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Alcaraz vs Shelton Prediction

Sunday, Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 AM ET, Final

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Alcaraz to Win

76%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

AlcarazAlcaraz
2-0
SheltonShelton

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS8:00 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-333BoyleSportsBET

Where to bet it

Alcaraz to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 29 books

  1. BoyleSports-333-333
  2. Betfair-345-345
  3. Unibet-345-345
  4. LiveScore Bet-345-345
  5. BetRivers-345-345
  6. Casumo-345-345

Match at BoyleSports: opened -350, now -333

Alcaraz vs Shelton line movement

MATCH Alcaraz to win at FanDuel

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Carlos Alcaraz
-360
Ben Shelton
+280

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (7 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Ben Shelton) at FanDuel: opened +245, now +275

Who will win Alcaraz vs Shelton?

Carlos Alcaraz. Agatha gives Alcaraz a 76% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz has won eight matches in a row, the last three at the Rolex Paris Masters. He beat Casper Ruud 6-4, 6-4 in the semifinal of the Rolex Paris Masters on Nov 7, and Alex de Minaur 6-1, 6-4 in the final of the Erste Bank Open on Nov 1. Alcaraz is 35-4 on hard courts this year. Agatha gives Alcaraz about a 3-in-4 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Shelton won the latest meeting on the main tour, in the quarterfinal of the US Open on Sep 8, 2026.

Alcaraz vs Shelton recent form

Alcaraz: last 5 matches

Last 4: 4-0

  1. Nov 7Casper RuudW6-4, 6-4
  2. Nov 6Taylor FritzW6-7(10), 7-5, 6-3
  3. Nov 5Matteo BerrettiniWW/O
  4. Nov 4Alex MichelsenW7-6(4), 6-3
  5. Nov 1Alex de MinaurW6-1, 6-4

Shelton: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Nov 7Luca Van AsscheW5-7, 6-3, 6-4
  2. Nov 6Tommy PaulW6-4, 4-6, 6-3
  3. Nov 5Arthur RinderknechW3-6, 6-4, 7-6(5)
  4. Nov 3Cameron NorrieW6-3, 6-4
  5. Oct 29Jerome KymL3-6, 7-6(4), 6-7(1)

Alcaraz vs Shelton head-to-head

Since Aug 9, 2023: Alcaraz 2, Shelton 1

  1. Sep 8, 2026Shelton 6-7(5), 6-1, 6-3, 1-6, 7-6(7)US Open, Quarterfinal
  2. Jun 1, 2025Alcaraz 7-6(8), 6-3, 4-6, 6-4Roland Garros, Round 4
  3. Aug 9, 2023Alcaraz 6-3, 7-6(3)National Bank Open, Round 2

Alcaraz vs Shelton player stats

  • Carlos Alcaraz

    ATP ranking
    No. 36,100 pts
    2026 record
    40-54 titles
    Titles
    2836 finals

  • Ben Shelton

    ATP ranking
    No. 44,530 pts
    2026 record
    45-164 titles
    Titles
    710 finals