AGATHANo gut feelings

Browns vs Jets Prediction

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKCleveland BrownsAWAYClevelandBrowns

FINAL

1217

New York JetsHOMENew YorkJets
55%WIN CHANCEBrowns to WinLOST#802 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 55%

Agatha's pick: Browns to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Jets 17, Browns 12

SEALED ODDS
+129Pinnacle
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
4:17 PM ETreceipt #802

Also on this game: Browns +2.5, sealed at +104 (Pinnacle), receipt #808: LOST -1.00u.

Game Center

Team1234T
CLE330612
NYJ7001017

Play-by-play

  • [4- 1:54] Timeout #1 by NYJ at 01:54.
  • [4- 1:54] Timeout #2 by CLV at 01:54.
  • [4- 2:00] B.Allen right tackle to NYJ 28 for 2 yards (I.McGuire).
  • [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:06] B.Allen left guard to NYJ 26 for 2 yards (I.McGuire).

Leaders

  • Geno Smith (NYJ): 17/30, 182 YDS, 1 TD
  • Braelon Allen (NYJ): 24 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
  • Garrett Wilson (NYJ): 7 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
  • Deshaun Watson (CLE): 15/33, 155 YDS, 1 TD
  • Quinshon Judkins (CLE): 14 CAR, 44 YDS
  • Isaiah Bond (CLE): 3 REC, 74 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Kenyon Sadiq (NYJ) - Out
  • Joseph Ossai (NYJ) - Questionable
  • Nahshon Wright (NYJ) - Out
  • Adonai Mitchell (NYJ) - Out
  • Dylan Parham (NYJ) - Out
  • Raheim Sanders (CLE) - Questionable
  • Tytus Howard (CLE) - Questionable
  • KC Concepcion (CLE) - Out
  • Taylen Green (CLE) - Out
  • Carsen Ryan (CLE) - Out
CLE

Tale of the tape

NYJ

Browns vs Jets recent form

CLE 4-1 Browns: last 5 games

  1. W27-24PIT Oct 1 Pittsburgh Steelers, 27-24
  2. W21-18CAR Sep 27 Carolina Panthers, 21-18
  3. W23-19TB Sep 20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 23-19
  4. L10-34JAX Sep 13 Jacksonville Jaguars, 10-34
  5. W20-18CIN Jan 4 Cincinnati Bengals, 20-18

NYJ 1-4 Jets: last 5 games

  1. L12-23CHI Oct 4 Chicago Bears, 12-23
  2. L24-31DET Sep 27 Detroit Lions, 24-31
  3. L17-20GB Sep 20 Green Bay Packers, 17-20
  4. W23-10TEN Sep 13 Tennessee Titans, 23-10
  5. L8-35BUF Jan 4 Buffalo Bills, 8-35
Points scored, last 5CLE 101NYJ 84
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterCLE 113NYJ 119

Browns vs Jets head-to-head

Since Dec 28, 2023: Browns 1, Jets 1

  1. Nov 9, 2025Jets 27-20
  2. Dec 28, 2023Browns 37-20

Browns vs Jets line movement

MONEYLINE Browns to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (NYJ)

-3

Total

38

Moneyline

CLE
+120
NYJ
-142

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (13 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (NYJ) at FanDuel: opened -136, now -142
  • Spread (NYJ) at FanDuel: opened -2.5, now -2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 39.5, now 38.5

Agatha's pick for Browns vs Jets

The Browns. Agatha gave Cleveland a 55% chance to win at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. It was one of Agatha's Best NFL Bets for Oct 11.

TV: CBS

Agatha's other picks on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Cleveland Browns at New York Jets - 1:00 PM ET
    61%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-163DraftKings
  1. nflFINAL
    Cleveland Browns at New York Jets - 1:00 PM ET
    49%
    LOSTPRED1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS+104Pinnacle

Up next

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  2. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETBuffalo Bills vs New York JetsAgatha's call: Buffalo Bills to win, 84%
  3. LIVEWashington Commanders vs New York GiantsAgatha's call: New York Giants to win, 63%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%