Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Agatha's pick
57%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.79
The books hung 3.5 strikeouts on Chase Burns; Agatha prices the over at 57% against roughly 54% implied at DraftKings, a 4-point disagreement. His recent work: 5, 5, 7, 5, 8 strikeouts over his last five starts (6.6 average); the over of 3.5 would have cashed in 5 of them. The matchup helps: Cincinnati Reds hitters strike out 9.8 times a game, ranking 1 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #750 @ Sep 18, 6:25 PM ETFingerprint5dc87d330529b54b23a4c40637676c93e1267ab2c26a8fcc7dd5e6d83e29f866Transactionba47a1ff37c564b30d82ec9af62128999fe1b6b40b88ab2f41cd17f57db7b13fOpen keyc35783a3f62661ee3dd367f65a9b62c0ac54ac40a4b1a452741537bb5cdf90bb
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| CIN | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 6 |
ESPN live win probability: CIN 100%
Play-by-play
- [9] Busch caught stealing second, catcher to shortstop.
- [9] Busch caught stealing second, catcher to shortstop.
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Foul
- [9] Emilio Pagan pitches to Ian Happ
- [9] Bregman flied out to center.
- [9] Pitch 6 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball 2
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 1
Game-day injuries
- Spencer Steer (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Julian Garcia (CIN) - 15-Day-IL
- Michael Toglia (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Blake Dunn (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Hunter Greene (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Gavin Hollowell (CHC) - 15-Day-IL
- Justin Steele (CHC) - 60-Day-IL
- Phil Maton (CHC) - 60-Day-IL
- Hunter Harvey (CHC) - 60-Day-IL
- Tyler Austin (CHC) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (CIN)
+1.5
Total
8.5
Moneyline
- CHC
- 1.67
- CIN
- 2.26
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (6 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.05, now 2.25
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.13, now 2.31