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Medvedev vs Alcaraz Prediction

Monday, Nov 16, 2026, Time TBA

Agatha Research Desk

Daniil MedvedevDaniilMedvedev

PREDICTED SETS

0-2

AGATHA'S PICKCarlos AlcarazCarlosAlcaraz
76%WIN CHANCEAlcaraz to WinSEALS AT -

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Alcaraz to WinTHE VERDICT
Medvedev

Tale of the tape

Alcaraz

Medvedev vs Alcaraz recent form

Medvedev 3-2 Medvedev: last 5 matches

  1. LNov 4 Nov 4 Ignacio Buse, 4-6, 4-6
  2. LOct 31 Oct 31 Carlos Alcaraz, 4-6, 6-7(2)
  3. WOct 30 Oct 30 Adrian Mannarino, 6-2, 6-3
  4. WOct 29 Oct 29 Cameron Norrie, 4-6, 6-3, 7-6(1)
  5. WOct 28 Oct 28 Daniel Merida, 7-6(5), 6-1

Alcaraz 4-0 Alcaraz: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 8 Nov 8 Ben Shelton, 7-6(5), 7-5
  2. WNov 7 Nov 7 Casper Ruud, 6-4, 6-4
  3. WNov 6 Nov 6 Taylor Fritz, 6-7(10), 7-5, 6-3
  4. WNov 5 Nov 5 Matteo Berrettini, W/O
  5. WNov 4 Nov 4 Alex Michelsen, 7-6(4), 6-3

Medvedev vs Alcaraz player stats

WHY
Daniil MedvedevCarlos Alcaraz
ATP rankinglower is betterMedvedev No. 53,820 ptsAlcaraz No. 37,100 pts
2026 recordMedvedev 52-204 titlesAlcaraz 41-55 titles
TitlesMedvedev 2545 finalsAlcaraz 2937 finals

Medvedev vs Alcaraz head-to-head

Since Jul 14, 2023: Alcaraz 6, Medvedev 2

  1. Oct 31, 2026Alcaraz 6-4, 7-6(2)Erste Bank Open, Semifinal
  2. Mar 14, 2026Medvedev 6-3, 7-6(3)BNP Paribas Open, Semifinal
  3. Oct 1, 2024Alcaraz 7-5, 6-3China Open, Semifinal
  4. Jul 12, 2024Alcaraz 6-7(1), 6-3, 6-4, 6-4Wimbledon, Semifinal
  5. Mar 17, 2024Alcaraz 7-6(5), 6-1BNP Paribas Open, Final
  6. Nov 17, 2023Alcaraz 6-4, 6-4Nitto ATP Finals, Group Stage
  7. Sep 8, 2023Medvedev 7-6(3), 6-1, 3-6, 6-3US Open, Semifinal
  8. Jul 14, 2023Alcaraz 6-3, 6-3, 6-3Wimbledon, Semifinal

Who will win Medvedev vs Alcaraz?

Carlos Alcaraz. Agatha gives Alcaraz a 76% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Alcaraz

Agatha rates Carlos Alcaraz 2161 and Daniil Medvedev 1940 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 220 rating points toward Carlos Alcaraz, for a predicted 76 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Carlos Alcaraz in 2-0.