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Raiders vs Patriots Prediction

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Las Vegas RaidersAWAYLas VegasRaiders

FINAL

1745

AGATHA'S PICKNew England PatriotsHOMENew EnglandPatriots
71%WIN CHANCEPatriots to WinWON#799 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 71%

Agatha's pick: Patriots to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Patriots 45, Raiders 17

SEALED ODDS
-177BetOnline
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.56uat the sealed price
GRADED
4:06 PM ETreceipt #799

Also on this game: Patriots -3.5, sealed at +100 (BetMGM), receipt #809: WON +1.00u.

Game Center

Team1234T
LV703717
NE147141045

Play-by-play

  • [4- 0:41] D.Maye kneels to NE 39 for -1 yards.
  • [4- 1:20] D.Maye kneels to NE 40 for -2 yards.
  • [4- 2:00] D.Maye kneels to NE 42 for -1 yards.
  • [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:34] C.Kiner right tackle to NE 43 for 32 yards (J.Chinn).

Leaders

  • Drake Maye (NE): 26/34, 374 YDS, 4 TD
  • Rhamondre Stevenson (NE): 13 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
  • Kyle Williams (NE): 3 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
  • Kirk Cousins (LV): 19/28, 243 YDS, 1 TD
  • Ashton Jeanty (LV): 10 CAR, 27 YDS
  • Brock Bowers (LV): 8 REC, 110 YDS, 1 TD

Game-day injuries

  • Will Campbell (NE) - Questionable
  • Charles Woods (NE) - Questionable
  • TreVeyon Henderson (NE) - Out
  • Behren Morton (NE) - Out
  • Dre'Mont Jones (NE) - Questionable
  • Patrick Johnson (LV) - Questionable
  • Tonka Hemingway (LV) - Questionable
  • Aidan O'Connell (LV) - Out
  • Trey Zuhn III (LV) - Out
  • JJ Pegues (LV) - Out
LV

Tale of the tape

NE

Raiders vs Patriots recent form

LV 4-1 Raiders: last 5 games

  1. L27-30KC Oct 4 Kansas City Chiefs, 27-30
  2. W35-27NO Sep 27 New Orleans Saints, 35-27
  3. W26-14LAC Sep 20 Los Angeles Chargers, 26-14
  4. W27-13MIA Sep 13 Miami Dolphins, 27-13
  5. W14-12KC Jan 4 Kansas City Chiefs, 14-12

NE 2-3 Patriots: last 5 games

  1. W29-26BUF Oct 4 Buffalo Bills, 29-26
  2. L6-35JAX Sep 27 Jacksonville Jaguars, 6-35
  3. W20-3PIT Sep 20 Pittsburgh Steelers, 20-3
  4. L10-13SEA Sep 9 Seattle Seahawks, 10-13
  5. L13-29SEA Feb 8 Seattle Seahawks, 13-29
Points scored, last 5LV 129NE 78
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterLV 96NE 106

Raiders vs Patriots head-to-head

Since Oct 15, 2023: Raiders 2, Patriots 0

  1. Sep 7, 2025Raiders 20-13
  2. Oct 15, 2023Raiders 21-17

Raiders vs Patriots line movement

MONEYLINE Patriots to win at BetOnline

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (NE)

-3.5

Total

45.5

Moneyline

LV
+148
NE
-176

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (20 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (NE) at FanDuel: opened -186, now -176
  • Spread (NE) at FanDuel: opened -3.5, now -3.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 43.5, now 45.5

Agatha's pick for Raiders vs Patriots

The Patriots. Agatha gave New England a 71% chance to win at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough. It was one of Agatha's Best NFL Bets for Oct 11.

TV: CBS

Agatha's other picks on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Efton Chism III Over 1.5 receptions
    Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots - 1:00 PM ET
    60%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-172FanDuel
  1. nflFINAL
    New England Patriots -3.5
    Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots - 1:00 PM ET
    49%
    WONPRED1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS+100BetMGM

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ETSeattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas RaidersAgatha's call: Seattle Seahawks to win, 73%
  2. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  3. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 61%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETMinnesota Vikings vs Green Bay PackersAgatha's call: Green Bay Packers to win, 60%