AGATHANo gut feelings

Medvedev vs Jodar Prediction

Saturday, Oct 17, 2026, 7:00 AM ET, Semifinal

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Medvedev to Win

54%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

MedvedevMedvedev
2-0
JodarJodar

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS3:00 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-182BetwayBET

Where to bet it

Medvedev to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 29 books

  1. Betway-182-182
  2. William Hill-188-188
  3. BetOnline-188-188
  4. BoyleSports-188-188
  5. 888sport-188-188
  6. Betfair-189-189

Match at Betway: opened -182, now -182

Who will win Medvedev vs Jodar?

Daniil Medvedev. Agatha gives Medvedev a 54% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev has won four matches in a row, all at the Rolex Shanghai Masters. He beat Tommy Paul 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 in the quarterfinal of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 16, and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4, 7-5 in Round 4 on Oct 14. Over their last ten matches, Medvedev went 9-1. Agatha has Medvedev winning, a little better than a coin flip, and predicts straight sets. The risk is Jodar beat Casper Ruud 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinal of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 16.

Medvedev vs Jodar recent form

Medvedev: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 16Tommy PaulW6-3, 1-6, 6-3
  2. Oct 14Stefanos TsitsipasW6-4, 7-5
  3. Oct 12Dalibor SvrcinaW6-2, 6-3
  4. Oct 10Jan-Lennard StruffW4-6, 6-4, 6-3
  5. Oct 5Novak DjokovicL5-7, 3-5

Jodar: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 16Casper RuudW4-6, 6-4, 6-3
  2. Oct 14Botic Van De ZandschulpW6-7(4), 6-4, 6-2
  3. Oct 12Jiri LeheckaW4-6, 7-6(2), 6-4
  4. Oct 10Thiago Agustin TiranteW4-6, 6-2, 6-3
  5. Oct 1Adolfo Daniel VallejoL1-6, 3-6

Medvedev vs Jodar player stats

  • Daniil Medvedev

    ATP ranking
    No. 63,860 pts
    2026 record
    45-173 titles
    Titles
    2444 finals
  • Rafael Jodar

    ATP ranking
    No. 132,659 pts
    2026 record
    40-161 title
    Titles
    12 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Daniil Medvedev
-200
Rafael Jodar
+160

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Rafael Jodar) at FanDuel: opened +162, now +162