Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Agatha's pick
Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals - 2:10 PM ETFinished with 1 Ks59%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.98
Agatha prices Randy Dobnak's over of 3.5 strikeouts at 59%; the market's number at Pinnacle implies about 48%. That 11-point disagreement is the call. His recent work: 1, 4, 3, 6, 5 strikeouts over his last five starts (4.1 average); the over of 3.5 would have cashed in 3 of them. The matchup helps: Kansas City Royals hitters strike out 7.8 times a game, ranking 25 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1275 @ Sep 24, 1:55 PM ETFingerprint7eb35bc497f0cfb7c0818ab1ccfe6922d17bd7f52b6c85a7d5f462cf56cf083eTransaction2930d3ca4a3d5f2c673fd052e2d76e9a10018c268957887b00319c9327bef781Open key8bb78cf33a8e27c1f5339f96731d82f0c54474e6768ccc183463662d700e8909- Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals - 2:10 PM ETFinished with 7 Ks57%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS2.00
The strikeout line on David Sandlin sits at 3.5. Agatha reads the over 10 points richer than the market: 57% against an implied 47% at BetMGM. His recent work: 4, 5, 6, 4, 4 strikeouts over his last five starts (4.6 average); the over of 3.5 would have cashed in 5 of them. The matchup helps: Kansas City Royals hitters strike out 7.8 times a game, ranking 25 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1276 @ Sep 24, 1:55 PM ETFingerprintaa5e448a39054183b1f610408c6c1814acf8ca86b6f21872e3198726a806a95eTransaction93cc627d351956c5de924b05733f73e317183011ad5c8bab981f28dde576b486Open key8bb78cf33a8e27c1f5339f96731d82f0c54474e6768ccc183463662d700e8909
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
ESPN live win probability: KC 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Rave grounded out to second.
- [9] Pitch 5 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Trevor Richards pitches to John Rave
- [9] Loftin doubled to right, Perez to third.
- [9] Pitch 4 : Ball In Play
Game-day injuries
- Craig Kimbrel (KC) - bereavement
- Connor Seabold (KC) - 60-Day-IL
- James McArthur (KC) - 60-Day-IL
- Steven Cruz (KC) - Paternity
- Beck Way (KC) - 15-Day-IL
- Prelander Berroa (CHW) - 60-Day-IL
- Joey Bart (CHW) - 10-Day-IL
- Tanner Murray (CHW) - 60-Day-IL
- Luis Castillo (CHW) - 15-Day-IL
- Ky Bush (CHW) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (KC)
+1.5
Total
8.5
Moneyline
- CHW
- 1.69
- KC
- 2.18
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (14 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.05, now 2.18
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.09, now 2.24