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Musetti vs Arnaldi Prediction

Monday, Oct 19, 2026, 10:30 AM ET, Round 1

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Musetti to Win

70%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

MusettiMusetti
2-0
ArnaldiArnaldi

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

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Who will win Musetti vs Arnaldi?

Lorenzo Musetti. Agatha gives Musetti a 70% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Musetti

The head-to-head settles the matchup for Musetti, who has won both meetings since Jan 14, 2025 on the main tour, the latest in Round 1 of the Mubadala DC Open on Jul 27, 2026, when Arnaldi did not finish. Musetti is ranked No. 25 and is 14-8 on hard courts this year. Arnaldi is ranked No. 38 and is 3-9 on hard courts this year. Agatha gives Musetti about a 7-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Musetti has lost two matches in a row, the latest to Zhou Yi in Round 2 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters.

Musetti vs Arnaldi recent form

Musetti: last 5 matches

Last 5: 2-3

  1. Oct 9Zhou YiL6-7(7), 6-3, 6-7(1)
  2. Sep 3Dane SweenyL6-3, 1-6, 2-6, 2-6
  3. Sep 1Arthur FeryW6-3, 6-3, 7-5
  4. Aug 21Frances TiafoeL6-7(2), 5-7
  5. Aug 19Jaime FariaW7-5, 6-2

Arnaldi: last 5 matches

Last 5: 2-3

  1. Oct 10Taylor FritzL5-7, 4-6
  2. Oct 8Bernard TomicW6-3, 6-1
  3. Oct 3Carlos AlcarazL6-7(6), 1-6
  4. Sep 30Rei SakamotoW2-6, 6-4, 6-4
  5. Aug 31James DuckworthL7-5, 3-6, 2-6, 6-7(8)

Musetti vs Arnaldi head-to-head

Since May 14, 2023: Musetti 4, Arnaldi 0

  1. Jul 27, 2026Musetti 6-0, 3-1 ret.Mubadala DC Open, Round 1
  2. Jan 14, 2025Musetti 7-6(4), 4-6, 7-6(5), 6-3Australian Open, Round 1
  3. Jul 19, 2023Musetti 6-3, 4-6, 7-6(6)Nordea Open, Round 2
  4. May 14, 2023Musetti 6-4, 6-4Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Round 2

Musetti vs Arnaldi player stats