AGATHANo gut feelings

Bublik vs Medvedev Prediction

Saturday, Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM ET, Semifinal

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Medvedev to Win

64%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

BublikBublik
0-2
MedvedevMedvedev

Predicted 0-2

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS3:00 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-238DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

Medvedev to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 1 book

  1. DraftKings-238-238

Who will win Bublik vs Medvedev?

Daniil Medvedev. Agatha gives Medvedev a 64% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev has the form: he is 8-2 over the last 10 matches. He beat Terence Atmane 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the Almaty Open on Oct 23, and Sho Shimabukuro 6-2, 6-1 in Round 2 of the Almaty Open on Oct 22. He is ranked No. 5. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Medvedev about a 2-in-3 chance to win. The risk is Bublik won the latest meeting on the main tour, 6-3, 7-6 in the final of the Terra Wortmann Open.

Bublik vs Medvedev recent form

Bublik: last 5 matches

Last 4: 3-1

  1. Oct 23Karen KhachanovW4-6, 7-6(5), 7-6(5)
  2. Oct 22Fabian MarozsanWW/O
  3. Oct 13Alexander ZverevL6-7(6), 6-4, 6-7(1)
  4. Oct 11Brandon NakashimaW6-7(7), 6-3, 7-6(5)
  5. Oct 9Tomas MachacW6-4, 7-6(4)

Medvedev: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 23Terence AtmaneW6-4, 6-4
  2. Oct 22Sho ShimabukuroW6-2, 6-1
  3. Oct 17Rafael JodarL3-6, 4-6
  4. Oct 16Tommy PaulW6-3, 1-6, 6-3
  5. Oct 14Stefanos TsitsipasW6-4, 7-5

Bublik vs Medvedev head-to-head

Since Sep 20, 2016: Medvedev 6, Bublik 1

  1. Jun 22, 2025Bublik 6-3, 7-6(4)Terra Wortmann Open, Final
  2. Apr 30, 2024Medvedev 7-6(3), 6-4Mutua Madrid Open, Round 4
  3. Mar 1, 2023Medvedev 6-4, 6-2Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Round 2
  4. Aug 10, 2021Medvedev 4-6, 6-3, 6-4National Bank Open, Round 2
  5. Jul 23, 2021Medvedev 6-4, 7-6(8)Olympics, Round 1
  6. May 31, 2021Medvedev 6-3, 6-3, 7-5French Open, Round 1
  7. Sep 20, 2016Medvedev 6-4, 6-0St. Petersburg Open, Round 1

Bublik vs Medvedev player stats

  • Alexander Bublik

    ATP ranking
    No. 192,275 pts
    2026 record
    30-191 title
    Titles
    917 finals
  • Daniil Medvedev

    ATP ranking
    No. 53,660 pts
    2026 record
    47-183 titles
    Titles
    2444 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Alexander Bublik
+175
Daniil Medvedev
-225