AGATHANo gut feelings

Giants vs Commanders Prediction

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Northwest Stadium, Landover, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

New York GiantsAWAYNew YorkGiants

FINAL

2727

AGATHA'S PICKWashington CommandersHOMEWashingtonCommanders
54%WIN CHANCECommanders to WinTIE#813 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 54%

Agatha's pick: Commanders to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Giants 27, Commanders 27

SEALED ODDS
-172FanDuel
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
TIE 0.00u
GRADED
5:18 PM ETreceipt #813

Graded a push: the stake comes back.

Game Center

Team12345T
NYG301014027
WSH6678027

Play-by-play

  • [5- 1:55] (Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short left to T.McLaurin ran ob at WAS 39 for 16 yards.

Leaders

  • Jayden Daniels (WSH): 17/25, 199 YDS
  • Jayden Daniels (WSH): 9 CAR, 103 YDS, 2 TD
  • Terry McLaurin (WSH): 4 REC, 62 YDS
  • Jameis Winston (NYG): 33/54, 326 YDS, 3 TD
  • Cam Skattebo (NYG): 13 CAR, 59 YDS
  • Malik Nabers (NYG): 11 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD

Game-day injuries

  • Tanoa Togiai (WSH) - Out
  • Charles Omenihu (WSH) - Out
  • Tyler Owens (WSH) - Out
  • Marcus Mariota (WSH) - Out
  • Nick Cross (WSH) - Out
  • Jermaine Eluemunor (NYG) - Questionable
  • Colton Hood (NYG) - Questionable
  • Tyler Nubin (NYG) - Questionable
  • Jake Haener (NYG) - Out
  • Devin Singletary (NYG) - Out
NYG

Tale of the tape

WSH

Giants vs Commanders recent form

NYG 4-1 Giants: last 5 games

  1. W36-24ARI Oct 4 Arizona Cardinals, 36-24
  2. W12-7TEN Sep 27 Tennessee Titans, 12-7
  3. L6-28LAR Sep 21 Los Angeles Rams, 6-28
  4. W28-20DAL Sep 13 Dallas Cowboys, 28-20
  5. W34-17DAL Jan 4 Dallas Cowboys, 34-17

WSH 2-3 Commanders: last 5 games

  1. L13-30IND Oct 4 Indianapolis Colts, 13-30
  2. W33-31SEA Sep 27 Seattle Seahawks, 33-31
  3. L20-37DAL Sep 20 Dallas Cowboys, 20-37
  4. L22-24PHI Sep 13 Philadelphia Eagles, 22-24
  5. W24-17PHI Jan 4 Philadelphia Eagles, 24-17
Points scored, last 5NYG 116WSH 112
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterNYG 96WSH 139

Giants vs Commanders head-to-head

Since Oct 22, 2023: Commanders 4, Giants 2

  1. Dec 14, 2025Commanders 29-21
  2. Sep 7, 2025Commanders 21-6
  3. Nov 3, 2024Commanders 27-22
  4. Sep 15, 2024Commanders 21-18
  5. Nov 19, 2023Giants 31-19
  6. Oct 22, 2023Giants 14-7

Giants vs Commanders line movement

MONEYLINE Commanders to win at FanDuel

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (WSH)

-3.5

Total

41

Moneyline

NYG
+150
WSH
-180

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (24 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (WSH) at FanDuel: opened -138, now -172
  • Spread (WSH) at FanDuel: opened -2.5, now -3.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 43.5, now 41.5

Agatha's pick for Giants vs Commanders

The Commanders. Agatha gave Washington a 54% chance to win at Northwest Stadium, Landover. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: Fox

Best Bets on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    New York Giants at Washington Commanders - 1:00 PM ET
    60%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-190Bovada

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 22, 4:25 PM ETJacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants
  2. Mon, Nov 23, 8:15 PM ETCincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders
  3. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 61%