AGATHANo gut feelings

Jones vs Li Prediction

Monday, Oct 19, 2026, 10:30 PM ET, Round 1

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Li to Win

73%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

JonesJones
0-2
LiLi

Predicted 0-2

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS10:15 PM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-278BetfairBET

Where to bet it

Li to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 7 books

  1. Betfair-278-278
  2. FanDuel-290-290
  3. Betway-300-300
  4. Cloudbet-312-312
  5. Rollbit-333-333
  6. Stake-345-345

Match at bet365: opened -357, now -357

Jones vs Li line movement

MATCH Li to win at BetVictor

Who will win Jones vs Li?

Ann Li. Agatha gives Li a 73% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Li

Ann Li comes in off a 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 win over Aryna Sabalenka in Round 2 of the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open on Oct 14. She followed it by beating Janice Tjen 6-1, 7-6 in Round 3 on Oct 15. Over their last ten matches Li went 7-3 and Emerson Jones went 6-4. Agatha gives Li about a 3-in-4 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Jones has won two matches in a row, both at the Japan Open.

Jones vs Li recent form

Jones: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 17Taylah PrestonW6-0 ret.
  2. Oct 17Heather WatsonW6-3, 6-3
  3. Oct 7Bai ZhuoxuanL6-1, 3-6, 6-7(3)
  4. Oct 6Mai HontamaW6-4, 6-0
  5. Oct 3Alexandra ShubladzeL5-7, 4-6

Li: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 16Iga SwiatekL4-6, 1-6
  2. Oct 15Janice TjenW6-1, 7-6(1)
  3. Oct 14Aryna SabalenkaW3-6, 6-4, 7-6(5)
  4. Oct 13Camila OsorioW6-1, 3-0 ret.
  5. Oct 7Elina SvitolinaL2-6, 3-6

Jones vs Li player stats

  • Ann Li

    WTA ranking
    No. 251,833 pts
    2026 record
    28-25
    Titles
    25 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Emerson Jones
+200
Ann Li
-278

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Ann Li) at bet365: opened -357, now -357