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Colts vs Steelers Prediction

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Indianapolis ColtsAWAYIndianapolisColts

FINAL

2234

AGATHA'S PICKPittsburgh SteelersHOMEPittsburghSteelers
61%WIN CHANCESteelers to WinWON#804 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 61%

Agatha's pick: Steelers to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Steelers 34, Colts 22

SEALED ODDS
-148Unibet
CLOSING ODDS
-152Unibet, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.68uat the sealed price
GRADED
4:10 PM ETreceipt #804

Game Center

Team1234T
IND676322
PIT71071034

Play-by-play

  • [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:35] J.Warren up the middle to IND 48 for 6 yards (C.Bynum).

Leaders

  • Aaron Rodgers (PIT): 22/31, 235 YDS, 3 TD
  • Jaylen Warren (PIT): 15 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
  • Jaylen Warren (PIT): 6 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
  • Daniel Jones (IND): 24/44, 267 YDS
  • Jonathan Taylor (IND): 15 CAR, 45 YDS
  • Tyler Warren (IND): 7 REC, 83 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Ben Skowronek (PIT) - Questionable
  • Roman Wilson (PIT) - Out
  • Eli Heidenreich (PIT) - Out
  • Drew Allar (PIT) - Out
  • Will Howard (PIT) - Out
  • Riley Leonard (IND) - Out
  • Dalton Tucker (IND) - Out
  • Ashton Dulin (IND) - Out
  • Jaylon Carlies (IND) - Out
  • Arden Key (IND) - Injured Reserve
IND

Tale of the tape

PIT

Colts vs Steelers recent form

IND 2-3 Colts: last 5 games

  1. W30-13WSH Oct 4 Washington Commanders, 30-13
  2. W19-17HOU Sep 27 Houston Texans, 19-17
  3. L30-33KC Sep 20 Kansas City Chiefs, 30-33
  4. L23-41BAL Sep 13 Baltimore Ravens, 23-41
  5. L30-38HOU Jan 4 Houston Texans, 30-38

PIT 2-3 Steelers: last 5 games

  1. L24-27CLE Oct 1 Cleveland Browns, 24-27
  2. W30-27CIN Sep 27 Cincinnati Bengals, 30-27
  3. L3-20NE Sep 20 New England Patriots, 3-20
  4. W20-13ATL Sep 13 Atlanta Falcons, 20-13
  5. L6-30HOU Jan 12 Houston Texans, 6-30
Points scored, last 5IND 132PIT 83
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterIND 142PIT 117

Colts vs Steelers head-to-head

Since Dec 16, 2023: Colts 2, Steelers 1

  1. Nov 2, 2025Steelers 27-20
  2. Sep 29, 2024Colts 27-24
  3. Dec 16, 2023Colts 30-13

Colts vs Steelers line movement

MONEYLINE Steelers to win at Unibet

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (PIT)

-3

Total

42

Moneyline

IND
+130
PIT
-154

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (18 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (PIT) at FanDuel: opened -132, now -154
  • Spread (PIT) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 43.5, now 41.5

Agatha's pick for Colts vs Steelers

The Steelers. Agatha gave Pittsburgh a 61% chance to win at Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh. It was one of Agatha's Best NFL Bets for Oct 11.

TV: CBS

Best Bets on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Germie Bernard Under 2.5 receptions
    Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers - 1:00 PM ET
    60%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-155BetMGM

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETMiami Dolphins vs Indianapolis ColtsAgatha's call: Indianapolis Colts to win, 57%
  2. Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ETPittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati BengalsAgatha's call: Cincinnati Bengals to win, 57%
  3. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 61%