Agatha's Top Picks

The head-to-head points one way: Hanfmann has won two of the three meetings since Jan 14, 2025 on the main tour, including the latest, 6-4, 6-7, 7-5 in Round 1 of the Mutua Madrid Open on Apr 23, 2026. Giron has lost seven matches in a row, the latest at the BNP Paribas Fortis European Open, where Jan-Lennard Struff beat him 7-6, 7-6 in Round 1 on Oct 20. Agatha gives Hanfmann about a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Hanfmann has lost two matches in a row, the latest to Martin Damm 7-5, 6-3 on Oct 19.

Elena Rybakina holds the head-to-head, having won both meetings since Apr 16, 2026 on the main tour, the latest 6-4, 6-4 in Round 4 of the Cincinnati Open on Aug 19, 2026. She beat Katarzyna Kawa 6-1, 3-6, 6-1 in the quarterfinal of the BNB Ningbo Open on Oct 23, and beat Aryna Sabalenka 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 in the final of the US Open on Sep 12. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Rybakina about a 3-in-4 chance to win. The risk is Shnaider has won three matches in a row, all at the BNB Ningbo Open.

The deciding fact is simple: Hamad Medjedovic has lost seven matches in a row, the latest at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes, where Brandon Nakashima beat him 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 in Round 1 on Oct 20. Over their last ten matches Alex Molcan went 6-4 and Medjedovic went 2-8. Molcan also beat Tomas Machac 6-3, 6-2 in Round 1 of the China Open on Sep 30. Agatha gives Molcan close to a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Molcan's long layoff, having last played on Oct 7, 17 days before this match.

Daniil Medvedev has the form: he is 8-2 over the last 10 matches. He beat Terence Atmane 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the Almaty Open on Oct 23, and Sho Shimabukuro 6-2, 6-1 in Round 2 of the Almaty Open on Oct 22. He is ranked No. 5. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Medvedev about a 2-in-3 chance to win. The risk is Bublik won the latest meeting on the main tour, 6-3, 7-6 in the final of the Terra Wortmann Open.

Oki has lost his last two fights. Manoel Sousa stopped him by KO/TKO in round 3 on Mar 14, 2026, and Mason Jones stopped him by KO/TKO in round 2 on Sep 6, 2025. Daniel Santos beat JooSang Yoo by KO/TKO in round 2 on Oct 4, 2025 and JeongYeong Lee by unanimous decision in round 3 on May 10, 2025. Agatha gives Santos about a 2-in-3 chance to win this fight. The risk is Oki's output over his career, 6.42 significant strikes per minute to Santos' 5.15.

Lorenzo Musetti has won three matches in a row, all at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes. Musetti beat Luca van Assche 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes on Oct 23. In their last meeting on the main tour, on Aug 30, 2025, Musetti won in Round 3 of the US Open (Flavio Cobolli did not finish the match). Musetti is 17-8 on hard courts this year. Agatha gives Musetti about a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Cobolli is ranked No. 6 and beat Brandon Nakashima 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes.

Grant Dawson lands more and lands cleaner, 3.14 significant strikes per minute to Nurullo Aliev's 2.29 and 51 percent to 44 percent. Dawson also beat Mateusz Rebecki by submission in round 3 on May 9, 2026, and seven of his 12 UFC wins came by knockout or submission. That finishing threat separates him in a three-round lightweight fight on the prelims. Agatha gives Dawson about a 2-in-3 chance to win this fight. The risk is Aliev is 12-0-0 as a professional and has won his last twelve fights, including a win over Mike Davis.

The reach is the first thing: Dominick Reyes has 77 inches to Azamat Murzakanov's 71. Reyes lands more significant strikes per minute over his career, 4.99 per minute to 4.4 per minute, and he beat Johnny Walker by split decision in round 3 on Apr 11, 2026. Seven of his ten UFC wins came by knockout or submission. Agatha gives Reyes about a 6-in-10 chance to beat Murzakanov. The risk is Reyes lost to Carlos Ulberg by KO/TKO in round 1 on Sep 27, 2025, and Murzakanov is 16-1-0.

Toledo scores 36.3 points a game and allows 23.6 this season, and the game is at the Glass Bowl, Toledo's home ground. Toledo won 34-14 at Eastern Michigan on Oct 17 and beat San Diego State 41-16 on Sep 26. Western Michigan lost 32-7 to Boise State on Sep 26. Agatha predicts a 24-22 Toledo win, slightly better than even. The risk is Western Michigan won the last meeting 14-13 at home on Sep 20, 2025, and has won three games in a row.

Akron has lost five games in a row, and Kent State won the latest meeting, 42-35 on the road on Nov 11, 2025. Kent State also allowed fewer points per game than Akron this season, 32.0 to 32.4, and is 2-5 this season while Akron is 1-6. Agatha has Kent State winning 32-22, about a 7-in-10 chance. The risk is Akron scored more points per game this season, 18.9 to 12.0, and Kent State has lost three games in a row.

Alexander Volkov has won his last two fights and he lands more per minute. Volkov beat Waldo Cortes Acosta by unanimous decision in round 3 on May 9, 2026. Over his career he lands 4.84 significant strikes per minute to Kuniev's 4.32, at 57 percent accuracy to 54. He also has the longer reach, 80 inches to 76. Agatha gives Volkov about a 4-in-5 chance to beat Kuniev. The risk is Kuniev has won his last two fights, including a KO/TKO of Tyrell Fortune in round 3 on Jul 25, 2026.

The striking numbers belong to Alexander Volkanovski: 5.99 significant strikes per minute to Movsar Evloev's 3.91. Volkanovski has won his last two fights, and he beat Diego Lopes by unanimous decision in round 5 on Jan 31, 2026. He also throws more accurately, 57 percent to Evloev's 47 percent. Agatha picks Volkanovski to beat Evloev, a little better than a coin flip. The risk is Evloev has won his last 20 fights and absorbs fewer significant strikes per minute, 2.8 to Volkanovski's 3.31.

The head-to-head decides it: the Tiger-Cats have won five of the six meetings since Sep 14, 2024, including the latest, 34-16 on Oct 2, 2026. They also allow fewer points per game than the RedBlacks, 29.5 to 37.5, and Tre Ford starts in place of Harrison Frost, who is on the one-game injured list. The game is at Tim Hortons Field. Agatha's prediction is a 34-25 Tiger-Cats win, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk is that the RedBlacks beat the Toronto Argonauts 40-39 on Oct 16 and score 24.4 points per game this season.

The Devils won the latest meeting, 6-4 at home on Mar 14, 2026, and they come in off a 4-1 home win over the Anaheim Ducks on Oct 22. Jack Hughes has 3 goals, 8 assists and 11 points in 10 games this season, and the Devils score 3.3 goals a game while allowing 3.1. Agatha predicts a 4-2 Devils win, slightly better than even. The risk is the Kings have won two games in a row, including 3-2 at the New York Islanders on Oct 22.

Oklahoma's defense decides this game: it allows 18.2 points a game, while Mississippi State allows 28.5. Mississippi State has lost two games in a row, including 31-0 at LSU on Oct 17, and 56-23 to Alabama at home on Oct 3. Oklahoma also beat Texas 27-24 at a neutral site on Oct 10. Agatha has Oklahoma winning 25-24, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is Mississippi State scores 32.5 points a game, and Oklahoma lost 21-13 at home to Kentucky on Oct 17.

The last meeting was lopsided: Buffalo won 28-3 on the road on Nov 1, 2025. Buffalo beat Massachusetts 25-18 at home on Oct 17 and has won two games in a row. Buffalo allows 25.6 points a game, Bowling Green 29.6. Agatha's prediction is a 30-19 Buffalo win, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk is Buffalo lost 20-17 to Western Michigan at home on Oct 3.

The Crew are home at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field and have won two matches in a row. They beat FC Cincinnati 2-0 on Oct 18, and over their last ten matches they allow 1.4 goals a game to Toronto's 1.9. Diego Rossi has 6 goals and 2 assists in 15 appearances this season. Agatha has the Crew winning 3-1, a little better than a coin flip. The risk is Toronto won the last meeting 2-1 on Mar 21, 2026, and Daniel Salloi has 8 goals and 10 assists this season.

The game is at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, Arizona State's home ground. Arizona State won the last meeting 24-14 on the road on Nov 16, 2024. Arizona State beat Hawai'i 30-12 at home on Oct 10. Kansas State lost 35-16 to Houston at home on Oct 10 and starts a backup quarterback in place of Avery Johnson, who is out. Agatha's prediction is a 30-25 Arizona State win, a little better than a coin flip. The risk is Kansas State beat Kansas 35-24 at home on Oct 17.

Nevada won the latest meeting with San Jose State 55-10 at home on Nov 15, 2025, and it puts up more points, 26.0 a game to 21.4. Nevada also won 30-13 at UTEP on Oct 10, and this one is at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada's home ground. Agatha predicts a 29-24 Nevada win, a little better than a coin flip. The risk is Nevada is 2-4 this season and went 1-4 over the last 5 games.

The Charlotte Hornets won the latest meeting, 127-126 in a play-in game on Apr 14, 2026. Last season the Hornets allowed fewer points per game than the Heat, 111.2 to 118.5. The Hornets won 110-103 at the Brooklyn Nets on Oct 21, and the Heat lost 128-111 to the Detroit Pistons at home on Oct 23. Agatha has the Hornets winning 116-115, slightly better than even. The risk is the Hornets lost 128-81 to the Atlanta Hawks at home on Oct 23, and Coby White is listed as Out.

The Bruins won the latest meeting 6-3 on the road on Oct 13, 2026. They have scored 3.8 goals per game to the Sharks' 3.0 this season and allowed 2.0 to 3.4. Jeremy Swayman has a .928 save percentage over 8 starts, and the Bruins beat the Nashville Predators 6-0 at home on Oct 22. Agatha predicts a 4-1 Bruins win, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is that the Sharks have won two games in a row, including 6-2 at the Ottawa Senators on Oct 22.

The Milwaukee Brewers won the latest meeting, 8-2, on Apr 1, 2026, and they have won five games in a row counting playoff games. Logan Henderson had a 2.47 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in the regular season over 18 starts, and the Brewers scored 5.1 runs a game while allowing 3.8. Agatha predicts a 4-3 Brewers win, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is a Rays team that has won three games in a row counting playoff games, with Drew Rasmussen at a 2.67 ERA in the regular season.

Logan Henderson struck out 2, 4, 3, 8 and 6 over his last five starts this season, 4.6 a start, and the under of 4.5 landed in 3 of them. The Rays hitters strike out 7 times a game, the 29th most of 30 teams. Henderson struck out 4 in 5.0 innings against the San Diego Padres on Oct 4. Agatha's pick is Henderson under 4.5 strikeouts, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is his regular season, when he struck out 6.1 a start over 18 starts.

Parks arrives off a win, beating Ena Shibahara 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 in the first qualifying round of the Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis on Oct 23. Heather Watson has lost in qualifying, falling to Emerson Jones 6-3, 6-3 in the first qualifying round of the Japan Open on Oct 17, and to Harriet Dart 2-6, 6-4, 6-1 in the final qualifying round of the US Open on Aug 28. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Parks close to a 6-in-10 chance to win. The risk is Watson beat Liudmila Samsonova 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 in the first qualifying round of the Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis on Oct 23.

Utah's defense decides this game, allowing 14.8 points a game this season while scoring 40.2. Utah is 6-0 and has won six games in a row, including a 27-24 win at Colorado on Oct 17. The game is at Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah's home ground. Agatha predicts a 32-22 Utah win, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk is Houston, which won their last meeting 17-14 at home on Oct 26, 2024, and has won four games in a row.

Tatiana Prozorova is 5-2 on hard courts this year. She beat Mayar Sherif 4-6, 6-1, 6-1 in the first qualifying round of the BNB Ningbo Open on Oct 17, and Ekaterine Gorgodze 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 in the first qualifying round of the Guangzhou Open on Oct 24. Joanna Garland lost to Wang Xinyu 7-5, 6-4 in Round 2 of the Singapore Tennis Open on Sep 24. Agatha gives Prozorova about a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Garland, who is 4-1 over the last 5 matches and beat Maddison Inglis 6-1, 6-3 on Oct 24.

Yastremska has already won a match at the Guangzhou Open, beating You Xiaodi 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 in the first qualifying round on Oct 24, and she took a Round 1 match at the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open from Cristina Bucsa 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 on Oct 12. Jones arrives off a loss, 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 to Ann Li in Round 1 of the Japan Open on Oct 19. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Yastremska about a 6-in-10 chance to win. The risk is Jones went 7-3 over her last ten matches while Yastremska went 4-6.

Tereza Valentova beat Zhang Shuai in their last meeting on the main tour, 6-2, 1-6, 6-4 in Round 1 of the Japan Open on Oct 19, 2026. Valentova also beat En-Shuo Liang 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 in the first qualifying round of the Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis on Oct 24, and over their last ten matches she went 7-3 while Zhang went 4-6. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Valentova about a 2-in-3 chance to win. The risk is Zhang won her qualifying match too, beating Kayla Day 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 on Oct 24 in the first qualifying round.