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Tiafoe vs Alcaraz Prediction

Monday, Nov 16, 2026, Time TBA

Agatha Research Desk

Frances TiafoeFrancesTiafoe

PREDICTED SETS

0-2

AGATHA'S PICKCarlos AlcarazCarlosAlcaraz
83%WIN CHANCEAlcaraz to WinSEALS AT -

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Alcaraz to WinTHE VERDICT
Tiafoe

Tale of the tape

Alcaraz

Tiafoe vs Alcaraz recent form

Tiafoe 1-4 Tiafoe: last 5 matches

  1. LNov 4 Nov 4 Quentin Halys, 3-6, 6-1, 6-7(9)
  2. LOct 28 Oct 28 Lorenzo Musetti, 6-7(6), 5-7
  3. LOct 11 Oct 11 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 6-7(4), 6-4, 6-7(6)
  4. WOct 9 Oct 9 Yannick Hanfmann, 6-4, 6-4
  5. LOct 2 Oct 2 Arthur Fils, 3-6, 5-7

Alcaraz 4-0 Alcaraz: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 8 Nov 8 Ben Shelton, 7-6(5), 7-5
  2. WNov 7 Nov 7 Casper Ruud, 6-4, 6-4
  3. WNov 6 Nov 6 Taylor Fritz, 6-7(10), 7-5, 6-3
  4. WNov 5 Nov 5 Matteo Berrettini, W/O
  5. WNov 4 Nov 4 Alex Michelsen, 7-6(4), 6-3

Tiafoe vs Alcaraz player stats

WHY
Frances TiafoeCarlos Alcaraz
ATP rankinglower is betterTiafoe No. 83,390 ptsAlcaraz No. 37,100 pts
2026 recordTiafoe 44-211 titleAlcaraz 41-55 titles
TitlesTiafoe 413 finalsAlcaraz 2937 finals

Tiafoe vs Alcaraz head-to-head

Since Apr 20, 2021: Alcaraz 2, Tiafoe 1

  1. Jul 5, 2024Alcaraz 5-7, 6-2, 4-6, 7-6(2), 6-2Wimbledon, Round 3
  2. Sep 9, 2022Alcaraz 6-7(6), 6-3, 6-1, 6-7(5), 6-3US Open, Semifinal
  3. Apr 20, 2021Tiafoe 6-4, 7-6(2)Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell, Round 1

Who will win Tiafoe vs Alcaraz?

Carlos Alcaraz. Agatha gives Alcaraz an 83% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Alcaraz

Agatha rates Carlos Alcaraz 2161 and Frances Tiafoe 1850 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 310 rating points toward Carlos Alcaraz, for a predicted 83 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Carlos Alcaraz in 2-0.