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Musetti vs Fritz Prediction

Friday, Nov 13, 2026, 11:00 AM ET, Semifinal

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Lorenzo MusettiLorenzoMusetti

PREDICTED SETS

0-2

AGATHA'S PICKTaylor FritzTaylorFritz
54%WIN CHANCEFritz to Win#3295 SEALED

Sealed at 54%

Agatha's pick: Fritz to WinTHE VERDICT
Musetti

Tale of the tape

Fritz

Musetti vs Fritz recent form

WHY

Musetti 4-1 Musetti: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 12 Nov 12 Ugo Humbert, 7-6(5), 3-6, 6-4
  2. WNov 10 Nov 10 Toby Samuel, 6-1, 6-4
  3. LNov 5 Nov 5 Luca Van Assche, 5-7, 6-3, 4-6
  4. WNov 4 Nov 4 Alexander Zverev, 7-6(5), 6-2
  5. WNov 2 Nov 2 Hubert Hurkacz, 7-6(3), 7-6(10)

Fritz 3-1 Fritz: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 12 Nov 12 Holger Rune, W/O
  2. WNov 11 Nov 11 Cameron Norrie, 7-5, 6-3
  3. LNov 6 Nov 6 Carlos Alcaraz, 7-6(10), 5-7, 3-6
  4. WNov 5 Nov 5 Arthur Fils, 6-3, 6-4
  5. WNov 4 Nov 4 Alex Molcan, 6-7(6), 7-5, 7-6(5)

Musetti vs Fritz player stats

WHY
Lorenzo MusettiTaylor Fritz
ATP rankinglower is betterMusetti No. 251,895 ptsFritz No. 103,285 pts
2026 recordMusetti 30-141 titleFritz 43-181 title
TitlesMusetti 310 finalsFritz 1124 finals

Musetti vs Fritz head-to-head

WHY

Since Jun 28, 2022: Musetti 5, Fritz 2

  1. Oct 25, 2026Musetti 6-3, 6-4Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes, Final
  2. Jan 25, 2026Musetti 6-2, 7-5, 6-4Australian Open, Round 4
  3. Nov 10, 2025Fritz 6-3, 6-4Nitto ATP Finals, Group Stage
  4. Jul 31, 2024Musetti 6-4, 7-5Olympics, Round 3
  5. Jul 10, 2024Musetti 3-6, 7-6(5), 6-2, 3-6, 6-1Wimbledon, Quarterfinal
  6. Apr 7, 2024Musetti 6-4, 6-4Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters, Round 1
  7. Jun 28, 2022Fritz 6-4, 6-4, 6-3Wimbledon, Round 1

Musetti vs Fritz line movement

MATCH Fritz to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Lorenzo Musetti
+130
Taylor Fritz
-167

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Taylor Fritz) at bet365: opened -164, now -164

Who will win Musetti vs Fritz?

Taylor Fritz. Agatha gives Fritz a 54% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Fritz

Taylor Fritz is 32-13 on hard courts this year, and this semifinal is on a hard court. He beat Cameron Norrie 7-5, 6-3 in Round 2 of the Bybit Stockholm Open on Nov 11 and beat Holger Rune by walkover in the quarterfinal on Nov 12. Fritz is ranked No. 10. Agatha picks Fritz to win, slightly better than even, and predicts straight sets. The risk is Musetti won the latest meeting on the main tour, in the final of the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes on Oct 25, 2026.