AGATHANo gut feelings

UFC Track Record

since October 1st, 2026

Every UFC pick Agatha made since the record began, Best Bets and Predictions alike: each sealed on the Solana mainnet before its fight and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 17
Record
18-15-154.5% won
Net units
-5.50u
ROI
-16.2%
Picks graded
34

By tier

  • Best Betssmall sample11 picks
    W-L
    4-6-1
    Win %
    40.0%
    Net
    -3.22u
    ROI
    -29.3%
  • Predictions23 picks
    W-L
    14-9
    Win %
    60.9%
    Net
    -2.28u
    ROI
    -9.9%

Running units, October 1 to October 17: -5.50u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run4 straight winsfrom ticket #1217 to #1220
  • Longest losing run3 straight lossesfrom ticket #160 to #167
  • Best dayOctober 17, +1.45u9 picks, 6-3
  • Worst dayOctober 10, -3.54u11 picks, 4-6-1
Last 10 picks7-3, +2.19unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in UFC, winners and losers.

  • Fight winner11 Best Bets 4-6-1 -3.22u - 23 Predictions 14-9 -2.28u - average price -139
    W-L
    18-15-1
    Win %
    54.5%
    Net
    -5.50u
    ROI
    -16.2%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favourites
    W-L
    16-9-1
    Win %
    64.0%
    Net
    -2.42u
    ROI
    -9.3%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    2-6
    Win %
    25.0%
    Net
    -3.08u
    ROI
    -38.5%

By confidence

  • Under 55%small sample
    W-L
    4-5
    Win %
    44.4%
    Net
    -1.47u
    ROI
    -16.3%
  • 55-59%small sample
    W-L
    7-4-1
    Win %
    63.6%
    Net
    +0.07u
    ROI
    0.6%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    3-4
    Win %
    42.9%
    Net
    -3.06u
    ROI
    -43.7%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    4-1
    Win %
    80.0%
    Net
    -0.04u
    ROI
    -0.8%
  • 70-79%small sample
    W-L
    0-1
    Win %
    0.0%
    Net
    -1.00u
    ROI
    -100.0%

Closing line: of 25 picks with a closing price, 6 beat it, 17 matched it and 2 were worse; the sealed price was 0.62% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 11small sample9 picks
    W-L
    6-3
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +1.45u
    ROI
    16.1%
  • Week of October 4small sample11 picks
    W-L
    4-6-1
    Win %
    40.0%
    Net
    -3.54u
    ROI
    -32.2%
  • Week of September 27small sample14 picks
    W-L
    8-6
    Win %
    57.1%
    Net
    -3.41u
    ROI
    -24.3%

By month

  • October 202634 picks
    W-L
    18-15-1
    Win %
    54.5%
    Net
    -5.50u
    ROI
    -16.2%

By day

October 202634 picks - 18-15 - -5.50u
SMTWTFS123-3.4u8-645678910-3.5u4-611121314151617+1.4u6-31819202122232425262728293031

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

UFC tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Mandel Nallo to win#1254October 17-270WON+0.37u
  2. Louis Jourdain to win#1253October 17-150LOST-1.00u
  3. Best BetKyle Daukaus to win#1248October 17-183LOST-1.00u
  4. Tanner Boser to win#1220October 17+180WON+1.80u
  5. Steven Koslow to win#1219October 17-163WON+0.61u
  6. SuYoung You to win#1218October 17+112WON+1.12u
  7. Katlyn Cerminara to win#1217October 17-256WON+0.39u
  8. Melissa Croden to win#1216October 17-333LOST-1.00u
  9. Nick Galanti to win#1215October 17-649WON+0.15u
  10. Andre Fili to win#747October 10-134WON+0.75u
  11. Malcolm Wellmaker to win#746October 10-180LOST-1.00u
  12. Best BetMatheus Camilo to win#745October 10-182LOST-1.00u
  13. Best BetLoopy Godinez to win#744October 10-225WON+0.44u
  14. Best BetBrendan Allen to win#741October 10-108WON+0.93u
  15. Ismael Bonfim to win#707October 10+146LOST-1.00u
  16. RJ Harris to win#706October 10-350LOST-1.00u
  17. Julius Walker to win#705October 10-294WON+0.34u
  18. Felipe Franco to win#704October 10-350LOST-1.00u
  19. Best BetLeon Shahbazyan to win#703October 10-135LOST-1.00u
  20. Best BetMelissa Gatto to win#702October 10-112PUSH+0.00u
  21. Payton Talbott to win#203October 3-700WON+0.14u
  22. Khaos Williams to win#202October 3+200LOST-1.00u
  23. Best BetKing Green to win#199October 3+166LOST-1.00u
  24. Best BetNatalia Silva to win#198October 3-198WON+0.51u
  25. Best BetAteba Gautier to win#197October 3-222LOST-1.00u
  26. Anthony Wint to win#170October 3-510WON+0.20u
  27. Marcus McGhee to win#169October 3-520WON+0.19u
  28. Damian Pinas to win#168October 3-575WON+0.17u
  29. Best BetAlden Coria to win#167October 3+130LOST-1.00u
  30. Marvin Vettori to win#161October 3+120LOST-1.00u
  31. Court McGee to win#160October 3+200LOST-1.00u
  32. Alexander Hernandez to win#159October 3-256WON+0.39u
  33. Jacobe Smith to win#158October 3-1111WON+0.09u
  34. Best BetJohnny Walker to win#156October 3-111WON+0.90u