was 0.02% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 4small sample6 picks
    W-L
    2-4
    Win %
    33.3%
    Net
    -2.91u
    ROI
    -48.6%
  • Week of September 27small sample9 picks
    W-L
    6-3
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    -1.81u
    ROI
    -20.2%

By month

  • October 2026small sample15 picks
    W-L
    8-7
    Win %
    53.3%
    Net
    -4.73u
    ROI
    -31.5%

By day

October 202615 picks - 8-7 - -4.73u
SMTWTFS123-1.8u6-345678910-2.9u2-4111213141516171819202122232425262728293031

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

UFC tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.