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Bears vs Packers Prediction

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKChicago BearsAWAYChicagoBears

FINAL

0731

Green Bay PackersHOMEGreen BayPackers
52%WIN CHANCEBears to WinLOST#814 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 52%

Agatha's pick: Bears to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Packers 31, Bears 7

SEALED ODDS
-112Cloudbet
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
4:07 PM ETreceipt #814

Game Center

Team1234T
CHI07007
GB779831

Play-by-play

  • [4- 1:10] (Shotgun) C.Keenum pass incomplete deep right to J.Walker.
  • [4- 1:13] (Shotgun) C.Keenum pass incomplete short right to R.Odunze.
  • [4- 1:47] (Shotgun) C.Keenum sacked at CHI 21 for -11 yards (D.Dennis-Sutton).
  • [4- 1:52] (Shotgun) C.Keenum pass incomplete short right to R.Johnson (D.Dennis-Sutton) [D.Dennis-Sutton].
  • [4- 1:53] Timeout #3 by GB at 01:53.
  • [4- 2:00] (Shotgun) C.Keenum pass short left to R.Johnson pushed ob at CHI 32 for 7 yards (B.Cisse). GB-J.Hargrave was injured during the play.
  • [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:21] (No Huddle, Shotgun) C.Keenum scrambles left end to CHI 25 for 4 yards (K.Oladapo).
  • [4- 2:50] (No Huddle, Shotgun) C.Keenum pass short middle to R.Johnson to CHI 21 for 5 yards (K.Hadden).
  • [4- 3:11] (Shotgun) C.Keenum pass short middle to R.Johnson to CHI 16 for 9 yards (Z.Franklin).

Leaders

  • Jordan Love (GB): 25/31, 367 YDS, 2 TD
  • MarShawn Lloyd (GB): 10 CAR, 31 YDS, 2 TD
  • Christian Watson (GB): 6 REC, 143 YDS, 2 TD
  • Case Keenum (CHI): 11/19, 108 YDS, 1 INT
  • D'Andre Swift (CHI): 9 CAR, 43 YDS, 1 TD
  • Luther Burden III (CHI): 4 REC, 47 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Skyy Moore (GB) - Out
  • Benjamin St-Juste (GB) - Questionable
  • Aaron Banks (GB) - Out
  • Jacob Monk (GB) - Out
  • Anthony Campbell (GB) - Out
  • Anthony Johnson Jr. (CHI) - Injured Reserve
  • Dayo Odeyingbo (CHI) - Questionable
  • Tyrique Stevenson Sr. (CHI) - Questionable
  • T.J. Edwards (CHI) - Questionable
  • Ozzy Trapilo (CHI) - Out
CHI

Tale of the tape

GB

Bears vs Packers recent form

CHI 3-2 Bears: last 5 games

  1. W23-12NYJ Oct 4 New York Jets, 23-12
  2. W27-7PHI Sep 28 Philadelphia Eagles, 27-7
  3. L3-9MIN Sep 20 Minnesota Vikings, 3-9
  4. W59-37CAR Sep 13 Carolina Panthers, 59-37
  5. L17-20LAR Jan 18 Los Angeles Rams, 17-20

GB 2-3 Packers: last 5 games

  1. W17-14TB Oct 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 17-14
  2. L14-35ATL Sep 24 Atlanta Falcons, 14-35
  3. W20-17NYJ Sep 20 New York Jets, 20-17
  4. L22-39MIN Sep 13 Minnesota Vikings, 22-39
  5. L27-31CHI Jan 10 Chicago Bears, 27-31
Points scored, last 5CHI 129GB 100
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterCHI 85GB 136

Bears vs Packers head-to-head

Since Jan 7, 2024: Bears 3, Packers 3

  1. Jan 10, 2026Bears 31-27
  2. Dec 20, 2025Bears 22-16
  3. Dec 7, 2025Packers 28-21
  4. Jan 5, 2025Bears 24-22
  5. Nov 17, 2024Packers 20-19
  6. Jan 7, 2024Packers 17-9

Bears vs Packers line movement

MONEYLINE Bears to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (GB)

+1

Total

47

Moneyline

CHI
-118
GB
-104

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (22 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (GB) at FanDuel: opened -138, now +102
  • Spread (GB) at FanDuel: opened -2.5, now +1.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 45.5, now 46.5

Agatha's pick for Bears vs Packers

The Bears. Agatha gave Chicago a 52% chance to win at Lambeau Field, Green Bay. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: Fox

Best Bets on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Jonnu Smith Under 1.5 receptions
    Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers - 1:00 PM ET
    65%
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    SEALED ODDS-222BetOnline

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ETNew Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears
  2. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETMinnesota Vikings vs Green Bay PackersAgatha's call: Green Bay Packers to win, 60%
  3. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 61%