Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
Agatha's pick
Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants - 9:45 PM ETAgatha projects MIN 1, SF 5Final: Twins 2 - Giants 557%WONLEANDOG1UWONSEALED ODDS2.17
Agatha and the market disagree here, and she is taking her own side: 57% on the San Francisco Giants against an implied 46% at BetOnline, a 11-point gap. The Giants come in 3-7 across their last ten; the Twins arrive 4-6.Sealed Pick #1071 @ Sep 21, 9:30 PM ETFingerprint13a2a2c45e4fd58eed704daaacfb08f2a7cd52d68d71959ef60ea01967f8f331Transactiond0d94b287a2e34636ce7f04a8181e1fc0f83e561497c67ba3639c4091dfc869aOpen keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857- Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants - 9:45 PM ETFinished with 4 Ks57%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.65
Her strikeout read on Blade Tidwell: Over 3.5. Tidwell has gone 4, 2, 5, 4, 7 over his last five starts; that averages 4.0, and 4 of those starts land on this side of 3.5.Sealed Pick #1072 @ Sep 21, 9:30 PM ETFingerprint81313290c09ce5ff220e43734c7f175617bdec2cbef173152ae400be153ad9e8Transactioneedd3e960787f2a4c2115ef3e073f7cbfbc0cc9d507c042b1fa7a42bbea67a9eOpen keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857 - Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants - 9:45 PM ETFinished with 9 Ks55%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.94
The strikeout line on Zebby Matthews sits at 4.5. Agatha reads the over 6 points richer than the market: 55% against an implied 49% at FanDuel. His recent work: 8, 2, 4, 5, 7 strikeouts over his last five starts (4.8 average); the over of 4.5 would have cashed in 3 of them. The matchup helps: San Francisco Giants hitters strike out 8.3 times a game, ranking 15 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1073 @ Sep 21, 9:30 PM ETFingerprintfb34099d28f8a9004fe721bc5bdf92119498e04d8d026940b998dec246933c5eTransaction8cccede778bf8817b2eaab843522d1ec45f25d754a13a3b1db25ddf0fbba41acOpen keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| SF | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 5 |
ESPN live win probability: SF 100%
Play-by-play
- [9] Jeffers fouled out to third.
- [9] Pitch 4 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 2
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball 1
- [9] Trent Harris pitches to Ryan Jeffers
- [9] Clemens struck out swinging.
- [9] Pitch 6 : Strike 3 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Foul
Game-day injuries
- Willy Adames (SF) - 10-Day-IL
- Bryce Eldridge (SF) - 7-Day IL
- JT Brubaker (SF) - 15-Day-IL
- Matt Gage (SF) - 60-Day-IL
- Nate Furman (SF) - 10-Day-IL
- Mike Paredes (MIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Mick Abel (MIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Kaelen Culpepper (MIN) - 10-Day-IL
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) - 10-Day-IL
- Byron Buxton (MIN) - 10-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (SF)
+1.5
Total
7.5
Moneyline
- MIN
- 1.78
- SF
- 2.10
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (6 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.98, now 2.10
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.95, now 2.18