AGATHANo gut feelings

Basilashvili vs Daniel Prediction

Saturday, Oct 17, 2026, 3:30 AM ET

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Basilashvili to Win

62%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

BasilashviliBasilashvili
2-0
DanielDaniel

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS3:00 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-208DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

Basilashvili to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 4 books

  1. DraftKings-208-208
  2. BetVictor-222-222
  3. bet365-227-227
  4. William Hill-303-303

Match at bet365: opened -227, now -227

Who will win Basilashvili vs Daniel?

Nikoloz Basilashvili. Agatha gives Basilashvili a 62% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Basilashvili

The form runs one way: Taro Daniel has lost three matches in a row, the latest at the Rolex Shanghai Masters. Nikoloz Basilashvili is 7-3 over the last 10 matches, and he beat Jenson Brooksby 6-4, 7-6 in the quarterfinal of the Chengdu Open on Sep 27. Basilashvili arrives with the better run behind him. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Basilashvili about a 6-in-10 chance to win. The risk is Basilashvili retired against Adrian Mannarino in Round 1 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 7.

Basilashvili vs Daniel recent form

Basilashvili: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 7Adrian MannarinoL3-6, 2-2 ret.
  2. Oct 6Liam DraxlW5-7, 7-5, 6-4
  3. Oct 5Andre IlaganW6-3, 6-7(1), 7-5
  4. Sep 28Alejandro Davidovich FokinaL6-4, 4-6, 3-6
  5. Sep 27Jenson BrooksbyW6-4, 7-6(4)

Daniel: last 5 matches

Last 5: 2-3

  1. Oct 5Shintaro MochizukiL6-2, 2-6, 2-6
  2. Sep 28Adolfo Daniel VallejoL3-6, 2-6
  3. Sep 25Fabian MarozsanL7-6(2), 5-7, 6-7(1)
  4. Sep 24Dane SweenyW7-6(6), 6-2
  5. Sep 23Hayato MatsuokaW6-4, 7-6(9)

Basilashvili vs Daniel head-to-head

Since Apr 25, 2017: Basilashvili 1, Daniel 0

  1. Apr 25, 2017Basilashvili 6-3, 6-1ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell, Round 1

Basilashvili vs Daniel player stats

  • Taro Daniel

    2026 record
    1-2
    Titles
    12 finals
    Grand Slam titles
    0

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Nikoloz Basilashvili
-222
Taro Daniel
+159

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Taro Daniel) at bet365: opened +162, now +162