AGATHANo gut feelings

UFC Track Record: Best Bets

since October 1st, 2026

Every numbered pick is sealed on the Solana mainnet before its start and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026 small sample
Last pick graded October 10
Record
4-5-144.4% won
Net units
-2.22u
ROI
-22.2%
Picks graded
10

Running units, October 1 to October 14: -2.22u

Runs and days

  • Worst dayOctober 3, -1.59u5 picks, 2-3
Last 10 picks4-5-1, -2.22unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in UFC, winners and losers.

  • Fight winnersmall sampleaverage price -119
    W-L
    4-5-1
    Win %
    44.4%
    Net
    -2.22u
    ROI
    -22.2%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favouritessmall sample
    W-L
    4-3-1
    Win %
    57.1%
    Net
    -0.22u
    ROI
    -2.8%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    0-2
    Win %
    0.0%
    Net
    -2.00u
    ROI
    -100.0%

By confidence

  • 55-59%small sample
    W-L
    2-2-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -0.17u
    ROI
    -3.5%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    1-3
    Win %
    25.0%
    Net
    -2.56u
    ROI
    -63.9%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.51u
    ROI
    50.5%

Closing line: of 8 picks with a closing price, 2 beat it, 5 matched it and 1 was worse; the sealed price was 0.79% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 4small sample5 picks
    W-L
    2-2-1
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -0.63u
    ROI
    -12.6%
  • Week of September 27small sample5 picks
    W-L
    2-3
    Win %
    40.0%
    Net
    -1.59u
    ROI
    -31.9%

By month

  • October 2026small sample10 picks
    W-L
    4-5-1
    Win %
    44.4%
    Net
    -2.22u
    ROI
    -22.2%

By day

October 202610 picks - 4-5 - -2.22u
SMTWTFS123-1.6u2-345678910-0.6u2-2111213141516171819202122232425262728293031

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

UFC tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Matheus Camilo to win#745October 10-182LOST-1.00u
  2. Loopy Godinez to win#744October 10-225WON+0.44u
  3. Brendan Allen to win#741October 10-108WON+0.93u
  4. Leon Shahbazyan to win#703October 10-135LOST-1.00u
  5. Melissa Gatto to win#702October 10-112PUSH+0.00u
  6. King Green to win#199October 3+166LOST-1.00u
  7. Natalia Silva to win#198October 3-198WON+0.51u
  8. Ateba Gautier to win#197October 3-222LOST-1.00u
  9. Alden Coria to win#167October 3+130LOST-1.00u
  10. Johnny Walker to win#156October 3-111WON+0.90u