Agatha's Top Picks

Daniil Medvedev has won two matches in a row, both at the Rolex Shanghai Masters. He beat Dalibor Svrcina 6-2, 6-3 in Round 3 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 12. Over their last ten matches Medvedev went 9-1 and Stefanos Tsitsipas went 8-2, and Medvedev is 32-10 on hard courts this year. Agatha gives Medvedev close to a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Tsitsipas won their latest meeting 6-3, 6-4 in Round 2 of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open on the main tour.

Gabriela Knutson comes in off a clean win, beating Emiliana Arango 6-4, 6-3 in Round 1 of the RoveretOpen Citta della Pace on Oct 12. She is 7-3 over her last ten matches, and Susan Bandecchi is 6-4 across the same stretch. Knutson also beat Ayana Akli 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 in Round 2 of the Eupago Porto Open on Sep 23. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Knutson about a 6-in-10 chance to win. The risk is Bandecchi, who beat Gaia Maduzzi 6-3, 6-2 in Round 1 of the RoveretOpen Citta della Pace on Oct 12.

Tommy Paul won their last meeting 6-1, 6-2, in Round 2 of the BNP Paribas Open on the main tour on Mar 6, 2026, and he has won two matches in a row, both at the Rolex Shanghai Masters. He beat Valentin Vacherot 6-4, 6-2 in Round 3 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 12. Agatha gives Paul about a 7-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Bergs, who beat Carlos Alcaraz 7-5, 7-6 in Round 3 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 12.

Lucrezia Stefanini comes in off a win at the RoveretOpen Citta della Pace, beating Laura Mair 3-6, 6-2, 7-5 in Round 1 on Oct 13. She also beat Anna Blinkova 6-2, 6-3 in the semifinal of the Samsun Open on Oct 10, and she is ranked No. 106. Over their last ten matches, Stefanini went 7-3 and Harmony Tan went 6-4. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Stefanini about a 2-in-3 chance to win. The risk is that Stefanini lost to Ayla Aksu 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 in the final of the Samsun Open on Oct 11.

Inter Miami won the last meeting, 3-2, on Mar 22, 2026. Inter Miami beat D.C. United 4-0 on Oct 10. Inter Miami scored more goals per match than New York City FC over their last ten matches, 2.3 to 1.1, and Leo Messi has 23 goals and 13 assists in 25 appearances for Inter Miami this season. Agatha has Inter Miami winning 4-1, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is New York City FC allowed fewer goals per match than Inter Miami over their last ten matches, 1.4 to 1.8.

Western Kentucky has won all three meetings since Nov 18, 2023, the latest 41-24 at home on Aug 23, 2025. Western Kentucky beat Missouri State 34-13 at home on Oct 8, and Sam Houston has lost two games in a row, including a 35-3 loss at Liberty on Oct 8. Agatha predicts a 30-23 Western Kentucky win, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is the game is at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, Sam Houston's home ground.

LAFC has allowed 1.2 goals a game over their last ten matches, better than Austin's 1.5. Denis Bouanga has 15 goals and 8 assists in 27 appearances this season and scored in LAFC's last match, on Oct 10. Son Heung-Min has 13 assists in 26 appearances, and Austin lost 4-1 to Nashville SC on Oct 10. The game is at BMO Stadium in Los Angeles. Agatha has LAFC winning 3-0, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is Austin's 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses over the last ten matches against LAFC's 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses.

Sakkari has won two matches in a row, both at the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open, and she beat Donna Vekic 6-4, 6-2 in Round 1 on Oct 12. She followed that with a 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 win over Marta Kostyuk in Round 2 on Oct 13. She is ranked No. 35. Agatha gives Sakkari close to a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Pohankova has won two matches in a row at the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open and is 8-2 over the last 10 matches.