Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Agatha's pick

Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals - 7:40 PM ETFinished with 4 Ks55%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.82
Agatha prices Gavin Williams' over of 6.5 strikeouts at 55%; the market's number at FanDuel implies about 54%. That 1-point disagreement is the call. His recent work: 9, 7, 11, 13, 3 strikeouts over his last five starts (8.2 average); the over of 6.5 would have cashed in 4 of them. The matchup helps: Kansas City Royals hitters strike out 7.8 times a game, ranking 26 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1356 @ Sep 25, 7:25 PM ETFingerprint61ead9091a93fe1563fbf283f9af7bdba54fcd3cf10a873e6d3f4a17a443cc2eTransactionafaca9086b3e33089aa01e987c27ca38e3d17a6b08577106918598216a0da803Open keybbb9cdc0306804e1e372854dff6674d319a0ae97aa8277d4a99a9f81c1e936fd
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 |
| KC | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
ESPN live win probability: KC 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Massey grounded out to first.
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
- [9] Matt Festa pitches to Michael Massey
- [9] Perez homered to left (434 feet), Garcia scored.
- [9] Pitch 7 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul
Game-day injuries
- Craig Kimbrel (KC) - bereavement
- Connor Seabold (KC) - 60-Day-IL
- James McArthur (KC) - 60-Day-IL
- Steven Cruz (KC) - Paternity
- Beck Way (KC) - 15-Day-IL
- Rhys Hoskins (CLE) - 10-Day-IL
- Colin Holderman (CLE) - 15-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (KC)
+1.5
Total
7
Moneyline
- CLE
- 1.69
- KC
- 2.21
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (6 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.20, now 2.20
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.13, now 2.22