Merida vs Paul Prediction
Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026, Time TBA, Round 2

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1UDOG
Paul to Win
PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted 0-2
Where to bet it
Paul to win: best odds
Match at DraftKings: opened -270, now -311
Market (latest pregame line)
Moneyline
- Daniel Merida
- +265
- Tommy Paul
- -335
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (2 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Tommy Paul) at FanDuel: opened -295, now -320
Who will win Merida vs Paul?
Tommy Paul. Agatha gives Paul a 64% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picks Paul
Tommy Paul is ranked No. 14 and arrives having beaten Holger Rune 7-5, 6-4 in Round 1 of the Rolex Paris Masters on Nov 3. He also beat Luciano Darderi 6-1, 6-1 in Round 2 of the Erste Bank Open on Oct 29, and he is 46-21 on the main tour this year. Agatha gives Paul about a 2-in-3 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Merida arrives off a 6-4, 6-2 win over Sebastian Baez in Round 1 of the Rolex Paris Masters on Nov 2.
Merida vs Paul recent form
Merida: last 5 matches
Last 5: 2-3
- Nov 2Sebastian BaezW6-4, 6-2
- Oct 28Daniil MedvedevL6-7(5), 1-6
- Oct 8Botic Van De ZandschulpL6-1, 3-6, 4-6
- Sep 4Alex MichelsenL6-7(5), 4-6, 3-6
- Sep 2Andrey RublevW6-7(3), 6-2, 6-4, 6-4
Paul: last 5 matches
Last 5: 3-2
- Nov 3Holger RuneW7-5, 6-4
- Oct 30Carlos AlcarazL4-6, 6-7(2)
- Oct 29Luciano DarderiW6-1, 6-1
- Oct 27Andrey RublevW7-5, 6-2
- Oct 24Taylor FritzL3-6, 5-7
Merida vs Paul player stats
- ATP ranking
- No. 421,195 pts
- 2026 record
- 21-121 title
- Titles
- 12 finals
- ATP ranking
- No. 142,775 pts
- 2026 record
- 46-211 title
- Titles
- 511 finals