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Cobolli vs Medvedev Prediction

Monday, Nov 16, 2026, 2:30 PM ET

Agatha Research Desk

Flavio CobolliFlavioCobolli

PREDICTED SETS

0-2

AGATHA'S PICKDaniil MedvedevDaniilMedvedev
70%WIN CHANCEMedvedev to WinSEALS AT 1:30 PM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Medvedev to WinTHE VERDICT
Cobolli

Tale of the tape

Medvedev

Cobolli vs Medvedev recent form

Cobolli 3-2 Cobolli: last 5 matches

  1. LOct 29 Oct 29 Matteo Berrettini, 2-5 ret.
  2. WOct 27 Oct 27 Grigor Dimitrov, 6-4, 3-6, 6-3
  3. LOct 24 Oct 24 Lorenzo Musetti, 6-4, 2-6, 5-7
  4. WOct 23 Oct 23 Brandon Nakashima, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4
  5. WOct 22 Oct 22 Stan Wawrinka, 6-2, 6-4

Medvedev 3-2 Medvedev: last 5 matches

  1. LNov 4 Nov 4 Ignacio Buse, 4-6, 4-6
  2. LOct 31 Oct 31 Carlos Alcaraz, 4-6, 6-7(2)
  3. WOct 30 Oct 30 Adrian Mannarino, 6-2, 6-3
  4. WOct 29 Oct 29 Cameron Norrie, 4-6, 6-3, 7-6(1)
  5. WOct 28 Oct 28 Daniel Merida, 7-6(5), 6-1

Cobolli vs Medvedev player stats

WHY
Flavio CobolliDaniil Medvedev
ATP rankinglower is betterCobolli No. 63,680 ptsMedvedev No. 53,820 pts
2026 recordCobolli 35-221 titleMedvedev 52-204 titles
TitlesCobolli 36 finalsMedvedev 2545 finals

Cobolli vs Medvedev head-to-head

Since Aug 31, 2024: Medvedev 2, Cobolli 1

  1. Apr 28, 2026Cobolli 6-3, 5-7, 6-4Mutua Madrid Open, Round 4
  2. Sep 30, 2024Medvedev 6-2, 6-4China Open, Quarterfinal
  3. Aug 31, 2024Medvedev 6-3, 6-4, 6-3US Open, Round 3

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Flavio Cobolli
+320
Daniil Medvedev
-435

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Daniil Medvedev) at Unibet: opened -435, now -435

Who will win Cobolli vs Medvedev?

Daniil Medvedev. Agatha gives Medvedev a 70% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Medvedev

Agatha rates Daniil Medvedev 1940 and Flavio Cobolli 1777 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 163 rating points toward Daniil Medvedev, for a predicted 70 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Daniil Medvedev in 2-0.