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MLB Heat Check

MLB Heat Check: Cleveland Guardians Are Scorching (8-2 Last 10)

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Ten games is not a season, but it is a mood, and moods decide a lot of games. The current mood around MLB: Cleveland Guardians keep winning, Detroit Tigers keep losing, and everybody else lives somewhere in the weather between.

Who's hot

Cleveland Guardians own the league's best recent ledger at 8-2, and the +24 runs margin underneath it says the record is earned. Per game the numbers read 5.5 for and 3.1 against, a gap that does not happen by accident across 10 games.

Right behind them sit Kansas City Royals, 8-2 over the same kind of stretch and +23 on runs margin, quieter, but pointed the same direction.

Baltimore Orioles (8-2) round out the warm end of the ledger.

Some context helps: across every club in the sample, scoring sits at 4.4 runs per game right now. Cleveland Guardians are beating the league's own pace by 1.1 a game.

The cold end

Detroit Tigers are the cold front. They have gone 2-8 over their last 10, and the -27 margin underneath means the losses have not even been close, roughly 2.7 runs a game the wrong way.

Colorado Rockies (2-8) share the cold row, for whatever comfort that provides.

In between the extremes it gets crowded, San Francisco Giants at 5-5 and Washington Nationals at 5-5 are basically sharing a seat, and the next series either way will split them.

By the numbers

Here is the warm half of the form table, last ten games for every club:

TeamLast 10Runs +/-
Cleveland Guardians8-2+24
Kansas City Royals8-2+23
Baltimore Orioles8-2+19
Philadelphia Phillies8-2+16
Atlanta Braves7-3+1

One more thing

Records fib a little and runs margins fib less. When the two columns disagree about a team, trust the margin, it is the slower liar.

The schedule cooperates, too, Cleveland Guardians face Toronto Blue Jays next, so this story gets its next chapter almost immediately.

More MLB on Agatha: Today's MLB picks

Generated by Agatha from her own database, every number is a query, not an opinion. For entertainment and information; not gambling advice. 21+.

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