AGATHANo gut feelings

Buccaneers vs Cowboys Prediction

Thursday, Oct 8, 2026, 8:15 PM ET, AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Tampa Bay BuccaneersAWAYTampa BayBuccaneers

FINAL

2416

AGATHA'S PICKDallas CowboysHOMEDallasCowboys
67%WIN CHANCECowboys to WinLOST#563 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 67%

Agatha's pick: Cowboys to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16

SEALED ODDS
-465Pinnacle
CLOSING ODDS
-469Pinnacle, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:20 PM ETreceipt #563

Also on this game: Buccaneers +9.5, sealed at -102 (Pinnacle), receipt #562: WON +0.98u.

Game Center

Team1234T
TB0717024
DAL730616

Play-by-play

  • [4- 1:04] Timeout #2 by DAL at 01:04.
  • [4- 1:11] B.Irving right tackle to TB 32 for 22 yards (M.Hooker).
  • [4- 1:11] Timeout #1 by DAL at 01:11.
  • [4- 1:16] B.Irving left guard to TB 10 for -2 yards (O.Ogbonnia). ** Injury Update: DAL-J.Barham has returned to the game.

Leaders

  • Dak Prescott (DAL): 24/42, 316 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Javonte Williams (DAL): 12 CAR, 45 YDS, 1 TD
  • George Pickens (DAL): 9 REC, 130 YDS, 1 TD
  • Jalon Daniels (TB): 19/25, 189 YDS, 1 TD
  • Bucky Irving (TB): 21 CAR, 165 YDS, 1 TD
  • Tez Johnson (TB): 1 REC, 64 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • CeeDee Lamb (DAL) - Questionable
  • Alijah Clark (DAL) - Questionable
  • DeMarvion Overshown (DAL) - Out
  • Cobie Durant (DAL) - Out
  • James Houston (DAL) - Out
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. (TB) - Out
  • Billy Schrauth (TB) - Out
  • Baker Mayfield (TB) - Out
  • Benjamin Morrison (TB) - Out
  • SirVocea Dennis (TB) - Out
TB

Tale of the tape

DAL

Buccaneers vs Cowboys recent form

TB 1-4 Buccaneers: last 5 games

  1. L14-17GB Oct 4 Green Bay Packers, 14-17
  2. L16-23MIN Sep 27 Minnesota Vikings, 16-23
  3. L19-23CLE Sep 20 Cleveland Browns, 19-23
  4. L27-33CIN Sep 13 Cincinnati Bengals, 27-33
  5. W16-14CAR Jan 3 Carolina Panthers, 16-14

DAL 2-3 Cowboys: last 5 games

  1. W34-30HOU Oct 4 Houston Texans, 34-30
  2. L31-34BAL Sep 27 Baltimore Ravens, 31-34
  3. W37-20WSH Sep 20 Washington Commanders, 37-20
  4. L20-28NYG Sep 13 New York Giants, 20-28
  5. L17-34NYG Jan 4 New York Giants, 17-34
Points scored, last 5TB 92DAL 139
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterTB 110DAL 146

Buccaneers vs Cowboys head-to-head

Since Dec 22, 2024: Cowboys 1, Buccaneers 0

  1. Dec 22, 2024Cowboys 26-24

Buccaneers vs Cowboys line movement

MONEYLINE Cowboys to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (DAL)

-9.5

Total

49

Moneyline

TB
+400
DAL
-525

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (19 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (DAL) at FanDuel: opened -520, now -520
  • Spread (DAL) at FanDuel: opened -9.5, now -9.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 46.5, now 48.5

Agatha's pick for Buccaneers vs Cowboys

The Cowboys. Agatha gave Dallas a 67% chance to win at AT&T Stadium, Arlington. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: Prime Video

Agatha's other picks on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys - 8:15 PM ET
    60%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-145DraftKings
  2. nflFINAL
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys - 8:15 PM ET
    60%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-141DraftKings
  1. nflFINAL
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys - 8:15 PM ET
    50%
    WONPRED1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-102Pinnacle

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ETTampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions
  2. Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 PM ETSan Francisco 49ers vs Dallas CowboysAgatha's call: San Francisco 49ers to win, 64%
  3. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 61%