AGATHANo gut feelings

Shapovalov vs Fritz Prediction

Thursday, Oct 29, 2026, 10:30 AM ET, Round 2

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Fritz to Win

64%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

ShapovalovShapovalov
0-2
FritzFritz

Predicted 0-2

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS6:45 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-2721xBetBET

Where to bet it

Fritz to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 16 books

  1. 1xBet-272-272
  2. William Hill-275-275
  3. Bovada-275-275
  4. 888sport-275-275
  5. Betfair-278-278
  6. Fanatics-280-280

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Denis Shapovalov
+222
Taylor Fritz
-281

Who will win Shapovalov vs Fritz?

Taylor Fritz. Agatha gives Fritz a 64% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Fritz

Taylor Fritz won the latest meeting with Shapovalov, 7-5, 6-3 in Round 3 of the Miami Open on Mar 24, 2025. Fritz is ranked No. 13 in the ATP rankings of 2026-10-22 and is 37-16 on the main tour this year. He also beat Rinky Hijikata 6-4, 7-6 in Round 1 of the Swiss Indoors Basel on Oct 28. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Fritz about a 2-in-3 chance to win. The risk is Shapovalov is 7-3 over his last ten matches while Fritz is 6-4 over his.

Shapovalov vs Fritz recent form

Shapovalov: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 28Remy BertolaW6-4, 6-2
  2. Oct 4Carlos AlcarazL6-7(3), 1-2 ret.
  3. Oct 2Alejandro TabiloW7-5, 3-6, 6-4
  4. Oct 1Sho ShimabukuroW7-5, 6-1
  5. Sep 28Hubert HurkaczL7-6(8), 3-6, 3-6

Fritz: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 28Rinky HijikataW6-4, 7-6(3)
  2. Oct 25Lorenzo MusettiL3-6, 4-6
  3. Oct 24Tommy PaulW6-3, 7-5
  4. Oct 23Daniel AltmaierW7-6(5), 6-2
  5. Oct 22Pierre-Hugues HerbertW6-2, 7-5

Shapovalov vs Fritz head-to-head

Since Mar 11, 2021: Fritz 5, Shapovalov 3

  1. Mar 24, 2025Fritz 7-5, 6-3Miami Open, Round 3
  2. Feb 6, 2025Shapovalov 2-6, 6-3, 7-6(2)Nexo Dallas Open, Round 2
  3. Mar 26, 2023Fritz 6-4, 6-4Miami Open, Round 3
  4. Mar 1, 2023Fritz 6-4, 6-4Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC, Round 2
  5. Oct 26, 2022Shapovalov 6-1, 4-6, 6-3Erste Bank Open, Round 2
  6. Oct 8, 2022Fritz 6-3, 6-7(5), 6-3Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships, Semifinal
  7. Sep 30, 2021Shapovalov 7-6, 6-2San Diego Open, Round 2
  8. Mar 11, 2021Fritz 5-7, 6-3, 7-5Qatar ExxonMobil Open, Quarterfinal

Shapovalov vs Fritz player stats

  • Taylor Fritz

    ATP ranking
    No. 132,995 pts
    2026 record
    37-161 title
    Titles
    1124 finals