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Medvedev vs Merida Prediction

Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026, Time TBA, Round 1

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Medvedev to Win

71%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

MedvedevMedvedev
2-0
MeridaMerida

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS-
BEST ODDSBEST-350William HillBET

Where to bet it

Medvedev to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 27 books

  1. William Hill-350-350
  2. 888sport-350-350
  3. DraftKings-377-377
  4. Pinnacle-383-383
  5. 1xBet-388-388
  6. BetOnline-392-392

Match at William Hill: opened -400, now -350

Medvedev vs Merida line movement

MATCH Medvedev to win at FanDuel

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Daniil Medvedev
-400
Daniel Merida
+300

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (3 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Daniel Merida) at FanDuel: opened +350, now +330

Who will win Medvedev vs Merida?

Daniil Medvedev. Agatha gives Medvedev a 71% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev won their last meeting on the main tour, 3-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-2 in Round 2 of Wimbledon on Jul 1, 2026. Medvedev beat Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 in the final of the Almaty Open on Oct 25, and he has won four matches in a row, all at the Almaty Open. Agatha gives Medvedev about a 7-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Medvedev lost to Rafael Jodar 6-3, 6-4 in the semifinal of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 17.

Medvedev vs Merida recent form

Medvedev: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 25Nikoloz BasilashviliW6-7(6), 6-1, 6-3
  2. Oct 24Alexander BublikW6-3 ret.
  3. Oct 23Terence AtmaneW6-4, 6-4
  4. Oct 22Sho ShimabukuroW6-2, 6-1
  5. Oct 17Rafael JodarL3-6, 4-6

Merida: last 5 matches

Last 5: 2-3

  1. Oct 8Botic Van De ZandschulpL6-1, 3-6, 4-6
  2. Sep 4Alex MichelsenL6-7(5), 4-6, 3-6
  3. Sep 2Andrey RublevW6-7(3), 6-2, 6-4, 6-4
  4. Aug 30Marton FucsovicsW6-4, 6-4, 6-2
  5. Aug 18Taylor FritzL3-6, 4-6

Medvedev vs Merida head-to-head

Since Jul 1, 2026: Medvedev 1, Merida 0

  1. Jul 1, 2026Medvedev 3-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-2Wimbledon, Round 2

Medvedev vs Merida player stats

  • Daniil Medvedev

    ATP ranking
    No. 53,860 pts
    2026 record
    49-184 titles
    Titles
    2545 finals

  • Daniel Merida

    ATP ranking
    No. 421,195 pts
    2026 record
    20-111 title
    Titles
    12 finals