AGATHANo gut feelings

Colts vs Texans Prediction

Thursday, Nov 19, 2026, 8:15 PM ET, Reliant Stadium, Houston, Week 11

Agatha Research Desk

Indianapolis ColtsAWAYIndianapolisColts2-7

PREDICTED SCORE

1929

Texans win by 10

AGATHA'S PICKHouston TexansHOMEHoustonTexans3-5
78%WIN CHANCETexans to WinSEALS AT 8:00 PM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Texans to WinTHE VERDICT
IND

Tale of the tape

HOU

This season

Points per gameWHYIND 20.4HOU 26.1
Points against per gamefewer is betterIND 27.7HOU 24.0

Colts vs Texans recent form

WHY
Points scored, last 5IND 82HOU 155
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterIND 145HOU 117

Colts vs Texans key players

Indianapolis ColtsHouston Texans

Most passing yards Quarterbacks

Pass yardsIND 1,722HOU 2,251
Pass TDIND 6HOU 16
INTlower is betterIND 10HOU 2
8 Rush TD - 4.1 Yards a carry2 Rush TD - 3.6 Yards a carry
Rush yardsIND 656HOU 341
38 Catches - 2 Rec TD28 Catches - 4 Rec TD
Rec yardsIND 275HOU 384

Colts vs Texans injury report

Colts vs Texans head-to-head

WHY

Since Jan 6, 2024: Texans 5, Colts 1

  1. Sep 27, 2026Colts 19-17
  2. Jan 4, 2026Texans 38-30
  3. Nov 30, 2025Texans 20-16
  4. Oct 27, 2024Texans 23-20
  5. Sep 8, 2024Texans 29-27
  6. Jan 6, 2024Texans 23-19

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (HOU)

-10

Total

43.5

Moneyline

IND
+390
HOU
-549

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (HOU) at FanDuel: opened -550, now -550
  • Spread (HOU) at FanDuel: opened -9.5, now -9.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 43.5, now 43.5

Who will win Colts vs Texans?

The Texans. Agatha gives Houston a 78% chance to win and predicts a 29-19 final at Reliant Stadium, Houston. It is Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks the Texans

The Colts have lost five games in a row. The Texans won 44-22 at the Los Angeles Chargers on Nov 8. The Texans scored more points per game than the Colts this season, 26.1 to 20.4. Agatha has the Texans winning 29-19, about a 4-in-5 chance. The risk: the Colts won the latest meeting, 19-17 at home on Sep 27, 2026.

Streaming: Prime Video