AGATHANo gut feelings

Jodar vs Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Sunday, Oct 18, 2026, 4:30 AM ET, Final

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Jodar to Win

57%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

JodarJodar
2-0
Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS3:00 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-133PinnacleBET

Where to bet it

Jodar to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 23 books

  1. Pinnacle-133-133
  2. DraftKings-135-135
  3. BetMGM-140-140
  4. Ladbrokes-143-143
  5. 1xBet-143-143
  6. Unibet-143-143

Match at Pinnacle: opened -138, now -133

Jodar vs Davidovich Fokina line movement

MATCH Jodar to win at 1xBet

Who will win Jodar vs Davidovich Fokina?

Rafael Jodar. Agatha gives Jodar a 57% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Jodar

Rafael Jodar has won five matches in a row, all at the Rolex Shanghai Masters. He beat Casper Ruud 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinal on Oct 16, then Daniil Medvedev 6-3, 6-4 in the semifinal on Oct 17. Jodar is ranked No. 13 and is 20-11 on hard courts this year. Agatha picks Jodar to win, a little better than a coin flip, and predicts straight sets. The risk is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 9-1 over the last 10 matches, with a semifinal win over Alexander Zverev 5-7, 6-4, 6-3.

Jodar vs Davidovich Fokina recent form

Jodar: last 5 matches

Last 5: 5-0

  1. Oct 17Daniil MedvedevW6-3, 6-4
  2. Oct 16Casper RuudW4-6, 6-4, 6-3
  3. Oct 14Botic Van De ZandschulpW6-7(4), 6-4, 6-2
  4. Oct 12Jiri LeheckaW4-6, 7-6(2), 6-4
  5. Oct 10Thiago Agustin TiranteW4-6, 6-2, 6-3

Davidovich Fokina: last 5 matches

Last 5: 5-0

  1. Oct 17Alexander ZverevW5-7, 6-4, 6-3
  2. Oct 15Arthur GeaW4-1 ret.
  3. Oct 13Hubert HurkaczW1-6, 6-3, 7-6(6)
  4. Oct 11Frances TiafoeW7-6(4), 4-6, 7-6(6)
  5. Oct 9Jenson BrooksbyW6-1, 6-3

Jodar vs Davidovich Fokina player stats

  • Rafael Jodar

    ATP ranking
    No. 132,659 pts
    2026 record
    41-161 title
    Titles
    12 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Rafael Jodar
-135
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
+111

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Alejandro Davidovich Fokina) at FanDuel: opened +122, now +122