Agatha's Top Picks

The form runs one way: Taro Daniel has lost three matches in a row, the latest at the Rolex Shanghai Masters. Nikoloz Basilashvili is 7-3 over the last 10 matches, and he beat Jenson Brooksby 6-4, 7-6 in the quarterfinal of the Chengdu Open on Sep 27. Basilashvili arrives with the better run behind him. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Basilashvili close to a 6-in-10 chance to win. The risk is Basilashvili retired against Adrian Mannarino in Round 1 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 7.

Sonay Kartal has won four matches in a row, all at the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open. Kartal beat Elina Svitolina 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open on Oct 16. The two meetings with Jelena Ostapenko since Jun 24, 2025 are split 1-1 on the main tour, and Kartal won the latest, 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 in Round 1 of Wimbledon on Jun 30, 2025. Agatha gives Kartal close to a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Ostapenko has won four matches in a row, all at the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open.

Form is the deciding fact here, and Federico Cina has it. He beat Nuno Borges 6-3, 6-2 in Round 1 of the Chengdu Open on Sep 24. And he won in Shanghai, beating Aziz Dougaz 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 in the final qualifying round of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 6. Over their last ten matches, Cina went 6-4, while Joel Josef Schwaerzler went 3-7. Agatha gives Cina about a 7-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is his loss to Alex Molcan, 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 in Round 1 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 7.

Bianca Andreescu comes into this match on a run of three wins in a row, all at the RoveretOpen Citta della Pace. She beat Mia Ristic 6-2, 6-2 in Round 1 of the RoveretOpen Citta della Pace. She beat Lucrezia Stefanini 6-2, 7-5 in the quarterfinal of the RoveretOpen Citta della Pace on Oct 16. Agatha gives Andreescu close to a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Lucie Havlickova has won three matches in a row, all at the RoveretOpen Citta della Pace, beating Jil Teichmann 6-2, 6-4.

Edas Butvilas has lost five matches in a row, the latest at the Mubadala DC Open. Nishesh Basavareddy beat Arthur Gea 6-3, 6-1 in the final qualifying round of the US Open on Aug 28. He also beat Luka Mikrut 6-2, 6-4 in the second qualifying round of the US Open on Aug 26. Butvilas last played on Jul 25. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Basavareddy about a 3-in-4 chance to win. The risk is Basavareddy has lost two matches in a row, the latest to Kimmer Coppejans 7-6, 6-3 on Oct 5.

Kansas State has won all three meetings since Nov 18, 2023, the latest 42-17 on the road on Oct 25, 2025. Kansas State scored more points per game than Kansas this season, 35.6 to 33.6, and allowed fewer, 19.2 to 21.8. Kansas is 2-3 and lost 41-24 at Utah on Oct 10. Agatha predicts a 33-20 Kansas State win, about a 4-in-5 chance. The risk is Kansas State has lost two games in a row, including 35-16 to Houston at home on Oct 10.

Army's defense decides this game, allowing 19.2 points a game. Army won the last meeting with Florida Atlantic 24-7 on the road on Sep 7, 2024, and beat Tulane 20-17 at home on Oct 10. The game is at Michie Stadium, West Point, Army's home ground. Agatha predicts a 35-23 Army win, about a 7-in-10 chance. The risk is Florida Atlantic has won four games in a row and scores 37.2 points a game.

Logan Thompson gives the Capitals the steadier goaltending, a .912 save percentage over 58 starts last season to Jacob Markstrom's .883. The Capitals allow fewer goals a game than the Devils, 3.1 to 3.3, score 3.4 to their 3.3, and come off a 5-4 home win over the Montreal Canadiens on Oct 14. Agatha's prediction is a 5-2 Capitals win, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is the Devils won the latest meeting 7-3 at home on Apr 2, 2026, and have won two games in a row.

The head-to-head decides it: Buffalo won both meetings since Sep 14, 2024, the latest 28-21 on the road on Oct 18, 2025. Buffalo also won 23-8 at Toledo on Oct 10, and Massachusetts has lost two games in a row, including 20-19 to Miami (OH) at home on Oct 10. The game is at Broadview Stadium, Buffalo's home ground. Agatha's prediction is a 34-18 Buffalo win, about a 4-in-5 chance. The risk is Massachusetts allowing 18.2 points a game, fewer than Buffalo's 26.8 this season.

The Golden State Valkyries have won four games in a row, counting playoff games, and they won 87-77 at the Las Vegas Aces on Oct 9. This Game 1 of the WNBA Finals is at Chase Center in San Francisco. The Dream's Allisha Gray, a guard, is listed as Out with a hand injury. Agatha has the Valkyries winning 85-83, a little better than a coin flip. The risk is the Dream have won ten games in a row, counting playoff games, and went 5-0 over the last 5 games.

The read on Dewanna Bonner: Under 1.5 assists. The Valkyries allow just 18.0 assists a game against the league's 20.4, which suits Bonner's under. Her season average sits right on the number: 1.5 assists a game across 44 games, 26.4 minutes a night. Bonner has gone 1, 3, 2, 0, 2 assists across her last five games, averaging 1.6.

The Carolina Hurricanes have won six games in a row, and they took the latest meeting 5-1 at home on Nov 28, 2025. They allow 2.4 goals a game to the Jets' 3.0 this season, and Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck is listed as Injured Reserve (suspension). Agatha predicts a 5-2 Hurricanes win, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is that Jordan Staal and Seth Jarvis are on Injured Reserve and Taylor Hall is out.

Ole Miss gets this one at home at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford. Ole Miss won 52-17 at Vanderbilt on Oct 10 and beat LSU 32-24 on Sep 19. Ole Miss scores 38.8 points a game and is 4-1 this season. Agatha has Ole Miss winning 33-24, about a 2-in-3 chance. The risk is Missouri's defense, which allows 17.7 points a game, and Missouri has won two games in a row.

Michigan won the last meeting, 24-15 on the road on Nov 11, 2023, and Penn State has lost three games in a row. Michigan allowed fewer points per game this season, 15.8 to 18.5, and has had 13 days off since last playing on Oct 3. Agatha's prediction is a 30-24 Michigan win, about a 7-in-10 chance. The risk is Penn State scores 30.5 points a game and Michigan has lost two games in a row.

Louisiana allowed 21.5 points per game this season, and Troy allowed 24.0. Louisiana also scores 29.5 points a game to Troy's 28.0. Louisiana is 4-2 while Troy is 3-2. Louisiana beat Arkansas State 23-20 at home on Oct 3. The game is at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, Louisiana's home ground. Agatha predicts a 30-21 Louisiana win, about a 2-in-3 chance. The risk is that Troy won the latest meeting, 35-23 at home on Oct 25, 2025.

Florida Panthers won the latest meeting, 5-4 at home on Mar 24, 2026, and they have won two games in a row. Sam Reinhart had 29 goals, 32 assists and 61 points in 64 games last season, and the Panthers allow fewer goals per game than the Kraken, 2.8 to 2.9. Agatha predicts a 4-2 Panthers win, a little better than a coin flip. The risk is the Kraken score 4.0 goals a game, more than the Panthers' 2.8 this season.

The under of 61.5 landed in 5 of Erik Brooks's last five games. Brooks had 22, 46, 40, 19 and 37 receiving yards over them, 32.8 a game. He has 68 catches on 100 targets for 726 receiving yards in 17 games this season, 42.7 a game. The BC Lions allow 293.4 receiving yards a game, against the league's 299.9. Agatha predicts about 42.8 receiving yards for Brooks against a line of 61.5 and gives the under about a 7-in-10 chance. The risk is Brooks went for 46 receiving yards against the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Oct 2 and 40 against the Ottawa RedBlacks on Sep 26.

Agatha's CFL receiving model lands on Tevin Jones Under 65.5 receiving yards.

The under of 87.5 landed in 4 of Keon Hatcher's last five games this season, when he had 44, 69, 66, 137 and 63 receiving yards, 75.8 a game. Hatcher has 73 catches on 114 targets for 1128 receiving yards in 15 games, 75.2 yards a game. Agatha's prediction for Hatcher is about 75.4 receiving yards against a line of 87.5, and she gives the under about a 2-in-3 chance. The risk is the Calgary Stampeders allow 329.4 receiving yards a game, against the league's 299.9.

The Red Wings allow fewer goals per game than the Sharks, 3.0 to 3.6. The Red Wings won the latest meeting 4-2 at home on Jan 16, 2026, and beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1 at home on Oct 15. Alex DeBrincat had 41 goals, 44 assists and 85 points in 82 games for the Red Wings last season. Agatha predicts a 4-2 Red Wings win, a little better than a coin flip. The risk is that the Sharks are 2-1-0 on the road and won 3-2 at the Nashville Predators on Oct 15.

The Rangers are without their goalie Igor Shesterkin, who is on Injured Reserve with a knee injury, and Dylan Garand starts in net in his place. The Blue Jackets won the latest meeting 6-3 at home on Mar 19, 2026. Zach Werenski had 22 goals, 59 assists and 81 points in 75 games last season, and Kirill Marchenko had 27 goals, 40 assists and 67 points in 76 games. Agatha's prediction is a 4-2 Blue Jackets win, a little better than a coin flip. The risk is the Blue Jackets have lost two games in a row, and the Rangers allow fewer goals per game, 2.3 to 4.2.

The Stars defend. They allow 1.9 goals a game this season, and the Blackhawks allow 4.0. The Stars won the latest meeting 4-3 at home on Mar 8, 2026. Jason Robertson had 45 goals and 96 points in 82 games for the Stars last season, and Bowen Byram, a Blackhawks defenseman, is listed as out with an upper body injury. Agatha has the Stars winning 4-1, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is the Blackhawks have won two games in a row, including 4-3 over the Winnipeg Jets at home on Oct 15.

Southern Miss has lost four games in a row. Arkansas State scores 28.2 points a game and allows 28.8 this season, while Southern Miss allows 34.6 this season. Arkansas State beat West Georgia 52-7 on Sep 12. Agatha has Arkansas State winning 29-24, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is that Southern Miss won the latest meeting, 27-21 on the road on Nov 8, 2025.

Houston has won three games in a row and is 5-1 this season, and it beat Kansas State 35-16 on Oct 10. Houston also won the latest meeting, 39-17 on the road on Oct 11, 2025. Houston scores 40.0 points a game and allows 19.2, and the game is at TDECU Stadium, Houston's home ground. Agatha predicts a 34-17 Houston win, about a 5-in-6 chance. The risk is Oklahoma State has won four games in a row, including a 42-28 win over UCF at home on Oct 10.

UCLA is 5-0 this season and has won five games in a row. UCLA scored more points per game than Wisconsin this season, 39.2 to 31.6, and it won 17-15 at Oregon on Oct 10. Ty Dieffenbach starts in place of Nico Iamaleava, who is out, and the game is at the Rose Bowl, UCLA's home ground. Agatha has UCLA winning 29-21, about a 2-in-3 chance. The risk is Wisconsin has won four games in a row and allowed fewer points per game than UCLA this season, 16.6 to 18.0.

Orlando City carries the better run into this game, 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over their last ten matches against D.C. United's 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. Martin Ojeda has 14 goals and 3 assists in 23 appearances, and Ivan Angulo has 12 assists in 29. Orlando City beat Columbus Crew 3-2 on Oct 10. The game is at Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando City's home ground. Agatha's prediction is a 4-1 Orlando City win, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is D.C. United won the last meeting between the two sides, 3-2, on Apr 25, 2026.

UTSA is 5-1 this season and has won three games in a row, while Navy is 2-3. UTSA beat South Florida 31-24 at home on Oct 8 and scored more points per game than Navy this season, 31.3 to 27.0. Navy lost 14-9 at Air Force on Oct 3. Agatha has UTSA winning 36-22, about a 4-in-5 chance. The risk is Navy allowed fewer points per game than UTSA this season, 23.4 to 25.8.

The Golden Knights won the latest meeting 6-2 at home on Mar 12, 2026, and they are 7-2-0 this season while the Penguins are 3-3-1. They score 4.0 goals a game and allow 2.4, and Jack Eichel had 27 goals, 63 assists and 90 points in 74 games for them last season. Agatha predicts a 5-2 Golden Knights win, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is Sergei Murashov starting in net for the Penguins in place of Arturs Silovs.

The first qualifying round at the Japan Open went Maya Joint's way, 6-4, 6-2 over Kyoka Okamura on Oct 16. Now the final qualifying round on a hard court. Over their last ten matches Joint went 6-4 and Kayla Day went 5-5, and Joint is ranked No. 92 while Day is No. 119. Agatha gives Joint about a 2-in-3 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Joint is 2-3 over the last 5 matches and Day beat Ena Koike 7-5, 6-3 on Oct 16.

The game is at Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon's home ground. Oregon scores 41.0 points a game and allows 22.0 this season. Oregon beat USC 41-27 on Sep 26 and Boise State 34-27 on Sep 5. Nebraska lost 20-17 to Indiana at home on Oct 10. Agatha predicts a 32-23 Oregon win, about a 2-in-3 chance. The risk is Oregon lost 17-15 to UCLA at home on Oct 10 and Nebraska is 5-1 this season.

Sinja Kraus carries the form, 7-3 over her last ten matches while Sofia Kenin is 3-7 over hers. Kraus beat Dayana Yastremska 6-1, 6-4 in Round 3 of the China Open on Oct 3. Kenin lost 6-3, 6-3 to Ashlyn Krueger in Round 1 of the China Open on Sep 30. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Kraus about a 6-in-10 chance to win. The risk is Kenin won in the first qualifying round of the Japan Open on Oct 17, beating Mei Yamaguchi 2-6, 6-0, 6-1.

Rei Sakamoto beat Andrey Rublev 6-4, 6-4 in Round 2 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 9, and he is 7-3 over the last 10 matches. Gabriel Diallo is 5-5 over the last 10 matches and retired against Luciano Darderi in Round 2 of the National Bank Open on Aug 4. Agatha picks Sakamoto to win, a little better than a coin flip, and predicts straight sets. The risk is Diallo beat Harold Mayot 7-6, 6-2 in the first qualifying round of the Almaty Open on Oct 17.

Nikoloz Basilashvili has the form and the results. He beat Taro Daniel 6-2, 7-5 in the first qualifying round of the Almaty Open on Oct 17, and over their last ten matches he went 8-2 while Walton went 4-6. Walton is 6-13 on hard courts this year and 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Agatha picks Basilashvili to win, a little better than a coin flip, and predicts straight sets. The risk is Walton won his first qualifying round, beating Beibit Zhukayev 6-1, 7-5 in the Almaty Open on Oct 17.