AGATHANo gut feelings

Sonmez vs Li Prediction

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2026, 10:30 PM ET, Round 2

Agatha Research Desk, Posted

BEST BET

AGATHA'S PICKLEAN1U

Li to Win

58%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

SonmezSonmez
0-2
LiLi

Predicted 0-2

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS10:15 PM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-222DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

Li to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 1 book

  1. DraftKings-222-222

Match at bet365: opened -189, now -200

Sonmez vs Li line movement

MATCH Li to win at Betano

Who will win Sonmez vs Li?

Ann Li. Agatha gives Li a 58% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is one of Agatha's Best Tennis Bets for Oct 21.

Why Agatha picks Li

Li's form is the deciding factor. She is 7-3 over the last 10 matches and is coming off a 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 win over Emerson Jones in Round 1 of the Japan Open on Oct 19. She also beat Aryna Sabalenka 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 in Round 2 of the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open on Oct 14. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Li close to a 6-in-10 chance to win. The risk is Sonmez won all three meetings since Nov 3, 2024 on the main tour, the latest 7-5, 1-6, 6-4 on Jun 29, 2026.

Sonmez vs Li recent form

Sonmez: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 20Maya JointW3-6, 6-4, 6-3
  2. Oct 13Yulia PutintsevaL7-6(1), 3-6, 5-7
  3. Oct 10Sinja KrausW6-2, 6-4
  4. Oct 10Anastasia ZakharovaW6-3, 6-2
  5. Sep 30Maddison InglisL4-6, 4-6

Li: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 19Emerson JonesW5-7, 6-0, 6-3
  2. Oct 16Iga SwiatekL4-6, 1-6
  3. Oct 15Janice TjenW6-1, 7-6(1)
  4. Oct 14Aryna SabalenkaW3-6, 6-4, 7-6(5)
  5. Oct 13Camila OsorioW6-1, 3-0 ret.

Sonmez vs Li head-to-head

Since Nov 3, 2024: Sonmez 3, Li 0

  1. Jun 29, 2026Sonmez 7-5, 1-6, 6-4Wimbledon, Round 1
  2. Feb 26, 2026Sonmez 3-6, 7-6(7), 6-4Merida Open Akron, Round 2
  3. Nov 3, 2024Sonmez 6-2, 6-1Merida Open Akron, Final

Sonmez vs Li player stats

  • Zeynep Sonmez

    WTA ranking
    No. 63987 pts
    2026 record
    20-22
    Titles
    11 finals
  • Ann Li

    WTA ranking
    No. 251,833 pts
    2026 record
    29-25
    Titles
    25 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Zeynep Sonmez
+167
Ann Li
-189

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (2 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Ann Li) at bet365: opened -189, now -200