Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Agatha's pick
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves - 7:15 PM ETAgatha projects CIN 2, ATL 6Final: Reds 4 - Braves 055%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.46
Her number backs the Atlanta Braves at 55%. Her projection has the Braves winning this 6-2. Form check: the Braves are 7-3 over their last ten, the Reds 3-7.Sealed Pick #1141 @ Sep 22, 7:00 PM ETFingerprint44d6adf456235eb3275d4a6fe3afd92466baa2f6cac7ce3dedd09a222d23ae8fTransaction4a3552b6762851a293cb5ee307defe22bd185fef639f1a2650283f121d3d8d7aOpen key79186ec1bfd02abd31ec4fc341ab2f52b54c7600f9ca1269df34636dda6c9298- Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves - 7:15 PM ETFinished with 2 Ks59%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.77
The strikeout line on Brandon Williamson sits at 2.5. Agatha reads the over 5 points richer than the market: 59% against an implied 54% at Bovada. His recent work: 5, 4, 3, 2, 3 strikeouts over his last five starts (3.1 average); the over of 2.5 would have cashed in 4 of them. The matchup helps: Atlanta Braves hitters strike out 8.2 times a game, ranking 19 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1142 @ Sep 22, 7:00 PM ETFingerprint6e4abbb9cb9e4d26797e981f5373fc459871bcc1d70ec97293cc741c7df63b00Transactione62010d3acc2d6b72f8f363fbbb5953ff410d4eb7ecccbd6363eb9921a86f6c9Open key79186ec1bfd02abd31ec4fc341ab2f52b54c7600f9ca1269df34636dda6c9298
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ESPN live win probability: ATL 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Riley flied out to left.
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
- [9] Emilio Pagan pitches to Austin Riley
- [9] Dubon grounded out to first, Harris II to third.
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
- [9] Emilio Pagan pitches to Mauricio Dubon
- [9] Harris II doubled to right.
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball In Play
Game-day injuries
- Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) - Day-To-Day
- Robert Suarez (ATL) - 60-Day-IL
- Joe Jimenez (ATL) - 60-Day-IL
- Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) - 15-Day-IL
- Bryce Elder (ATL) - 15-Day-IL
- Tony Santillan (CIN) - 15-Day-IL
- Chase Burns (CIN) - 15-Day-IL
- Spencer Steer (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Julian Garcia (CIN) - 15-Day-IL
- Michael Toglia (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (ATL)
-1.5
Total
9.5
Moneyline
- CIN
- 2.94
- ATL
- 1.44
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (7 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.53, now 1.43
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.54, now 1.44