AGATHANo gut feelings

UFC

Marcus McGhee vs Anthony Romero Prediction

Marcus McGhee vs Anthony Romero

Agatha's call

Marcus McGhee to win66%

Price -476 at Stake

Why

Agatha rates Marcus McGhee 1639; Anthony Romero has no UFC record in her database and enters at the 1500.0 baseline every debut starts from.

Marcus McGhee is 36: the model takes 26 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.

Net gap after those adjustments: 113 rating points toward Marcus McGhee, which converts to 66-34.

The market agrees: 80% for Marcus McGhee across 8 books.

Anthony Romero is new to Agatha's data (no rating yet).

Market (latest pregame line)

Total

1.5

Moneyline

Marcus McGhee
-535
Anthony Romero
+400

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (home): opened -500, now -500
  • Moneyline (home): opened -480, now -480