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Medvedev vs Merida Prediction

Tuesday, Oct 27, 2026, Time TBA, Round 1

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Medvedev to Win

71%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

MedvedevMedvedev
2-0
MeridaMerida

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS-
BEST ODDSBEST-455DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

Medvedev to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 1 book

  1. DraftKings-455-455

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Daniil Medvedev
-450
Daniel Merida
+345

Who will win Medvedev vs Merida?

Daniil Medvedev. Agatha gives Medvedev a 71% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Medvedev

The last meeting on the main tour went to Medvedev, who beat Merida 3-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-2 in Round 2 of Wimbledon on Jul 1, 2026. He comes in off the Almaty Open title, beating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 in the final on Oct 25, and has won four matches in a row, all at the Almaty Open. Agatha gives Medvedev about a 7-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Medvedev lost to Rafael Jodar 6-3, 6-4 in the semifinal of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 17.

Medvedev vs Merida recent form

Medvedev: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 25Nikoloz BasilashviliW6-7(6), 6-1, 6-3
  2. Oct 24Alexander BublikW6-3 ret.
  3. Oct 23Terence AtmaneW6-4, 6-4
  4. Oct 22Sho ShimabukuroW6-2, 6-1
  5. Oct 17Rafael JodarL3-6, 4-6

Merida: last 5 matches

Last 5: 2-3

  1. Oct 8Botic Van De ZandschulpL6-1, 3-6, 4-6
  2. Sep 4Alex MichelsenL6-7(5), 4-6, 3-6
  3. Sep 2Andrey RublevW6-7(3), 6-2, 6-4, 6-4
  4. Aug 30Marton FucsovicsW6-4, 6-4, 6-2
  5. Aug 18Taylor FritzL3-6, 4-6

Medvedev vs Merida head-to-head

Since Jul 1, 2026: Medvedev 1, Merida 0

  1. Jul 1, 2026Medvedev 3-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-2Wimbledon, Round 2

Medvedev vs Merida player stats

  • Daniil Medvedev

    ATP ranking
    No. 53,660 pts
    2026 record
    49-184 titles
    Titles
    2545 finals
  • Daniel Merida

    ATP ranking
    No. 421,195 pts
    2026 record
    20-111 title
    Titles
    12 finals