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Texans vs Titans Prediction

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKHouston TexansAWAYHoustonTexans

FINAL

2630

Tennessee TitansHOMETennesseeTitans
66%WIN CHANCETexans to WinWON#811 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 66%

Agatha's pick: Texans to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Texans 26, Titans 3

SEALED ODDS
-304MyBookie
CLOSING ODDS
-285MyBookie, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.33uat the sealed price
GRADED
3:56 PM ETreceipt #811

Game Center

Team1234T
HOU397726
TEN30003

Play-by-play

  • [4- 0:24] (Shotgun) C.Ward sacked at TEN 35 for -13 yards (W.Anderson).
  • [4- 0:58] (Shotgun) C.Ward pass short right to T.Spears to TEN 48 for 2 yards (S.Rankins).
  • [4- 1:01] (Shotgun) C.Ward pass incomplete short middle to G.Helm (A.Al-Shaair).
  • [4- 1:34] (Shotgun) C.Ward pass short right to T.Spears to TEN 46 for -6 yards (J.Hansen).
  • [4- 1:35] Timeout #1 by TEN at 01:35.
  • [4- 1:35] (No Huddle, Shotgun) PENALTY on TEN-D.Moore, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at HST 43 - No Play. 10-second runoff avoided.
  • [4- 2:00] (Shotgun) C.Ward pass deep middle to E.Ayomanor to HST 43 for 17 yards (A.Al-Shaair; K.Ramsey).
  • [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:25] (No Huddle, Shotgun) C.Ward sacked at TEN 40 for -4 yards (W.Anderson).
  • [4- 2:45] (No Huddle) T.Spears up the middle to TEN 44 for 3 yards (S.Rankins).
  • [4- 3:09] (No Huddle, Shotgun) C.Ward pass short right to T.Spears to TEN 41 for 7 yards (A.Al-Shaair).
  • [4- 3:14] (Shotgun) C.Ward pass short right to W.Robinson pushed ob at TEN 34 for 8 yards (K.Ramsey).

Leaders

  • Cam Ward (TEN): 23/36, 170 YDS, 1 INT
  • Tony Pollard (TEN): 14 CAR, 52 YDS
  • Wan'Dale Robinson (TEN): 6 REC, 53 YDS
  • C.J. Stroud (HOU): 26/34, 261 YDS, 1 TD
  • Woody Marks (HOU): 15 CAR, 62 YDS
  • Xavier Hutchinson (HOU): 4 REC, 65 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Cor'Dale Flott (TEN) - Questionable
  • Kevin Winston Jr. (TEN) - Questionable
  • Nicholas Singleton (TEN) - Out
  • David Martin-Robinson (TEN) - Out
  • Jaylon Jones (TEN) - Out
  • David Montgomery (HOU) - Out
  • Marlin Klein (HOU) - Out
  • Collin Wright (HOU) - Out
  • Nate Thomas (HOU) - Out
  • Febechi Nwaiwu (HOU) - Out
HOU

Tale of the tape

TEN

Texans vs Titans recent form

HOU 0-5 Texans: last 5 games

  1. L30-34DAL Oct 4 Dallas Cowboys, 30-34
  2. L17-19IND Sep 27 Indianapolis Colts, 17-19
  3. L6-20CIN Sep 20 Cincinnati Bengals, 6-20
  4. L31-36BUF Sep 13 Buffalo Bills, 31-36
  5. L16-28NE Jan 18 New England Patriots, 16-28

TEN 0-5 Titans: last 5 games

  1. L18-24BAL Oct 4 Baltimore Ravens, 18-24
  2. L7-12NYG Sep 27 New York Giants, 7-12
  3. L20-24PHI Sep 20 Philadelphia Eagles, 20-24
  4. L10-23NYJ Sep 13 New York Jets, 10-23
  5. L7-41JAX Jan 4 Jacksonville Jaguars, 7-41
Points scored, last 5HOU 100TEN 62
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterHOU 137TEN 124

Texans vs Titans head-to-head

Since Dec 17, 2023: Texans 5, Titans 1

  1. Nov 16, 2025Texans 16-13
  2. Sep 28, 2025Texans 26-0
  3. Jan 5, 2025Texans 23-14
  4. Nov 24, 2024Titans 32-27
  5. Dec 31, 2023Texans 26-3
  6. Dec 17, 2023Texans 19-16

Texans vs Titans line movement

MONEYLINE Texans to win at MyBookie

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (TEN)

+6.5

Total

37.5

Moneyline

HOU
-285
TEN
+230

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (25 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (TEN) at FanDuel: opened +265, now +250
  • Spread (TEN) at FanDuel: opened +6.5, now +6.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 38.5, now 37.5

Agatha's pick for Texans vs Titans

The Texans. Agatha gave Houston a 66% chance to win at Nissan Stadium, Nashville. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: CBS

Best Bets on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Tyjae Spears Over 1.5 receptions
    Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans - 1:00 PM ET
    61%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-175BetMGM

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 61%
  2. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETJacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee TitansAgatha's call: Jacksonville Jaguars to win, 82%
  3. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETMinnesota Vikings vs Green Bay PackersAgatha's call: Green Bay Packers to win, 60%